1. 02-11-14 05:11 PM #1
    johno35
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    Johno's 2014 AFL Season Thread

    Hey guys, I cant believe footy is back already! Had a great time watching the BBL03 and the Aussies smash the Poms but now its time for AFL!

    Last season was very successful managing to profit 47.91 units, I'm going to stick with what works for me and release 1, 3 and 5 unit plays throughout the year.

    Cant wait to see what this season has in store for us, will GC improve even more this year and make finals? Seems unlikely but I do think they could finish 9th or 10th. North Melbourne would love to improve this season, they have the ability to beat anyone and could finish in the top 6. It's going to be another tight season I think with a lot of teams that didn't make finals last year looking to break in this year.

    What are your thoughts on who's gonna be hard to beat this year?
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  2. 02-11-14 05:46 PM #2
    MiddleMan
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    Not St. Kilda.
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  3. 02-11-14 08:55 PM #3
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by MiddleMan View Post
    Not St. Kilda.
    Thanks captain obvious
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  4. 02-11-14 09:45 PM #4
    Coopertrooper
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    Hopefully it'll be another good year of beating the books
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  5. 02-12-14 12:05 AM #5
    OZnBa Fan
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    Cant wait pals.. Good luck all
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  6. 02-12-14 12:27 AM #6
    therealdealau
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    Great season last year Johnno.

    Not necessarily answering your question but here are a couple futures i'm looking at, would love peoples thoughts.

    Gary Ablett most goals for his team $4.00 - He topped the Suns in goals scored last year, apparently he is spending more time in the forward line, seems like an obvious play.

    Adelaide to make the 8 - I like what they have done with the team, Dangerfield to break out and take it to an even greater level, the Crows were good in patches last season, they have a very easy schedule. I think they can make the 8.
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  7. 02-12-14 04:15 AM #7
    lordkai35
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    Yep can't wait, NAB cup already starting finally i can get back to screaming at my TV.

    ^Like the ablett play but adelaide really look risky of making top 8
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  8. 02-12-14 05:32 AM #8
    Coopertrooper
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    I too like the Ablett play, but not sold on the crows either. I had them about 13th on my ladder. My bolter of the year are port, think they are capable of making the top 4 this year. But we shall see!
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  9. 02-12-14 07:01 PM #9
    johno35
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    Yeah I like both plays, Adelaide were hot and cold last year but they had lost Tippett to the Swans and then Walker to injury. If Walker can get back in form they should get in the 8.

    That's a big call on Port Cooper, I'm not sure how they will go this season. I think they might be like North was last year, you back them they lose, you go against them you lose. I'm going to avoid Port lines for the first few rounds
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  10. 02-13-14 01:27 AM #10
    dRavidC
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    welcome back jonhno well done on a top season last yr
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  11. 02-13-14 01:41 AM #11
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by dRavidC View Post
    welcome back jonhno well done on a top season last yr
    Cheers mate, welcome back to you too!
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  12. 02-13-14 01:50 AM #12
    johno35
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    Could be a blowout tonight, I expect the Hawks to post a big score over an inexperienced Lions lineup

    Hawks TT over 116.5 $1.95 - 1 unit
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  13. 02-13-14 05:03 AM #13
    Coopertrooper
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    Nice one to start off with! Cashed this very early, despite the hawks taking the foot off the throttle. Don't think anyone quite expecting the lions to be belted like that.
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  14. 02-14-14 01:39 AM #14
    johno35
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    Thanks Cooper, that was too easy in the end, would have pounded that line in the regular season but I did expect the Hawks to give up some junk goals, not to be!

    Tonight I like Richmond, I think they will start well and then rest players so I'm going for the first half line

    Richmond 1st Half -14.5 $1.85 - 1 unit
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  15. 02-14-14 03:40 AM #15
    johno35
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    Richmond very ordinary in the first half, Melbourne looking a lot better under Paul Roos
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  16. 02-14-14 03:25 PM #16
    garygroundwork
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    Melbourne definitely look better...harder at the ball but penetrate me their foot skills were shocking especially bringing the ball out of the back line...

