1. 01-21-11 05:35 PM #1
    Dr. Poker
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    Tiger Woods Props

    My friend is offering me 2 tiger props:

    Tiger over 0.5 majors this year +100
    Tiger over 18.5 career majors +100...


    He will let me go up to 500 on each. what do you guys think?
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  2. 01-21-11 05:37 PM #2
    YorkHunt
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    Woods is at 14 majors. That would mean 5 more. Hmm..I think he has it in him. And Im sure he will get at least one this year.
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  3. 01-21-11 05:39 PM #3
    YorkHunt
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  4. 01-21-11 05:45 PM #4
    VegasInsider
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    I think he gets to 19...but it's going to take up to 5 years. I would play the MAX that he wins one this year. He always has a good chance at Augusta, regardless of how poorly he's playing. He seems to like AAC, host of the PGA this season - so I would give him another better-than-average chance of winning there. You're getting good value IMO at Even money and I'd run with this one.
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  5. 01-21-11 05:54 PM #5
    stevenash
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    I'm fading Tiger for the rest of his career.
    a) he's lost all killer instinct
    b) he's changed his swing so many times he doesn't even know who he is (golf wise) anymore.
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  6. 01-21-11 06:07 PM #6
    katstale
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    The career is a nice savings acct type investment. The year is a little dicier, but I would ask for +110 and then bet it.
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  7. 01-21-11 06:15 PM #7
    EmpireMaker
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    I'd take both
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  8. 01-21-11 06:15 PM #8
    EmpireMaker
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    I like this year better but both look good
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  9. 01-21-11 07:29 PM #9
    Grux
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    I would take that over 0.5 this year. The instructor he is working with is very good and has improved Tigers swing. I think you will cash your ticket after the fourth round of the masters. I would put one unit on this years bet and a half unit on him beating Jacks record. GL.
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  10. 01-21-11 07:56 PM #10
    jjgold
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    Dont know

    He still has not won a tourney in over a year
    He showed some promise at end of year

    He is playing next week, he needs to start strong and get confidence back
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  11. 01-21-11 08:09 PM #11
    shaggy3000
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    sorry bud but hes not winning one this year. and he probly wont win 19 for his career. too many swing changes. he has some pussy swing coach that will just kiss his ass and not really help him. the feild is becoming insanely deep now days. he is changing his lifestyle to be more user friendly and the lack of pussy is showing its affects. any man thats not getting laid will lack the confidence to finish the job in all areas of life.

    have you watched golf recently. these guys are all freaks now. they all can look at tiger eye to eye now and not blink. hell give me 3 months and 5 shots and ill play him for money...
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  12. 01-24-11 12:10 AM #12
    Dr. Poker
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    Thanks for the input guys. I have to get my plays in before he plays this weekend so I have some thinking to do. Right now I'm leaning toward 200 on winning at least one this year and 400 on the career over 18.5. I just don't see him continuing to fall apart for the next 9 months and definitely not for the entire next 4-6 years he has left in the prime of his career.
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  13. 01-24-11 12:13 AM #13
    InTheDrink
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    I would BURY over .5 this year.

    He will win at least two.
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  14. 01-24-11 12:59 AM #14
    Hootie Johnson
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    I think it might depend on whether he gets back to banging whores again. If he does, both bets are near locks!
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  15. 01-24-11 02:52 AM #15
    RLF
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    He's gone. Needs more sex.
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  16. 01-24-11 02:59 AM #16
    dfberger23
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    Tiger will make a come back this year, will definitely win a major.
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  17. 01-24-11 09:05 AM #17
    no1here
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    Tiger will be as old this year. Recieve great odds for sure taken him in upcoming event. Tiger will have a great year and return to number one.
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  18. 01-24-11 09:59 AM #18
    The Seer
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    No way he breaks Jack's record. Tiger racked up several when he had little competition. Tourneys can and will be won by a number of guys now as evidenced from last year. The Europeans have as many or more guys that the US that can win majors.
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  19. 01-24-11 10:28 AM #19
    DeluxeLiner
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    For the over/under .5 wins for the year: I will help you out here but you need to figure it out... Tiger Woods is currently -135 at 5dimes to have 0 wins this year. You need to find the no vig odds (extrapolate from the vigged -135=57.45%). You can do find the no vig adding up the odds of all 5 outcomes, converting the odds to a percentage (which will be over 100%) then divide the Tiger price(57.45) by the added percentages (for example lets say it adds up to 114%, so 57.45/114 which is 50.39% no vig)
    Last edited by DeluxeLiner; 01-24-11 at 10:52 AM. Reason: changed approach and added stuff
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  20. 01-24-11 10:42 AM #20
    DeluxeLiner
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    can someone back me up that i am leading this guy in the right direction here

