1. 09-20-15 08:12 AM #36
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    I think Wales can put up 70 but will they keep a clean sheet as well...
    Maybe not a clean sheet but don't see Uruguay scoring more than 14


    Under 80.5 is the play.
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  2. 09-20-15 10:47 AM #37
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by odog11 View Post
    Maybe not a clean sheet but don't see Uruguay scoring more than 14


    Under 80.5 is the play.
    US covers and easy under with Wales romping 54-9. Was leaning Argentina, but decided to pass and start concentrating on a couple of NFL plays.

    Record 6-0.
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  3. 09-20-15 11:01 AM #38
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    nice run pal. the sharp first line scared me off from the rest of the 1st round but i'm gonna start tailing. gl
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  4. 09-22-15 09:09 PM #39
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    nice run pal. the sharp first line scared me off from the rest of the 1st round but i'm gonna start tailing. gl
    Thanks mang, first match up tomorrow is Scotland vs Japan at 9:30 EST. with Japan getting 16.5. Japan pulled the huge upset over South Africa 4 days ago and fatigue could be a factor. While I am still leaning taking the points fear of Scotland pulling away late does scare me a bit. Total is set at 51.5 and leaning toward the over.

    Going to get some sleep, check around in the morning and probably have a play around 15 minutes before the match. Will also look closer at the 2nd Match, Australia - Fiji, Aussies laying 25.5.
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  5. 09-23-15 07:27 AM #40
    Rudeboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    nice run pal. the sharp first line scared me off from the rest of the 1st round but i'm gonna start tailing. gl
    same here this chap knows his rugby

    nice streak
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  6. 09-23-15 08:11 AM #41
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rudeboy View Post
    same here this chap knows his rugby

    nice streak
    Thanks, it's more reading up other's analysis of the teams and match, figuring out why they line is set where it is and finding value. Actually rugby knowledge is pretty limited.

    Should have jumped on it last night, line come down a point, but still going to back the dog here and hope they have enough in them.

    Japan +15.5.
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  7. 09-23-15 09:59 AM #42
    Punters
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    Focus on finding the value on the underdog to beat the first half handicap in the early stage matches. You won't have to look too far.
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  8. 09-23-15 10:37 AM #43
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Punters View Post
    Focus on finding the value on the underdog to beat the first half handicap in the early stage matches. You won't have to look too far.
    Would have been the play in the last one, Japan covered half and not full. Brings me to 6-1. Unfortunately I don't have halftime lines.

    Next up taking Australia -25.5, Fiji likely to fade in 2nd half.
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  9. 09-23-15 01:51 PM #44
    odog11
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    Wow, Australia not really showing much in 2nd half.

    Romania +37.5. Back to taking lots of points and France on 4 days rest.
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  10. 09-23-15 04:09 PM #45
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by odog11 View Post
    Wow, Australia not really showing much in 2nd half.

    Romania +37.5. Back to taking lots of points and France on 4 days rest.
    38-11 France for the cover bringing me to 7-2. Dogs and unders 2-1 today, both definitely trending so far.

    Tomorrow we get just one match and probably the biggest dog of the tourney, Namibia catching 76.5. Over under at 90.5 and I think I will probably go with the under in this one.
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  11. 09-24-15 12:02 PM #46
    odog11
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    Line on the over going down, 5Dimes has it at 88 now, got it at 88.5.

    New Zealand vs Namibia: Under 88.5
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  12. 09-24-15 12:52 PM #47
    dfish
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    Nice work

    Where can I watch this ?
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  13. 09-24-15 01:08 PM #48
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by dfish View Post
    Nice work

    Where can I watch this ?
    You can stream it online, I use vipleague. Lots of pop ups, hasn't crashed computer yet, but don't click anything. Wait till video streams, then just hit full screen.
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  14. 09-24-15 07:04 PM #49
    odog11
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    East under and another easy cover for a dog here, brings record to 8-2.

