Hels' NRL Thread -- Let's Drive this Shit!!

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  • Giuvara
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-15-10
    • 873

    #526
    those bloody panthers!
    Comment
    • camel
      SBR MVP
      • 02-26-09
      • 1711

      #527
      Knights
      Comment
      • shallowtanky
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-15-09
        • 196

        #528
        that wasn't good to watch.
        Still got the dogs game guys. lets get it back!
        Comment
        • Bazz27
          SBR High Roller
          • 02-21-09
          • 196

          #529
          dogs wont let this game slip n 2 pts to valuable to them after 1 from 3. i like sths total pts u/19.5 @1.85
          Comment
          • hels
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-12-09
            • 8767

            #530
            Souths/Doggies O38.5 $200 to win $110
            Doggies-5.5 $277 to win $250
            Doggies ML $490 to win $250


            Saw big late line movement and love the Dogs.

            Carpe Diem
            Comment
            • hels
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-12-09
              • 8767

              #531


              if you looked away for 14 seconds after the bullies try

              and 3 minutes after the bullies first try
              Comment
              • hels
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-12-09
                • 8767

                #532
                sweet jesus

                sobeit, monday was the shittiest day possible in the nrl for me.

                rough day and my picks have been way off. I know there's still 40 minutes left for the dogs but I'm not even going to watch.

                Hopefully next week will be a better one!!
                Comment
                • Domestic
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-10-09
                  • 6323

                  #533
                  At least your over is going to cash hels.
                  Its been a rough day, I think I am getting the boot from last man standing unless the bulldogs can do something insane.
                  Comment
                  • Bazz27
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-21-09
                    • 196

                    #534
                    Whats going on with the Bulldogs, they are struggling with 1 from 4 now
                    Comment
                    • kingfish28
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-13-10
                      • 572

                      #535
                      Really thought the bulldogs had turned the corner but that's it for me with the dogs. El masri gone and so are the by the looks of it. U just can't lose to the bunnies by that much
                      Comment
                      • MrStiffy
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 03-25-10
                        • 157

                        #536
                        Unfortunatley Souths finally lived up to their expectations in a game they were expected to lose. I hope you have a better run next week Hels, last nights games would have caught most people off guard.

                        Few good games for next weekend I'm eyeing off. I'm curious to see what line is put up for the Dragons/Broncos game for Friday night, might be the biggest line we've seen so far this season.
                        Comment
                        • Bazz27
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 02-21-09
                          • 196

                          #537
                          Your spot on, its big, dragons -18.5 on centerbet, can/will they cover that??
                          Comment
                          • Domestic
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-10-09
                            • 6323

                            #538
                            Originally posted by Bazz27
                            Your spot on, its big, dragons -18.5 on centerbet, can/will they cover that??
                            I like Melbourne -6 a lot more on Friday Night. Assuming Prince is still out.
                            Comment
                            • kingfish28
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-13-10
                              • 572

                              #539
                              Originally posted by Domestic
                              I like Melbourne -6 a lot more on Friday Night. Assuming Prince is still out.
                              Hey domestic yeah i'm liking the storm providing prince is out. Dragons line is quite big maybe over 12.5 is a bit safer but still a little early
                              Comment
                              • MrStiffy
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 03-25-10
                                • 157

                                #540
                                Originally posted by Bazz27
                                Your spot on, its big, dragons -18.5 on centerbet, can/will they cover that??
                                I think so. I'd expect dragons to win this by at least 4 tries. Roosters not blowing broncos out of the water and dragons being shown up by storm last week might have helped this line stay down a bit, but I really thought it would be over 20 points. Seems Henjak is scrapping the bottom of the barrel introducing a few new recruits for this game as well. This could get ugly.

                                I'll hold off to see what the weather will be like, if its raining they might not cover. If its dry conditions, i can't see the broncos not getting flogged.

                                Originally posted by Domestic
                                I like Melbourne -6 a lot more on Friday Night. Assuming Prince is still out.
                                I like this one as well. Storm chasing one try against a prince-less titans. Storm hasn't blown anyone out of the water yet, but done enough to win every game, so chasing one try you'd expect them to cover.
                                Comment
                                • MrStiffy
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 03-25-10
                                  • 157

                                  #541
                                  Bit off topic, but did you guys see tennisbabes $3300 baseball multi paying out $88,000 hit in the baseball forum?


                                  Takes balls to risk that sort of money on a 7 team multi, but payed out.
                                  Comment
                                  • Domestic
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-10-09
                                    • 6323

                                    #542
                                    Originally posted by MrStiffy
                                    Bit off topic, but did you guys see tennisbabes $3300 baseball multi paying out $88,000 hit in the baseball forum? Takes balls to risk that sort of money on a 7 team multi, but payed out.
                                    Yeah, insane. Wish I had 3k to slap on parlays.. lol.
                                    Comment
                                    • camel
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-26-09
                                      • 1711

                                      #543
                                      I thought Prince was out for 6 weeks???

