Since AJ blew a tire while leading at Dover last fall, I've had this date circled. His average finish here in the last three races is 10.3, and he had a car that was as fast or faster than Johnson last year. I believe he ended up making up two laps before snagging a 10th. I really think he'll contend for a top 5 --- and I'm optimistic that he'll be as fast as he was last fall. He ran a tire test here recently, and AJ hasn't been shy about how much he's looking forward to going back to Dover.
I think there's a lot to be said about momentum in Nascar, and nobody has more than Carl Edwards right now. He's got 9 top 10s here in the last 10 races. The other was an 11th. His two teammates run pretty well here too.
Summary -- I like Ford this week.