[5mike5]

Alright fellas we are off to the line star state this weekend for Xfinity and CUP series action. The truck series off off again for the rest of the month. After another great week of short racing at the paperclip last weekend, we look to keep our momentum rolling back on an intermediate racetrack.

**TEXAS was repaved after last fall playoff race, as well as reconfigured in the turns 1/2 section of the racetrack. The groove has been widened from 60 to 80 ft and the banking the turns at that end of the racetrack has been lowered to 20 degrees from 24 degrees. All this combined does make a big difference. So past history at this racetrack shouldn't be counted on when handicapping this race

for me a driver/team's current form and form this season in siniliar tracks will be crucial for any early bets. Practices will also tell the tale of who's got what when they u load but later practices after adjustments will also be critical. That said, I believe the same 4-5 drivers that have been rather dominate on this track type in the low downforce aero package will do the same again this weekend. Mostly the 42/78/24/2 will most likely open as the 4 favs imo, and probably have the best odds early barring a Qualifying disaster. But it's still bigger risk/reward on early betting the favs this week especially. The risk may or may not be worth it to you because not sure how much can be gained as I expect very low opening odds.

And I don't think just because it's a repave that teams that haven't run well on intermediate tracks this season in the new Aero package will all the sudden be better than the teams listed above, just like I don't expect those 4 teams to be lost because it's basically a new racetrack.

Just my thoughts on it. Feel free to post ur own thoughts as always!



GOODLUCK this weekend!!!

[5mike5]

I expect that Larson, Keslowski, truex jr. and Elliot will be the top 4 opening favorites this week. In some order. At least 4 of top 5. Sadly, expecting all between +650 to +750 range at best. So not sure how much can be gained by early betting here, but I'm sure 1-2 of them will still be best odds of the week, if my thinking plays out.

Hopefully im wrong about the odds, maybe the books give a little better than i am expecting. But I highly doubt it

[Fedup74]

No value

[5mike5]

No value

post much ur first day signing up on sbr?

heres a heads up for ya, to be "no value" there has to be odds posted buddy

[5mike5]

The Greek posted, and in a little shocked by a few of them and JJ being the fav out of the gate

ill have to take a few when they post at my books

[Optional]

The Greek posted, and in a little shocked by a few of them and JJ being the fav out of the gate

ill have to take a few when they post at my books

They are probably taking a conservative approach due to the track too. Keeping safe on the big names and seeing what the early bettors think.

[5mike5]

Makes sense Opti.

[hawk 5]

The Greek posted, and in a little shocked by a few of them and JJ being the fav out of the gate

ill have to take a few when they post at my books

Jimmie's won like 5 of last 11 races here. He's favored for good reason.

[hawk 5]

Took Dustin Johnson at +625 to win masters. Don't bet golf but thought it a decent bet. Love the Masters

[5mike5]

Jimmie's won like 5 of last 11 races here. He's favored for good reason.

I'm just shocked he's that low a fav in his current form. This aero package has made him look human again

and the track changing "should" mean less historical significance I think. But could be wrong of course

probably unloads P1 avgs. Lol

[5mike5]

Took Dustin Johnson at +625 to win masters. Don't bet golf but thought it a decent bet. Love the Masters

i might toss a few plays out too. And the only 1 I really watch honestly. But I love it too. Might tail u there as I'm far from knowing much of anything of whose a good play on my own.

Anybody else u like Hawk?

[hawk 5]

i might toss a few plays out too. And the only 1 I really watch honestly. But I love it too. Might tail u there as I'm far from knowing much of anything of whose a good play on my own.

Anybody else u like Hawk?

Don't know enough. Going to leave it alone and hope Dustin is close sunday. Make it more interesting.

[5mike5]

Don't know enough. Going to leave it alone and hope Dustin is close sunday. Make it more interesting.

ok, thanks man. Probably gonna throw a few darts today. Thanks for posting I would have forgot about it

[5mike5]

Truex JR (+1000)

Elliot (+1000)

[5mike5]

Xfinity:

harvick (+550)

blaney (+700)

**probably parlay Logano on raceday

[hawk 5]

Truex JR (+1000)

Elliot (+1000)

Elliot +1000, Larson +950. U got a great # on Truex.

