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LOCK of the WEEK
KVB I'd be interested to hear your analysis on the CFL game tomorrow but, I already have a pick in mind.
I love BC -3 but I love the under 49.5.
Chucky The Goat will likely be on this under as well. He's a CFL sharp.
JJ Gold assures me that this will stay under & Seaweed expects this to be a 24-11 or 22-12 final.
^^^^^^
Not quite as reliable as Chucky & KVB
Only squares like Opie & Mickey Man would take an over in this spot. Born losers.
Line hasn't budged all week.
Get it while you can.
Hey, Jay. I hear u.
Montreal is normally an Under team. Solid defense, w/ struggling offense.
But I don't like that play. I pass the total. I just don't see any line-value.
If u want some Wk03 plays, hit me up.
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If seaweed likes the under then you know it's going over...common jay you know this
Jay:
See if this prickball + his Hawaiian friend show up w/ a Week03 preview.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZMN3hxDjtno
I don't know Chucky, I think Ian & Andrew are due, like a Choose Your Own Adventure library book!
They usually stay away from the totals & take the favorites, which have been hitting at a 0% rate!
I'm being told this is an Angelito pick.Originally Posted by Booya711
After KVB weighs in, I'll decide whether this is a 15u pick or a 45u pick!
Might be back in Vegas sooner than planned.
Jay...how TF are u generating selections?
Do not know much about CFL
Jay seems very confident here
Useless post #253,285 from JJ.
good job in poker last night pal
This is a bet based on their meeting over the past two seasons. Both teams are slightly different but the core is the about the same.
BC-3 is a hunch that favorites will bounce back and start covering this week.
I think the books are getting tired of paying the dogs on the points this season.
Thanks Rudy. Well have some major points riding on this under now
Good luc. I'd tail but cannot gamble til tomorrow
Today is the last day Otters?!
Well done!
She'll be back putting in bets for you before you know it.
Line has moved to 50.5, the public has spoken.
I guess this is already a loser.
I thought Biggie would love the CFL, he can bet on every Canadian team and always come out a winner!
The only thing good about the CFL was listening to the drunk fukks scream ARRRRGOOOSS as they walked back from the skywalk when the games were played at skydome.
I have never really tried to make money in this market before. I hate Everything about the cfl.
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It’s only week three and the markets haven’t matured yet but I can weigh in a bit here. In the past I’ve only given the sharp forecast for the CFL and talked about other forecasts relative to the sharp one. That sharp forecast is dynamic and hasn’t hit below 60% for a season yet…real talk.
But we need at least four games to get that forecast refined, something that is true for most sports.
I can make a non-predictive public gauge that gives us a 24-20 BC win. The sharpest forecast I can make that basically stacks percentages gives us a 27-22 BC victory.
I agree with Chucky that there is little value in the total based on that stacking forecast.
I think this will sideline those early bettors that are a bit more sophisticated in their decision making, leaving the OVER ripe to pay given last week’s Totals fiasco.
Jay, an Under tonight would stretch the market more than I think it wants to stretch and am not surprised that the line has crept upward as analysts seek some of that settlement from last week.
As far as BC -3, I am one of those that agreed with BC -2.5 from a long term perspective for early season, but -3 is not a bet and will probably end up being a push here.
No bet at -3 and a pass or the Over for tonight is what many analysts will seek, but the bet size and money isn’t that great and confidence only so high.
As far as upsets and favorites, it’s worth noting that the early line in BC vs. Toronto last Friday had BC favored. As far as opening lines are concerned (and they are important) this has been the only favorite that has covered.
Some bettors had Winnipeg -1 last week, but that line opened a pick and closed with Saskatch -1.5.
Well Jay, this thread may have triggered the motivation for another CFL thread, perhaps this will be it.
Good Luck tonight.
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Oh, and be careful with the moneyline on the favorite, it's not that good of a bet.
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If BC covers, they would be the first favorite to cover in CFL this season.
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This is only true for the closing lines.
Pre game favorite tickets have cashed this season...
True but still goes to show how dogs have dominated CFL just as they have for many years.
It's just crazy how the early season puts out so many dogs, year after year. The end of the season tends to get streaks of favorites, especially as the playoff picture develops.
Yup, I noticed the closing line in that game too.
This looks like the under we hoped for.
Nice one Jay, that's what it's all about.
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Nice call. Really wanted to bet that.
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They're never easy but this was never in doubt from kick off.
I guess the late money wasn't right after all!
Canada is a pretty small city JJ.
Word gets around.
It's midnight Otters, get gambling!
KVB gave ChuckyTheGoat 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