    where do people see the pies this year? they are certainty for the 8?
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  17. 02-14-14 05:34 PM #17
    johno35
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    I think they will definitely make finals, I predict 5 to 7th. The Pies are still a decent team with some young guys coming through that look really good. With beams, pendlebury and swan, that's a awesome midfield
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  18. 02-16-14 09:38 PM #18
    johno35
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    GC/Essendon over 180.5 $1.90 - 1 unit
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  19. 02-17-14 04:55 AM #19
    aussieH
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    Looking ahead to tomorrow. Fremantle -5.5 looks a good play. Simpson has said the team may be messy tomorrow adjusting to new style. Fremantle will be well drilled as per usual so big edge. Game under May also be a play bit are the books giving out this play. I have not seen it listed.
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  20. 02-17-14 04:59 PM #20
    johno35
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    Quote Originally Posted by aussieH View Post
    Looking ahead to tomorrow. Fremantle -5.5 looks a good play. Simpson has said the team may be messy tomorrow adjusting to new style. Fremantle will be well drilled as per usual so big edge. Game under May also be a play bit are the books giving out this play. I have not seen it listed.
    Yeah still no total offered for some reason, I think books got smashed last year with totals when it came to Freo. As far as the line goes I'm a bit hesitant to gamble on them during the preseason, can go either way. But would love to see a total option
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  21. 02-19-14 02:04 AM #21
    johno35
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    Dogs/Saints under 138.5 - 3 units

    Can't believe the amount of water that was in the ground! This will be one scrappy match!
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  22. 02-21-14 09:41 PM #22
    johno35
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    Collingwood -7.5 $1.90 - 1 unit
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  23. 02-26-14 01:53 AM #23
    johno35
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    I'm expecting Freo to make a statement tonight after getting pumped last week. Ross Lyon wasn't too fussed but he will want his boys going into the season on a positive note and pump the dogs tonight

    Freo -6.5 $1.90 - 3 units
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  24. 02-27-14 01:44 AM #24
    johno35
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    Good result last night picking up another 3 units

    I like Sydney tonight, they cruised to a 40 point win over GWS last week and they have a stronger team tonight. Eagles also have a few out

    Sydney 1-39 $2.10 - 1 unit
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  25. 03-07-14 06:07 PM #25
    johno35
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    NAB Challenge Record:

    1 Unit Plays: 1-4 -3.35 units
    3 Unit Plays: 2-0 +6 units

    Overall +2.65 units

    Catch you all in the home and away!
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  26. 03-14-14 02:41 AM #26
    johno35
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    Just did a write up for tonight's game and the page reloads on me!

    Anyway basically said Freo will be too good tonight in a tight contest, look for Sandilands to dominate against the young Grundy.

    Freo 1-39 $2.10 - 1 unit

    I'm going to be cautious this opening round, it is usually a killer with surprising outcomes so be careful
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  27. 03-15-14 12:09 AM #27
    johno35
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    Well Freo just too good last night, I should have just gone with the line!

    Anyway I like Sydney today, 44 points just doesn't seem enough to me, Sydney are a top side and will get away from GWS pretty easily

    Sydney -44.5 $1.93 - 1 unit
    Under 189.5 - 1 unit
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  28. 03-15-14 12:12 AM #28
    johno35
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    Tonight's match I really like the over, both sides like to play attacking footy and I think there will be a lot of goals tonight

    GC/Richmond over 178.5 $1.91 - 3 units
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  29. 03-15-14 01:15 AM #29
    johno35
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    I'm hoping this rain saves the under, 10 goals in the first!
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  30. 03-16-14 02:56 AM #30
    johno35
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    Not a great start to the year but not worried. Over was looking great early last night but then the goals completely dried up!

    I like Carlton tonight, only because it's their home game. Port have only won one out of the last nine games at Etihad. Carlton line up well against Port and will get the job done tonight

    Also like the under tonight, it's round 1 and I've noticed in the first three games that teams have struggled a little with scoring. A few cobwebs need to be shaken off before a high scoring game is to be had.

    Carlton -7.5 $1.93 - 1 unit
    Under 194.5 $1.91 - 3 units
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  31. 03-17-14 05:21 AM #31
    johno35
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    wow, very ordinary start
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  32. 03-20-14 02:27 AM #32
    johno35
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    Geelong -18.5 $1.93 - 3 units

    Few injuries to Adelaide and Geelong are just too good at home
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  33. 03-21-14 02:42 AM #33
    johno35
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    Nice to pick up 3 units last night after a bad run.

    I like Essendon tonight, should be a cracking match! The total is set at 200.5 at the moment which I am going to stay away from, I think it will most likely go over but I'm not confident.

    Essendon are again in the spotlight this week with James Hird, I think they will want to redeem themselves this year and this is the perfect test for them. Both sides are very attacking but I think Essendon are the better side and will come away with the win

    Essendon +14.5 $1.93 - 3 units
    Essendon ML $2.80 - 1 unit

    GL
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  34. 03-21-14 03:16 AM #34
    therealdealau
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    Awesome to see someone else on the Bombers, lets get this johno!
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  35. 03-21-14 06:33 AM #35
    therealdealau
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    Boom, Chapman what a great addition. Watson/Hepps went big for us tonight.
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