[hawk 5]

Elliot +1000, Larson +950. U got a great # on Truex.

Logano +850. Will add one more

[5mike5]

Yeah just lucky that was my first bet or wouldn't have. I tried to bet it again and went straight to +750, now even lower. Odds are getting hit so hard as soon as they post this season it's just crazy. Or they are just just soft moving them whoever gets bet first. That wasn't up 60 seconds. Wasn't ever this bad.

I funding at bookmaker/DSI book in next few days. Have bovada too, but don't use it really

cwetain drivers on raceday seem too be better after people hammer the dimes lines

[5mike5]

I noticed u like DSI for nascar too.

Any diff in them and bookmaker? Or basically the same books?

[5mike5]

I would have taken Keslowski also, but he dropped too fast to get it.

[5mike5]

Logano +850. Will add one more

like logano at that price too. And Larson of course. If I'm taking Larson, I better take him soon, He will keep getting bet I have a feeling

[hawk 5]

I noticed u like DSI for nascar too.

Any diff in them and bookmaker? Or basically the same books?

Don't know about the difference, but its a good book. Different lines than 5 dimes sometimes.

[5mike5]

Xfinity:

harvick (+550)

blaney (+700)

**probably parlay Logano on raceday

jones>Suarez (-145)
Byron>allgahier (-145)
open

[turbobets]

Surprised to see JJ and Harvick are the fav's. Playing conservative this week with all the changes.

Kyle +105 Harvick - really like these odds
BK +100 Logano
Kahne +115 Kurt Busch - crap vs crap
Newman -110 Suarez

[5mike5]

Took Dustin Johnson at +625 to win masters. Don't bet golf but thought it a decent bet. Love the Masters

I took bubba Watson (+4800) and J. Thomas (+3005)

[5mike5]

Weather as of now gonna be beautiful fri-Sunday

[DDT]

Took Dustin Johnson at +625 to win masters. Don't bet golf but thought it a decent bet. Love the Masters

Let us know how you make out on this bet lol

[hawk 5]

Let us know how you make out on this bet lol

No Action. Don't follow my golf plays.

[5mike5]

Surprised to see JJ and Harvick are the fav's. Playing conservative this week with all the changes.

Kyle +105 Harvick - really like these odds
BK +100 Logano
Kahne +115 Kurt Busch - crap vs crap
Newman -110 Suarez

I was as well, but as Hawk5 mentioned JJ is the Texas master winning something like 5 of last 9 races here. I was more thinking of current form with new aero package. But when taking a step back, u can see why JJ opened as fav. Past history does mean a lot for oddsmakers. And for me too usually. But current form is huge too

[5mike5]

No Action. Don't follow my golf plays.

good deal.

Saw where like 1/2 Vegas books did NOT refund!

Maybe im use to offshore rules, had no clue some land books didn't refund future bets even if player doesn't even officially start the tourney. That's insane. Bad luck there saw, he's been on fire too I saw on tv. My bets look awful, wish I could be a refund on my 2. Lmao

[5mike5]

Really thinking of going ahead and adding Larson before practice today when odds go down. since he creeped back up to +950

Still thibking about Keslowski early too and being finished unless my h2h parlay on Xfinity makes it again this week

thing is, both odds probably won't get any better, and most likely get worse if I wait til post practice/qualifying

ill post if I do add anything before the noon sessions start

[5mike5]

kyle Busch smacks the wall in P1, won't qualify

will start In rear Sunday

[5mike5]

Jones and Elliot both destroy primary cars

[Optional]

Jones and Elliot both destroy primary cars

Oh cool. Half my early roster into the wall and same for the guy I was wanting to add as well.

[5mike5]

Oh cool. Half my early roster into the wall and same for the guy I was wanting to add as well.

hahaha. Yeah me too with Elliot

Hoping they still get to qualify line to go thru tech is about 25 cars

no word yet if Elliot is even gonna try it

syarting in the back on this week will be extra brutal since it's gonna basically be a 1 groove racetack

fingers crossed for us