                                      Liking Storm alot!!

                                      As for the Dragons game, big lines always scare the shit out of me because things can go so, so wrong... but they are playing the Broncos after all... hmm.. not sure yet.
                                      Comment
                                      • hels
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-12-09
                                        • 8767

                                        #544
                                        Originally posted by MrStiffy
                                        Quote:
                                        Originally Posted by Bazz27
                                        Your spot on, its big, dragons -18.5 on centerbet, can/will they cover that??

                                        I think so. I'd expect dragons to win this by at least 4 tries. Roosters not blowing broncos out of the water and dragons being shown up by storm last week might have helped this line stay down a bit, but I really thought it would be over 20 points. Seems Henjak is scrapping the bottom of the barrel introducing a few new recruits for this game as well. This could get ugly.

                                        I'll hold off to see what the weather will be like, if its raining they might not cover. If its dry conditions, i can't see the broncos not getting flogged.

                                        Quote:
                                        Originally Posted by Domestic
                                        I like Melbourne -6 a lot more on Friday Night. Assuming Prince is still out.

                                        I like this one as well. Storm chasing one try against a prince-less titans. Storm hasn't blown anyone out of the water yet, but done enough to win every game, so chasing one try you'd expect them to cover.
                                        The Dragons should win by at least 4 tries but this season has opened up as the usual unpredictable. No one thought the Sharks would win a game this season and then an 11-0 miracle occurs. My major question is this, the Dragons know they should win easily so how hard are they going to play? Let's say they're up 16-4 at the half, will they force the score or give their subs more playing time to rest their big names? I think for them to cover they'll have to score a minimum of 30.... just a thought

                                        Maybe the Storm ML would be the best option. You parlay both the Storm ML and Dragons ML you'll get about 1.75 I reckon. That isn't a bad investment
                                        Comment
                                        • MrStiffy
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 03-25-10
                                          • 157

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by hels
                                          The Dragons should win by at least 4 tries but this season has opened up as the usual unpredictable. No one thought the Sharks would win a game this season and then an 11-0 miracle occurs. My major question is this, the Dragons know they should win easily so how hard are they going to play? Let's say they're up 16-4 at the half, will they force the score or give their subs more playing time to rest their big names? I think for them to cover they'll have to score a minimum of 30.... just a thought

                                          Maybe the Storm ML would be the best option. You parlay both the Storm ML and Dragons ML you'll get about 1.75 I reckon. That isn't a bad investment
                                          You bring up a good point Hels.

                                          One thing I will say about the dragons is that since Bennett has been there, they do seem to finish off a lot of the weaker teams and beat them by big margins. Already they have won two games this season by 20+ points (33-8 vs cowboys, 26-6 vs dogs), and last season they had a lot of large wins against the weaker sides.

                                          Just looking at this broncos side, the backline itself only has wallace and lockyer from last years team, and now they have Teo and Winterstein missing from last weeks team. While they might put forth a better effort than last week against the roosters (stuffed up a few tries with bad passes and knock ons), I really don't give them a chance. I thought the roosters were crap last week as well, and they won by 19 points (enough to cover this weeks spread). But having said all that, you are right, this is the nrl and anything can happen, we did see it last weekend with some other matches.

                                          A Friday night multi might be the best idea, but I think I'll take my chances and put the dragons in it -11.5 or something around that with storm straight up

                                          What do you think about the other matches for this round?
                                          Comment
                                          • camel
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-26-09
                                            • 1711

                                            #546
                                            lol @ your avatar MrStiffy.... good ol' hopoate.
                                            Comment
                                            • MrStiffy
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 03-25-10
                                              • 157

                                              #547
                                              Originally posted by camel
                                              lol @ your avatar MrStiffy.... good ol' hopoate.
                                              Has to be one of the funniest and dumbest things I'm ever seen in sport

                                              Still can't believe he got away with it so many times before being picked up for it. He was even doing it in the match the week before he got caught out


                                              What are peoples's thoughts/opinions for the storm game?
                                              Comment
                                              • camel
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-26-09
                                                • 1711

                                                #548
                                                I think Storm will win and also cover the -5.5 line. BUT... i'm considering putting a multi on Dragons ML/Storm ML for $1.71. Might be a "safer" bet.
                                                Comment
                                                • MrStiffy
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 03-25-10
                                                  • 157

                                                  #549
                                                  Ok thanks Camel. Can't see dragons losing this game straight up, so you should be safe there.

                                                  I'm never good at picking storm games, never know if they'll win comfortably or if the game goes down to the wire, so I'll rely on others suggestions for this game. But thinking dragons -11.5 x storm -3.5. Paying 2.45.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • camel
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-26-09
                                                    • 1711

                                                    #550
                                                    Yeah, Storm games are hard to pick sometimes because they do come out flat, but they're a good side that can maintain pressure and then jump the other team. Just look at the Knights game a couple of weeks back.

