1. #1
    Dad
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    Formula 1: Germany Grand Prix

    I had a good week last week cashing in on Formula 1 for a cool +12.6 units of profit.

    Can my luck cary over into this weekend? I sure hope so!

    Just like Webber last week, this week I think the best value is in Massa at +2500 odds. Massa has done well at this track. In 2010 he qualified 3rd and finished the race 2nd. In 2008 he qualified 2nd and finished the race 3rd. I dont know, call me crazy, but I think Massa has better than a 25-1 chance of winning this race. And we wont see these kind of odds on Massa later on if he does good in qualifying.

    I would love to hear everybody else's thoughts.

    My bets for this weekend:

    To win Pole:
    Hamilton +350 (2.4 units)
    Alonso +800 (1.2 units)
    Field +1200 (1.2 units)
    (The field inludes Massa)

    To win the race:
    Alonso +450 (1 unit)
    Hamilton +500 (1.6 units)
    Massa +2500 (1.2 units)

    Winning car:
    Ferrari +400 (2 units)

    Good luck this week, boys!



  2. #2
    Optional
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    I think yer dreamin re Massa. That turkey is just about done. ;-)

  3. #3
    shaunovery
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    Couldn't have massa with counterfeit

  4. #4
    Dad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    I think yer dreamin re Massa. That turkey is just about done. ;-)
    Quote Originally Posted by shaunovery View Post
    Couldn't have massa with counterfeit
    Yeah, I didnt think Massa would be a popular choice.

    Lets hear what you guys are doing, boys.

  5. #5
    5mike5
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    i see massa +4325 to win the race?

    anyways, i know absolutley nothing about F1,

    so u boys find me a winner!

  6. #6
    Dad
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    i see massa +4325 to win the race?

    anyways, i know absolutley nothing about F1,

    so u boys find me a winner!
    I need to get funded at 5Dimes.

    Mike, just when you thought you were gonna take the weekend off.

  7. #7
    5mike5
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    going out to dinner in a few, just got back from getting drenched by T-storms while at universal studios

    ill probably be back saturday sometime.....just depends what the miss wants to do though

    i need the action!

  8. #8
    Dad
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    Actually, I remember looking at 5Dimes lines yesterday and Massa was +2700. Why did he jump to +4325?

    Hasnt moved from +2500 at betphoenix.

  9. #9
    5mike5
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    not sure dad,

    i just happened to see it

    Opti or shaun may know why....im clueless on everything F1 related

  10. #10
    Dad
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    Last week Massa put in his best performance of 2012 so far, qualifying fifth and then finishing just one place behind the podium.

    He is improving and boosting his confidence. I still like my play.

  11. #11
    5mike5
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    ill tail your massa play...

    Last edited by 5mike5; 07-17-12 at 07:24 PM.

  12. #12
    Optional
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    He definitely looked better in Britain.

    No idea why the blow out in price at 5D. Have not seen any news that might explain it.

  13. #13
    5mike5
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    how bad was the wreck he was in?

  14. #14
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    how bad was the wreck he was in?
    Massa?

    A suspension spring came off a car and hit him in the head at 150mph+

    Smashed his helmet and his eye socket. He was in hospital and rehab for months and has never been the same since.

    On top of that he had his first child during the time off.

    He is slower because he plans not to die when racing these days I think.

  15. #15
    5mike5
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    wow

    easily could have killed him

  16. #16
    MatI
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    Opti is right. He has never been the same since, but he was never anything special to begin with. He had good results when they was only two different teams fighting for the win, which meant he would at worst finish 4th-5th. Now that there are 4-5 teams in with a chance, he has struggled a lot more.

    Video of his incident.


  17. #17
    MatI
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  18. #18
    MatI
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dad View Post
    Last week Massa put in his best performance of 2012 so far, qualifying fifth and then finishing just one place behind the podium.

    He is improving and boosting his confidence. I still like my play.
    It was his best result in over 2 years. He hasn't finished on the podium in even longer. He is fighting for his career at the moment, but no amount of motivation is going to get him a win any time soon.

    Hockenheim has a really long back straight and will most likely be hot weather. Straight line speed should be a nice little advantage in qualifying, so I think the Mercedes are good value, Red Bull cars are also coming into good form and should be fighting for pole as well. Mercedes were not very good in the last race but they gambled on a wet race setup, which didn't materialise. Either way, i like them for qual, but not race.

