1. 03-13-12 11:47 AM #1
    5mike5
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    BRISTOL--5mike5

    Alright boys were on to the 4th race of the season...BRISTOL, 1 of my personal favorite tracks...."thunder Valley" is no joke...even though racing isnt quite as good as it was b4 the re-paved the track several years ago...

    has been 1 of the best starts to a nascar racing season for us, so hopefully keeps rolling at my "hometown" track this weekend

    Bristol is a 0.533 mile short track oval....the banking is 36 degrees and the turns and 16 degrees in the straights...the fronystrech and backstretch both measure at just 650 feet....

    ill probably drive up to watch this 1 since im so close to Bristol, but have made final decision yet, im still tired as hell from a week in sin city...but i will make note if i wont be around much

    here is the Sprint Cup racing schedule for Bristol weekend...

    PRACTICES    :

    FRIDAY noon(est) on SPEED channel

    SATURDAY is 9:30am(est) and noon(est) both airing on SPEED channel

    QUALIFYING: FRIDAY 3:30 (est) airing on SPEED channel

    Sprint Cup series RACE @BRISTOL: SUNDAY at 1pm on FOX

    as always any useful thoughts, stats, or insight are always welcome on this thread every week...the more information shared only can help any1 looking for extra insights to win on sunday, and so far we are so feel free to chime in with useful Info......

    well im going to start watching previous races and start up my week...heres to hoping we keep it going boys!!!!

    and GOODLUCK to every1 this weekend!!!

    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-13-12 at 11:53 AM.
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  2. 03-13-12 11:52 AM #2
    5mike5
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    NATIONWIDE series @ Bristol weekend schedule:


    PRACTICES:     10:30am (est) and 2pm (est) both airing on SPEED channel


    QUALIFYING: 10:30am saturday morning airing on SPEED channel


    NATIONWIDE series RACE @ Bristol: is SATURDAY at 1pm airing on ESPN

    **    i love these early start times for both the Sprint Cup and NATIONWIDE series schedules this weekend
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  3. 03-13-12 03:04 PM #3
    Optional
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    Thank G_d You guys have started DLS. With the early race time means race broadcast starts at 3.30am instead of 7.00am for me, like last 3. Sounds worse but it's actually much better, and even better when we end DLS down here soon making it an extra hour earlier. I find it much easier to plan a nap Sunday afternoon so I can go through all the pre-race stuff to race end, rather than trying to go to bed and wake up for the start. (as Rickie has noted )



    Kyle, Gordo and Kenseth hold some nice average driver ratings at Bristol.

    Kyle Busch 107.0
    Jeff Gordon 100.1
    Matt Kenseth 99.4
    Greg Biffle 96.7
    Kurt Busch 95.9
    Jimmie Johnson 93.1
    Carl Edwards 92.3
    Kevin Harvick 90.2
    Ryan Newman 89.8
    Tony Stewart 89.4
    Brad Keselowski 88.3
    Denny Hamlin 87.7
    Dale Earnhardt, Jr. 87.1
    Marcos Ambrose 86.3
    Kasey Kahne 86.2
    Mark Martin 85.6
    Jeff Burton 84.7
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  4. 03-14-12 12:32 PM #4
    The Rangers
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    After a great run at Vegas (1st part of the race) maybe Dale Jr will get pumped and and win one at Bristol. It's been a while.


    Stranger things have happened.
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  5. 03-14-12 10:47 PM #5
    5mike5
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    most of these early odds are tough this week imo
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  6. 03-14-12 11:36 PM #6
    JackalLion
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    Early

    Are you making any early plays Mike? I played JJ and Jr.

    Thanks,

    Jackal
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  7. 03-14-12 11:44 PM #7
    5mike5
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    i havent made any yet but i will sometime b4 the sessions...i always make at least a few for every race

    i dont see much value in any of the top priced guys right now....maybe a mid-pack and lower but no decisions yet
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-14-12 at 11:50 PM.
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  8. 03-14-12 11:47 PM #8
    5mike5
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    still trying to decide if im going to drive up for the weekend at BRISTOL, or just stay home and enjoy the 2 races and ncaa tournament...im sill tired from being in vegas for a week, but still havent decided what im doing yet
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-14-12 at 11:53 PM.
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  9. 03-15-12 12:05 AM #9
    JackalLion
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    That makes sense. Maybe you'll be rested enough by Saturday. I don't see much value either just took Jimmy because of his run last week and the potential for him to drop to 5 or 6 after qual.

