1. 10-11-11 10:56 AM #1
    Vegas39
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    Charlotte

    odds out from The Greek


    101 Jimmie Johnson +500
    102 Kyle Busch +800
    103 Carl Edwards +900
    104 Jeff Gordon +900
    105 Kevin Harvick +1100
    106 Tony Stewart +1100
    107 Kurt Busch +1300
    108 Matt Kenseth +1300
    109 Brad Keselowski +1300
    110 Denny Hamlin +1600
    111 Greg Biffle +2000
    112 Kasey Kahne +2200
    113 Dale Earnhardt Jr +2200
    114 Clint Bowyer +2800
    115 Ryan Newman +3300
    116 David Reutimann +3600
    117 David Ragan +3600
    118 Martin Truex Jr +3600
    119 Mark Martin +3600
    120 Joey Logano +4200
    121 Juan Montoya +5000
    122 Jeff Burton +5000
    123 Field +2200
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  2. 10-11-11 12:47 PM #2
    Optional
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    Are you in the US Vegas?
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  3. 10-11-11 12:54 PM #3
    Vegas39
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    Yes but still check Greek as their lines close.....use 5 dimes more than Vegas books as lines here usually suck
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  4. 10-11-11 01:20 PM #4
    Optional
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    I feel like The Greek's linesman is sharper, and will sometimes take someone on 5D simply based on Greek shortening the odds when 5D have lengthened them.
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  5. 10-11-11 01:23 PM #5
    Vegas39
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    who you liking this week Opti

    Think Kyle runs strong this weekend
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  6. 10-11-11 02:26 PM #6
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    Tough one to sort out the chances I think.

    Starting with the plain stats for the last 8 races here there is some useful info.

    Logano's best track by far, about 70% better finish than his average and 30% better on quali performance.

    If you look at Kyle's career stats here it looks like a bad track for him. Average for quali and quite a bit below average for results. But if we narrow it down to the last 4½ years he jumps to the top. Plus he owns it in the NW series here.

    Even more pronounced that Kyle, Charlotte is Jeff Gordon's 2nd worst track (above Dega) career wise. And even though his last two outings here have ended in bad finishes, he also looks speedy if we drill down to the last 8 races. (he has qualified a little better than average over his career though)

    Kahne's best track for career average. About 20% better than his average finish and 30% better than his average start spot. Like Jeff Gordon has had forgettable races here last 2 times out.

    Kurt Busch's worst track for qualifying and about 20% below his career average for finishes. He has 2 top 10's in the last 3 chase races here, plus a 4th and a win in the last two regular season races.

    Jimmie Johnson has gone 14th, 6th, 1st and 3rd in the last four chase races here. His 39th, 13th, 37th and 28th in non-chase events is what pulls his overall ranking on the table below down.

    Attachment 33391

    That seems to be the main chances based on those simple stats to me. Guess I will grab a little on Logano +4200 based on that, but will have to take a closer look at driver ratings etc, and news etc in coming days. As nothing really jumps out at me from that.
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  7. 10-11-11 02:31 PM #7
    Vegas39
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    Good info thanks
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  8. 10-11-11 08:15 PM #8
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    Burton, Logano +330, Martin, McMurray, Truex Jr
    Kurt Busch, Kyle Busch +300, Edwards, Harvick, Kenseth

    For group bets?

    These 2 quali machups look worth a shot to me too

    Ryan Newman #39* +100 vs Mark Martin #5
    Denny Hamlin #11* +130 vs Carl Edwards #99
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  9. 10-11-11 09:15 PM #9
    Vegas39
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    Jumped on Newman Qualifying bet
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  10. 10-12-11 02:39 PM #10
    Vegas39
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    Grabbed Kyle in Nationwide + 375
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  11. 10-12-11 04:57 PM #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    Grabbed Kyle in Nationwide + 375
    Such a toss up that race looks like to me.
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  12. 10-13-11 06:37 AM #12
    hawk 5
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    Jimmie +500, Kyle +850, and Kahne +2300. Will add one more.
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  13. 10-13-11 09:29 AM #13
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawk 5 View Post
    Jimmie +500, Kyle +850, and Kahne +2300. Will add one more.