    Argentina vs Georgia only match tomorrow at 11:45. First glance line looks pretty sharp at Argentina -19, at 20 or 20.5 I would lean Georgia, but probably a pass. Over under between 43.5 and 45.5, also looks pretty sharp. Going to read up tomorrow morning, but right now leaning on pass. Anyone have thoughts on this match?
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  15. 09-25-15 09:24 PM #50
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by odog11 View Post
    East under and another easy cover for a dog here, brings record to 8-2.

    Argentina vs Georgia only match tomorrow at 11:45. First glance line looks pretty sharp at Argentina -19, at 20 or 20.5 I would lean Georgia, but probably a pass. Over under between 43.5 and 45.5, also looks pretty sharp. Going to read up tomorrow morning, but right now leaning on pass. Anyone have thoughts on this match?
    Too busy to research this in the morning and so just passed. Over and fav cover here. Argentina easily covering 19 winning 54-9, with them looking stronger than expected overall.

    Tomorrow we start off with Italy laying 16.5 and over/under set at 42.5 which is a number I want to stay away from. Leaning Canada and going to read up some more and might even pull the trigger before heading to bed as number might move before the match time. Italy missing their captain.
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  16. 09-25-15 11:20 PM #51
    odog11
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    Canada + 16.5.

    Putting this in, watching end of Stanford - Oregon St and heading to bed. Pretty tempted to put in play on Samoa +20 -120 now as I think this line will move. Samoa having had one less day of rest has me a little worried, but still seems like a lot of points here. Any thoughts?
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  17. 09-26-15 01:00 AM #52
    binomial
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    thoughts:

    SA would have copped plenty for losing to Japan so could be pretty fired up.

    However, they have made plenty of changes and have been far from a powerhouse of late.

    Samoa lost by less than 20 to England and NZ in the past 12 months so not out of their depth.

    I think Samoa is the play.
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  18. 09-26-15 01:12 AM #53
    ACoochy
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    Anyone else like Wales +8.5 against the Poms?

    These two teams have a history of playing close and think Wales may finally take one off the arch rival..
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  19. 09-26-15 10:14 AM #54
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by binomial View Post
    thoughts:

    SA would have copped plenty for losing to Japan so could be pretty fired up.

    However, they have made plenty of changes and have been far from a powerhouse of late.

    Samoa lost by less than 20 to England and NZ in the past 12 months so not out of their depth.

    I think Samoa is the play.
    I agree, able to catch +20 (-120) and think it is a good play. Also leaning Wales, but wish I could get 10 instead of the 9.5 I am. May pass on that one and just watch and enjoy.

    Samoa +20
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  20. 09-26-15 01:48 PM #55
    odog11
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    Total wilt by the Samoan's in the 2nd half. Would have taken Wales with 10, but only at 8.5 or 9 now. Think there is a shot they can pull out the outright win, so going to take a shot on the ML.

    Wales +300
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  21. 09-26-15 03:57 PM #56
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by odog11 View Post
    Total wilt by the Samoan's in the 2nd half. Would have taken Wales with 10, but only at 8.5 or 9 now. Think there is a shot they can pull out the outright win, so going to take a shot on the ML.

    Wales +300
    Epic comeback and win for Wales.

    Makes record for today to 2-1 and overall 10-3.
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  22. 09-26-15 04:50 PM #57
    odog11
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    Heading out soon and definitely not getting up before the 7:00 am EST start for Australia vs Uruguay. Australia has had three days rest after beeting Fiji 28-13 while Uruguay has had six days rest after getting throttled by Wales 54-9. Only choice here IMO is Uruguay +63.5 or under 76.5 Most likely Uruguay held in single digits so going to go with the under.

    Australia - Uruguay under 76.5.