    Thanks,

    Jackal
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  10. 03-15-12 12:24 AM #10
    5mike5
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    jimmy definatley been running well there latley so cant fault ya for takin him early
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  11. 03-15-12 01:45 AM #11
    Reno Paul
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    Thinking Cousin Carl @+1000........Will look further at it later Thursday.

    He usually qualifies and races well there.
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  12. 03-15-12 10:03 AM #12
    5mike5
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    still got 1 more Spring @ Bristol race to watch then ill start making my early wagers sometime this evening after i look over my notebooks, ect. again...still dont think there much value in top few guys but may grab 1 and a few longer odds

    still havent decided to drive up or not, but leaning that way now
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-15-12 at 10:12 AM.
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  13. 03-15-12 11:04 PM #13
    5mike5
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    just looking at couple early wagers so far with biffle, kennseth, and kurt busch(big longshot)....all at pretty long odds, just havent pulled the trigger on any favorites yet.....KYLE wont get too much lower than he already is....debating on edwards or jimmy for a early bet, but might just stay put til after the sessions on friday...dont think its going to make that much a difference really...

    still deciding if im driving up for the Sprint Cup race or not...my buddy from high-school and his dad just got there in his RV so im extra temped now..lol...but if ncaa keep going this great i may have to stay here, but they wont im sure
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-16-12 at 12:08 AM.
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  14. 03-15-12 11:59 PM #14
    5mike5
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    also leaning edwards as hes ALWAYS starts up front @ bristol avg a 3.3 starting position here the last 4 races...so right now @+1000, i really cant see him being double-digits come later in the week, but thats just my opinion....but if u like edwards here, i would take him early rather than waiting til close to racetime

    still debating taking kyle now or waiting...he usually doesnt qualify very well @ Bristol so theres a chance those odds MAY get better on him, but its risky...1 thing is for sure they wont get much worse than they already are...guy has won 4 of last 6 at Bristol

    NO IDEA why smoke is top 3 favorite odds wise early at bristol...been 1 of his worst tracks for a while now...especially in his own equipment
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-16-12 at 12:04 AM.
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  15. 03-16-12 12:08 AM #15
    JackalLion
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    Nice picks Mike. Kurt moved to 500 more since the open so I'd say you waited to the right time. There's a lot of talk about Jr since his early run last week and him starting at 2700 what do you think, is he running strong enough to close the deal? What is Letartes (sp) record there?

    Thanks for the info!
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  16. 03-16-12 12:13 AM #16
    5mike5
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    i mean i never bet Dale Jr., but i must admit this is 1 of his better tracks to run in top 15, but just not sure about closing the deal...all that said i think +2600 or so is worth a risk if u are leaning him anyway....its 1 of the very few times i would even consider JR. on my roster....i just havent decided on alot of things yet....if i take kyle he will take up alot of room that i have to play with odds/# of drivers wise so thats why i havent taken him yet....im just leeaving myself plenty of wiggle room with my numbers right now...
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  17. 03-16-12 12:28 AM #17
    JackalLion
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    Sounds good Thanks!
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  18. 03-16-12 03:06 AM #18
    Reno Paul
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    Already took Edwards +1000 early........May add 1 or 2 more drivers later.

    Kyle also looks like a play but will take a chance and wait.

    Bristol is more of an exciting race to watch than to bet on for me. More variables in this race.