    GL Hawk...Debating Kahne as well
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  14. 10-13-11 01:43 PM #14
    Vegas39
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    added a qualifying play

    Gordon +140 over Johnson
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  15. 10-13-11 10:28 PM #15
    hawk 5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    GL Hawk...Debating Kahne as well
    Kahne looking good in both practice and qualifying. Stewart ain't done yet.
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  16. 10-13-11 10:30 PM #16
    5mike5
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    he was a steal at +2300 early for us
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  17. 10-14-11 09:40 AM #17
    Vegas39
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    Yes grabbed Kahne here in town last night @ 25-1
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  18. 10-14-11 09:44 AM #18
    5mike5
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    i like the value in kahne...not saying he will win but the way hes been running last 2 weeks i think it was the best value pick b4 the sessions
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  19. 10-14-11 09:48 AM #19
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    i like the value in kahne...not saying he will win but the way hes been running last 2 weeks i think it was the best value pick b4 the sessions

    I agree and him being a past winner here as well
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  20. 10-14-11 09:49 AM #20
    5mike5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    I agree and him being a past winner here as well
    and its his best statistical track by far along with those 3 wins .......that red bull team needs a win and will throw the kitchen sink at that car to get it
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  21. 10-14-11 10:24 AM #21
    Vegas39
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    Forgot to add Indy cars gonna be wicked fast Sunday.Danica was fastest on track yesterday at a 224
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  22. 10-14-11 10:27 AM #22
    5mike5
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    i definatley dont know enough and rarely even watch to bet on indy, but ill give it a watch since its championship and all
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  23. 10-14-11 10:30 AM #23
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by 5mike5 View Post
    i definatley dont know enough and rarely even watch to bet on indy, but ill give it a watch since its championship and all
    will be fun Indy cars haven't been on track here to race since they added the banking
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  24. 10-14-11 04:02 PM #24
    yisman
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    Unfortunately, no odds available since last night.
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  25. 10-14-11 05:01 PM #25
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    Greek has a market up. Not sure why 5D is so slow today.

    Attachment 33451
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  26. 10-14-11 05:12 PM #26
    yisman
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    no sprint cup odds until tomorrow, I guess.
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  27. 10-14-11 05:27 PM #27
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    Probably about 8pm tonight I'd guess. Maybe 9pm. A couple of hours after this session ends.
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  28. 10-14-11 06:03 PM #28
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    I took Stenhouse to win the Nationwide race.

    Didn't like any of the matchups.
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  29. 10-15-11 07:37 AM #29
    hawk 5
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawk 5 View Post
    Jimmie +500, Kyle +850, and Kahne +2300. Will add one more.
    Adding Stewart at +750. 14 times this race has been won from the pole.
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  30. 10-15-11 06:47 PM #30
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    Got Logano +4200, Smoke +800
    Kahne Top 3 +600 and Smoke +200
    A couple of bucks each on Ambrose, Dinger and Bayne at big odds. And a bunch of parlays.

    Added a couple of extra units on Smoke +1000 (at sportsbook though) so rather big on him.

    Not really sweating on a win this week... should have swung the net a bit wider really.
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  31. 10-15-11 07:11 PM #31
    CashMoney27
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    lets goo boys
    lets bring the houyse down tnonight
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  32. 10-15-11 07:26 PM #32
    yisman
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    all these guys at least a lap back: (only 27 in contention)


    28
    28
    Jeff Burton
    31
    Chevrolet
    52
    Running
    [+]29
    30
    Landon Cassill
    51
    Chevrolet
    52
    Running
    [+]30
    24
    Casey Mears
    13
    Toyota
    52
    Running
    [+]31
    22
    Bobby Labonte
    47
    Toyota
    52
    Running
    [+]32
    33
    David Gilliland
    34
    Ford
    52
    Running
    [+]33
    38
    J.J. Yeley
    38
    Ford
    52
    Running
    [+]34
    35
    Dave Blaney
    36
    Chevrolet
    52
    Running
    [+]35
    42
    Mike Bliss
    32
    Ford
    52
    Running
    [+]36
    31
    Brian Vickers
    83
    Toyota
    51
    Running
    [+]37
    41
    Hermie Sadler
    71
    Ford
    49
    Running
    [+]38
    43
    Robby Gordon
    7
    Dodge
    33
    Running
    [+]39
    37
    Michael McDowell
    66
    Toyota
    30
    Running
    [+]40
    34
    Travis Kvapil
    55
    Ford
    27
    Running
    [+]41
    36
    David Stremme
    30
    Chevrolet
    22
    Unknown
    [+]42
    40
    Andy Lally
    77
    Ford
    20
    Unknown
    [+]43
    39
    Joe Nemechek
    87
    Toyota
    11
    Unknown
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  33. 10-15-11 07:31 PM #33
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    28 now. Burton gets the lucky dog
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  34. 10-15-11 07:36 PM #34
    5mike5
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    those guys really werent in contention before the race started lets be honest here
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  35. 10-15-11 08:16 PM #35
    Vegas39
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    Biffle 15 th. Penalty this year
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