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    Nascar Play: Betting the Bristol

    Nascar Play: Betting the Bristol


    We have been showing you ways to build your bankroll for the football season by playing “other” sports and props like first half of MLB games, WNBA, golf, and tonight we will look at NASCAR.
    If you’re not playing these different sporting events you’re missing out on huge opportunities. The bookmakers focus their attention on the most popular sport and the biggest edges do not exist with the popular game of the day but they exist where the public might not understand how or even that you can bet on these types of event and props. When sports betting for winning or a living you have to find advantages, something that will give you the edge. Yesterday we were able to show you how the public perception and misleading numbers gave us great value in the Reds/Giants under in the 5 inning line, today we look to NASCAR.

    What’s fastest growing sport on television? That’s right NASCAR. Looking back to 2001 NASCAR drew 6.5 million fans throughout more than 70 events and more than 75 million television viewers. Then came along Fox, TBS, and NBC and the explosion was even bigger then in 2001.

    There are two main types of NASCAR wagering which include picking the winner of the race and picking the winner of a head-to-head driver match-up. A money-line is used in both situations. In picking the winner of a race all drivers will be plus money and at least 5 to 1 with other drivers ranging from 7 to 1 to 100 – 1. If you decide to bet on picking the winner of the race you should play at least 3 drivers. With plus money odds if your driver wins you will still make money. When picking the winner of the race I advise cutting your normal play to 1/5 of what your normal wager is and most of the time I suggest you play this wager for fun and excitement while watching the race.

    We’re here to talk about value and that value lies in the head-to-head match ups. This is where you should be betting NASCAR. In head-to-head, oddsmakers match up two drivers and you will pick the driver that has the better overall finishing position. The odds are set just like baseball, a 20 cent money line, where one driver will be -120 and the other will be +120 the line goes up or down based on the match-up.

    In handicapping NASCAR we get great veriety as there are 36 races that take place on more the 20 different tracks. Drivers will excel at different tracks as Tony Stewart and Jeff Gordon dominate the road courses while other drivers excel on short tracks. Today’s event takes us to Bristol where Kurt Bush has won 4 times. Secondly, qualifying is not the most important piece of information to look at when handicapping NASCAR races. The starting grid rarely resembles the finishing order. The practice sessions are truer to how the race will shape up and in the second and third practice sessions the cars are set up for race conditions, this will tell you who consistently has the faster car.

    If you’re serious about your play and you not betting the WNBA, GOLF, first half lines, NASCAR, etc. then you are wasting opportunities and quite frankly these events can be much easier to handicap then baseball or football. Research and spotting your plays (when you play) in these events can build your bankroll.

    NASCAR Nextel Cup Bristol 7:30 PM EST

    Greg Biffle is just not having any luck this year and in racing you have to not only be good, but you have to have some luck. I guess most of the time the drivers say they “have had bad luck” or were “unlucky”. In any case, Biffle has had no luck at all. Biffle will be using his back up car as he crashed in practice; this being a short track and having to start in the rear will be a tough position to make up. Meanwhile Kenseth led 415 of the 500 laps in his last win at Bristol and he was leading the next time out at Bristol when he got spun with 10 laps to go. Matt has been a model of consistency this year and has done well at this track in the past. Take Kenseth over Biffle Head-to-Head.

    Play: Matt Kenseth over Greg Biffle

    By: Mark "The Shark" Miller
    http://www.SharkHandicapping.com
    Last edited by SBRforum Staff; 08-26-06 at 11:06 AM.

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