    Scotland vs USA game is at 9:30 am EST and I may have a play on that later tonight and if not probably 15 minutes before start. I can get USA +21.5(juiced to -130) and tempted to go with that. Scotland definitely outclass them, but US has same 3 vs 6 days rest advantage as Uruguay. Anyone have thoughts on this one?
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  23. 09-26-15 09:34 PM #58
    ACoochy
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    Also on the Under in the Aussie/Uruguay game.

    Nice angle for some (hopefully) easy money
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  24. 09-27-15 08:16 AM #59
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Also on the Under in the Aussie/Uruguay game.

    Nice angle for some (hopefully) easy money
    We got that easy money. Don't see any easy money in the Scotland - USA match, line around 21 or 21.5 and that seems pretty sharp. Tempted to take USA and the points with all the extra rest, but just don't feel confident and so going to pass.
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  25. 09-27-15 10:13 AM #60
    odog11
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    Going to pass on Romania Ireland. 41.5 a lot of points and Ireland has a lot of changes in their lineup, but Romania on just 4 days rest and definitely outclassed. Probably dog is the play, but I can see Romania getting run out late here.

    1-0 for the day and 11-3 overall.
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  26. 09-28-15 10:28 PM #61
    odog11
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    One match tomorrow Namibia - Tonga with Namibia getting +20.5 and the total set at 50.5. Rest advantage goes to Tonga with 9 days rest vs 4 for Namibia. Haven't read up too much, but initial lean is Tonga and the under. Also decided to put a play in on New Zealand to win it all at even odds.

    New Zealand to win the cup +100.
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  27. 09-29-15 02:07 AM #62
    Optional
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    What's the expert thoughts on Aussies v England?
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  28. 09-29-15 03:02 AM #63
    ACoochy
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    wallabies the more polished of the two going into the game against the poms.

    Have them at +2.5 and ML...
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  29. 09-29-15 04:33 AM #64
    Optional
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    I'd like that to win Coochy.

    No good capping reason but concerned England will bite back like the Saffies did.
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  30. 09-29-15 04:43 AM #65
    ACoochy
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    Don't stress too much opti

    Twickenham has lost a lot of its cauldron like feel for opposition teams of recent times.

    This Wallabies team much more composed than 12 months ago and this could potentially get ugly for England. Then again I am biased haha

    Like Tonga TT Under 35.

    They've only gone over that number once in their past ten starts...

    Also Namibia TT under 15.5 also because they've gone over only once in their past 10 starts

    GL fella
    Last edited by ACoochy; 09-29-15 at 04:49 AM.
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  31. 09-29-15 07:43 AM #66
    Rudeboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    What's the expert thoughts on Aussies v England?
    we're gunna smash u fellas
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  32. 09-29-15 08:42 AM #67
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Don't stress too much opti

    Twickenham has lost a lot of its cauldron like feel for opposition teams of recent times.

    This Wallabies team much more composed than 12 months ago and this could potentially get ugly for England. Then again I am biased haha

    Like Tonga TT Under 35.

    They've only gone over that number once in their past ten starts...

    Also Namibia TT under 15.5 also because they've gone over only once in their past 10 starts

    GL fella
    Can get Tonga U33.5 $2.00 or U37.5 at around $1.75 on betfair (but bugger all action in market)

    Which way would you go?


    And can only get U13.5 for Namibia...


    Quote Originally Posted by Rudeboy View Post
    we're gunna smash u fellas
    Ya dreamin my pommy bastard friend!
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  33. 09-29-15 09:12 AM #68
    beefcake
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    wow, lots of money on the Namibia ML.is this because tonga does not blow people out and NZ did not cover by a mile vs them?
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  34. 09-29-15 10:15 AM #69
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    wow, lots of money on the Namibia ML.is this because tonga does not blow people out and NZ did not cover by a mile vs them?
    Tempted to take Namibia and the points, but going with the under instead.

    Tonga - Namibia Under 50.5
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  35. 09-29-15 10:49 AM #70
    Optional
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    on board

    U50.5 $1.91
    U38.5 $5.30
    Tonga U37.5 $1.76
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