    The race in Fontana the week later is more of a betting man's race IMO.
    Last edited by Reno Paul; 03-16-12 at 03:10 AM.
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  19. 03-16-12 06:41 AM #19
    5mike5
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    i think they are all betting mans races....theres advantages and money to be made at every single race on the schedule...actually Bristol been 1 of the easier races to handicap over last 5 years than most tracks

    i really think edwards has value, BUT edwards has problems winning races...not sure why but he just cant close out and get 1st place last few years....but he starts up front here alot so maybe he turns it around and wins this time
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-16-12 at 06:47 AM.
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  20. 03-16-12 07:15 AM #20
    5mike5
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    wierd weather here latley.....rain is definatley in the forcast both sat. and sun. as of right now...

    we will have to keep an eye on it and hope it doesnt hit
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  21. 03-16-12 03:39 PM #21
    yisman
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    mike, I haven't been able to find nationwide odds all week. I figured maybe today there would be some but there isn't, even though race is set for 1 PM tomorrow (~20 hours away). Are they not done with qualifying or something?
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  22. 03-16-12 04:09 PM #22
    5mike5
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    nationwide qualifying is in the morning....they started practicing at 10am so thats why havent been up today....

    but i havent seen them all week either now that u mention it, probably be up tonight though id say
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  23. 03-16-12 04:11 PM #23
    Optional
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    ^^^ yeah they qualify at 10.30am and race at 1pm... Guess we get an hour to bet in between, maybe.
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  24. 03-16-12 04:12 PM #24
    5mike5
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    BIFFLE on CUP pole!!!!!!

    @+1600...YES SIR



    edwards 8th and leader of 1st practice...wont see +1000 on him again either....
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-16-12 at 04:15 PM.
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  25. 03-16-12 04:16 PM #25
    5mike5
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    exactly what i wanted to see out of KYLE too...NOT a top 10 starting position...soooo glad i waited on him
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  26. 03-16-12 04:19 PM #26
    yisman
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    ha, may as well not have nationwide betting at all

    typically bovada will have some sort of odds at some point and the pull them as we get towards qualifying. This week they didn't post anything.
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  27. 03-16-12 04:25 PM #27
    5mike5
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    they will be up tonight id say, but no idea about bovada though.,..id check late tonight
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  28. 03-16-12 04:30 PM #28
    Optional
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    Nice calls Mike
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  29. 03-16-12 04:34 PM #29
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Nice calls Mike

    thanks, but only matters if they WIN sunday...lol

    worked out well so far, hoping KYLE odds go up some
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  30. 03-16-12 07:55 PM #30
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    mike, I haven't been able to find nationwide odds all week. I figured maybe today there would be some but there isn't, even though race is set for 1 PM tomorrow (~20 hours away). Are they not done with qualifying or something?
    nationwide odds up on 5D yisman so u may want to check ur book too bud....

    thought u may see this so wanted to let u know since i cant PM ya
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  31. 03-16-12 10:29 PM #31
    hawk 5
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    BIFFLE on CUP pole!!!!!!

    @+1600...YES SIR



    edwards 8th and leader of 1st practice...wont see +1000 on him again either....
    So where in this thread did u take Biffle at +1600? Seen u had him and other drivers on your watch list but not a bet. Your great after they get done qualifying. Try posting your Biffle pick and odds before they qualify. Bit tougher.
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  32. 03-16-12 10:43 PM #32
    hawk 5
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    I'm sure your system doesn't call for you to disclose anything intel after it happens. That's the best system. Sure winners then.
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  33. 03-16-12 10:49 PM #33
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawk 5 View Post
    So where in this thread did u take Biffle at +1600? Seen u had him and other drivers on your watch list but not a bet. Your great after they get done qualifying. Try posting your Biffle pick and odds before they qualify. Bit tougher.

    those are my early bets...the 4 leans i said above the day before quailfying...biffle, edwards, kurt and kennseth...

    biffle was +1600, matt +1300, edwards +1000, kurt +3600

    and just like it says i waited on kyle...

    and i was dead on except kennseth and he still wont be much worse i doubt....

    biffle was +1600 all week at 5dimes BTW..odss didnt move 1 time...every1 knows where i bet and could easily see them
    Last edited by 5mike5; 03-16-12 at 10:57 PM.
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  34. 03-16-12 11:02 PM #34
    hawk 5
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    Didn't say that you don't know the sport because you do. No doubt. But don't past post. Take your drivers with conviction before the race or before qualifying. Your good enough to still be a hero.
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  35. 03-16-12 11:04 PM #35
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    ^^^ yeah they qualify at 10.30am and race at 1pm... Guess we get an hour to bet in between, maybe.
    they are up now Opti....

    wonder why ol JR runnin nationwide race...didnt think he ran it at bristol usually
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