    In the race I like Red Bull & Lotus cars. Lotus have been very close to a win but just keep falling short. Last week, one of the Lotus cars had to pit at the end of the 1st lap to repair damage, he rejoined the race in last position but finished 6th. He was fastest man on track all race.

    My leans so far:

    Pole Position
    Nico Rosberg +1600
    M Schumacher +1600
    S Vettell +165

    Race Winner
    Vettel +200
    Lotus +700

    Top 6 Finish
    Grosjean +125

  19. #19
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by MatI View Post
    My leans so far:

    Pole Position
    Nico Rosberg +1600
    M Schumacher +1600
    S Vettell +165

    Race Winner
    Vettel +200
    Lotus +700

    Top 6 Finish
    Grosjean +125
    I like every one of those.

  20. #20
    shaunovery
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    Please people forget about massa to win the race he'll be lucky to finish inside top 6 alonso going for championship so Ferrari will be putting all efforts into that car

    My leans

    H2h grosjean/rakkionnen to bt Hamilton/ button whatever h2h matchups I can get

    Race winner vettel(home Gp) or alonso

  21. #21
    shaunovery
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    For those who can play at betfair massa is 44-1

  22. #22
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by MatI View Post
    thanks for finding these pics and videos Mati

    unbelievable...

  23. #23
    Optional
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    Well, I almost hope Massa comes out and nails it for you just so you can bury us all later Dad

    But your Hamilton odds are looking even better today after McLaren came out and said there will be 'noticable' upgrades coming on to the car finally.

    This could be a big test for McLaren this weekend. If they have gone all out for an upgrade package and it doesn't work, they might have to start accepting that they simply got it wrong with their smooth nose design to start the year and will continue to fall further behind as all the other teams develop their step nosed cars even further.

    But I'm not so sure that have got it that wrong, so might play something on Ham too.

  24. #24
    Dad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Well, I almost hope Massa comes out and nails it for you just so you can bury us all later Dad

    But your Hamilton odds are looking even better today after McLaren came out and said there will be 'noticable' upgrades coming on to the car finally.

    This could be a big test for McLaren this weekend. If they have gone all out for an upgrade package and it doesn't work, they might have to start accepting that they simply got it wrong with their smooth nose design to start the year and will continue to fall further behind as all the other teams develop their step nosed cars even further.

    But I'm not so sure that have got it that wrong, so might play something on Ham too.
    Haha Thanks Optional!

    I would be very happy with a Hamilton win also.

  25. #25
    Dark Horse
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    Wait until after the qualifying. The comments from the drivers after that will give you a ton of useful info. Things change every race, never more than this season.

  26. #26
    Dad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Horse View Post
    Wait until after the qualifying. The comments from the drivers after that will give you a ton of useful info. Things change every race, never more than this season.
    True. But you may not get the odds you want after qualifying.

  27. #27
    Optional
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    McLarens top the time sheets in P1.

    Weird session. Lotus and Red Bull didn't do any fast laps.

    Alonso and Schumacher appeared to have decent setups.

  28. #28
    shaunovery
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    Mis leading p1 expect a lot of changes in p2

  29. #29
    Optional
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    Apparently it's pouring rain at the track right now.

    P2 may be no help either.

    Annoying 2 races in a row.

  30. #30
    shaunovery
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    Nothing to see this session pouring with rain

    Rain also expected for qualifying tomorrow

  31. #31
    Optional
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    Ugh

  32. #32
    Optional
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    Did you hear Ted Kravitz say Kovalainen has been talking to Ferrari about next year?

    He laughed it off saying even Massa says everyone has been talking to Ferrari.

    But that would be a pretty much perfect 1 year contract imho. I've always thought Kovi was up there near the best drivers. Although he never seemed to fully recover from that accident with McLaren where he went right under a tyre barrier. Whilst he was still with McLaren at least.

    1 year with Ferrari to prove his real worth to the paddock would have him salivating, whereas all the other contenders would be wanting a chance to keep the seat if they risk moving there. Might be enough for Ferrari to go with Heikki...

  33. #33
    shaunovery
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    Maybe trying to get him on the cheap with a 1 yr deal

    All teams trying to et there drivers signed for nxt yr webber already signed Lewis having talks

  34. #34
    Dad
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    Rain Rain Go Away

  35. #35
    MatI
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    Was hard to get any kind of feel from those practice sessions. Fingers crossed there is some dry running today....

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