    edit:changed approach so binom dist no longer needed.
    Last edited by DeluxeLiner; 01-24-11 at 11:05 AM. Reason: changed approach
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  21. 01-24-11 10:45 AM #21
    DeluxeLiner
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    ughh omg okay i will figure it out myself...dr poker, i am about to be your new best friend...
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  22. 01-24-11 11:08 AM #22
    DeluxeLiner
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    This all based on 5 dimes props...

    Wins-Probability
    0- 57.45%
    1- 38.46%
    2-11.11%
    3-2.94%
    4-1.41%

    =111.37%

    So find the no vig for under .5 wins.
    57.45/111.37= 51.5848% or -106.54

    So if you want over you would need to get +107 to break even longterm (assuming these 5dimes numbers are efficient)
    Points Awarded:

    SBR_John gave DeluxeLiner 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  23. 01-27-11 08:03 AM #23
    slapster33
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    I think it might depend on whether he gets back to banging whores again. If he does, both bets are near locks!

    Hottie, you really think he is not calling some puss, now that he is divorced and clear, i would say he is ten times worse right now....not all the women he had, came forward, so i'm sure he is slamming some of the old flings
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  24. 01-27-11 08:18 AM #24
    Absolutelyonfire
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    i don't believe he will break Jack's record.........just too many great young players now , and no-one is scared of Tiger anymore
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  25. 01-27-11 10:12 AM #25
    Roxxyfish
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    I bought a book .Tiger Woods- mybest 18 holes, hmm surprised it was not about golf
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  26. 01-27-11 10:19 AM #26
    Bcatswin
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    Think im going to take Rocco against him today in the 1st round at +425
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  27. 01-27-11 10:20 AM #27
    Bcatswin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roxxyfish View Post
    I bought a book .Tiger Woods- mybest 18 holes, hmm surprised it was not about golf
    LMAO!!!!!You know there is also and 2nd, 3rd, and 4th addition to that book...
    Once you complete the set it is known as My 4 Round Total
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  28. 01-27-11 10:14 PM #28
    bracerman
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    Tiger will figure things out and wins at least one this year.
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  29. 01-27-11 10:49 PM #29
    VegasInsider
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    Standing by what I said in my earlier post, especially after seeing his swing this afternoon. He's stopped laying the club off and getting "stuck" behind. Has some great balance and gotten back to hitting the power fade and lost the snap hooks. If he can make those 10-15 footers like he used to, he'll be dangerous this season.
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  30. 01-27-11 10:49 PM #30
    zert
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    I dont give a crap about the great tiger
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  31. 01-27-11 11:29 PM #31
    Herky
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    take the over career majors for max. If he gets to 19 you win. If not, your bet could go on for 30+ years. Nicklaus last major was at age 65.
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  32. 01-27-11 11:32 PM #32
    byronbb
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    people need to realize tiger was good when he was banging 5 sluts a day. it allowed him to focus and have confidence. now that he is "trying to get better" he will only ever be mediocre. sluts ftw!!
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  33. 01-27-11 11:54 PM #33
    dynamite140
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    Tought one for sure there.
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  34. 01-28-11 12:32 AM #34
    InTheDrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Herky View Post
    take the over career majors for max. If he gets to 19 you win. If not, your bet could go on for 30+ years. Nicklaus last major was at age 65.
    Good bid. Try 46 herky jerky.
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  35. 01-28-11 04:19 AM #35
    floridagolfer
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    No way I'd risk my own money for him to get to 19 majors. Who knows how many more swing overhauls he's going to make.
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