                                                    The more i look into tomorrows games, i'm now more confident in Dragons covering their -18 line compared to Storm covering theirs.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MrStiffy
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 03-25-10
                                                      • 157

                                                      #551
                                                      Originally posted by camel
                                                      Yeah, Storm games are hard to pick sometimes because they do come out flat, but they're a good side that can maintain pressure and then jump the other team. Just look at the Knights game a couple of weeks back.

                                                      The more i look into tomorrows games, i'm now more confident in Dragons covering their -18 line compared to Storm covering theirs.
                                                      Thats one thing I like about the dragons, its not a guessing game if they'll show up each week, they nearly always put in a good effort, and they keep scoring, often blowing teams away in the second half. IMO I think this is the best side in the NRL to back covering an 18 point spread against a weak team.

                                                      I think i am just weary of the storm coz I have been burnt by them before winning straight up but not covering small lines. If they can play anything like they did last week, can't see them losing tomorrow night.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • shallowtanky
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                        • 196

                                                        #552
                                                        what do you think of this multi tomorrow tonight?

                                                        st kilda ML $1.45
                                                        storm ML $1.43
                                                        St George by 13+ $1.52

                                                        pay $3.15

                                                        Thinking of putting 2 units on it
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hels
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-12-09
                                                          • 8767

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by camel
                                                          I think Storm will win and also cover the -5.5 line. BUT... i'm considering putting a multi on Dragons ML/Storm ML for $1.71. Might be a "safer" bet.
                                                          I was thinking this too, but then comes along this post....


                                                          Originally posted by MrStiffy
                                                          Ok thanks Camel. Can't see dragons losing this game straight up, so you should be safe there. I'm never good at picking storm games, never know if they'll win comfortably or if the game goes down to the wire, so I'll rely on others suggestions for this game. But thinking dragons -11.5 x storm -3.5. Paying 2.45.
                                                          Which is most definitely a much better payout. What book are you getting this at??
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Domestic
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-10-09
                                                            • 6323

                                                            #554
                                                            Guys I am going to stay away from that big Brisbane spread, you just never know. A team with Lockyer in it will at least show some defensive pride and do the best they can to keep a score respectable.
                                                            I like the Storm that are somehow only -5.5 now. Wrote a blog entry on it:

                                                            P.S. Wish there was an AFL game on tonight, zzz.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hels
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-12-09
                                                              • 8767

                                                              #555
                                                              Originally posted by shallowtanky
                                                              what do you think of this multi tomorrow tonight?

                                                              st kilda ML $1.45
                                                              storm ML $1.43
                                                              St George by 13+ $1.52

                                                              pay $3.15

                                                              Thinking of putting 2 units on it
                                                              That almost seems too easy
                                                              With how everyone loves the dragons I think this shouldn't have too much problems.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • hels
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-12-09
                                                                • 8767

                                                                #556
                                                                Originally posted by Domestic
                                                                Guys I am going to stay away from that big Brisbane spread, you just never know. A team with Lockyer in it will at least show some defensive pride and do the best they can to keep a score respectable. I like the Storm that are somehow only -5.5 now. Wrote a blog entry on it: P.S. Wish there was an AFL game on tonight, zzz.
                                                                Loved the article!! Great writeup and it's hard to doubt after reading!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • camel
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-26-09
                                                                  • 1711

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Great write up there Domestic... after reading that it's swaying me more.. haha.

                                                                  When watching the Knights/Storm game a couple of weeks back, i think the commentator mentioned that Newcastle were the first team in a LONG time to score against the Storm in the first half. I can't remember the number of games this was though, i'd lke someone to tell me.

                                                                  So maybe a 1st half Storm play may get a look too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • waco66
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-14-09
                                                                    • 1645

                                                                    #558
                                                                    I thinkin i will pounding the Melbourne ML. They should win!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MrStiffy
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 03-25-10
                                                                      • 157

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Hels I got that multi from centrebet, POYL multi.

                                                                      Thanks for the write up Domestic, think I'll be backing storm.

                                                                      By the way guys look around before you put money down, storm line at some places is -5.5 as opposed to 6. Also similar differences with dragons line at different shops

                                                                      I might take some points off the dragons in my main mutli, maybe -5.5 just in case it is wet weather, and add an AFL game or two to it. I don't follow AFL, and whenever I add a big favourite to a multi, it always seems to bite me in the arse by being an upset. Any suggestions?

                                                                      I will be putting on a storm -5.5 and dragons -18 bet if the weather is ok, I just can't pass up on the dragons this week, I think they are going to maul the broncos, but I could be wrong.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • kingfish28
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 03-13-10
                                                                        • 572

                                                                        #560
                                                                        G'day all. I agree with everyone dragons no problem they will be pretty angry after last week. Does anybody know if prince is out this week?
                                                                        Comment
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