There are in fact 2 games tonight and I'm more interested in the first, Blues v France
France have 1 starter left from their game against NZ. The blues also have a raft of changes but still have regular players from their super side aswell as young plays wanting to succeed. The difference between say a force v lions match last week and this one is that the blues are treating this seriously.
In regards to the lions v country.....last time they met it was 48-3 --> granted this was 12 years ago. As much as it is a great honour to represent country and in fact play the lions, no amount of this will change the fact that the difference in talent on the park will be huggggeee. This will go one of two ways, lions blast them early and go cruise control or its lackluster first half and lions stretch away in the 2nd
Country have had only 5 days of training, the lions have a backline playing out of position particular hogg at 5/8 and maitland at fullback.
If it is closish half time I'd get on the half time handicap for the lions but I'm not playing the -76.5. I think you will get something in play that is much much less i.e. -55/60. The reason i am not playing the +76.5 is because this could easily be a blow out of epic proportions with no scoring plays for country
I believe the best play is the unders (92.5) but not playing anything just yet
like the blues play, i believe lions win by 100+. still a lot of selections up in the air so players will be going hard, especially the likes of maitland, richie gray, o'brien, tipuric and guys like faletau on the bench. lions scrum will blast them off the park, bound to get a card(s)
Lions v country - lions over 12.5 tries at 1.96 or lions 101+ at $5. 13 converted tries = 91
For the extra value im gonna have a crack at 1 unit of 101+ at $5
cash ghem +1.92 units Rugby Union - 11 - 5 --> + 6.32 Units
AFL - 4 -1 --> + 2.71 Units
League - 7 - 10 --> -0.35 units
Tennis - 2 - 3 --> +.92 units NBA -0 -1 --> - 1 unit Overall - 22 - 20
Total --> 8.6 Units
Big weekend of union coming up. Hope to hit a heater on Friday night first up.
Cowboys ml with cbet $2.6 1 units (1 unit back if team scores 20 and loses)
Cowboys +6 with cbet $1.91 1 unit
Hawthorn -23 with cbet at 1.91 1 unit
Half a unit Waite and buddy to kick 8 goals at $8
Rugby Union - 12 - 6 --> + 6.22 Units
AFL - 4 -3 --> + 1.21 Units
League - 9 - 10 --> +2.16units
Tennis - 2 - 3 --> +.92 units NBA -0 -1 --> - 1 unit Overall - 27 - 23
Total --> 9.51 Units
Onto the rugby today -will take it game by game today, first one is USA v tonga. USA at $2.1 with cbet 2 units
GREAAT Value here, tonga with 3 key suspensions from last week + USA home game. The only concern is the resting of a key player for USA - manoa, I worry this could mean a lack of focus for USA here but coming trip overseas to play Fiji and japan.
I rekon USA guns for the win here, plays liver claver are professionals in the sport now and will look to help boost the profile of rugby somewhat by gaining a win here. The crowd loved it last week around 20,000 i think. Look for home support to get them over the line here.
If calls go against tonga look for them to get quite frustrated keeping in mind the racism comments that came from their coach last week after the loss of 3 players
I agree mate, USA great value over the odds today. As far as I know Manoa hasn't been rested, he's actually left to return to his European club and begin pre-season. Lets cash this.
cheers mate, that makes me feel more confident. Most of the readings I had seen had mentioned the word "rested" but if thats not the case then happy days.
interesting one in tennis, tonight in qualifying for eastbourne
Young talent jarryd bant paying $14 versus martin alund - alund is just inside top 100, has had 3 recent tour matches on grass and has lost all 3, 2 of those i can see were against clay courters. Obviously he is not the best on grass
Instead here is a young talent who has a WC, own crowd and used to grass.
Was that Japan ML in play? If so what was the score then? Only about a dollar less than what they kicked off at from memory.
French look in some real trouble here the ABs should of had this covered comfortably already just haven't quite finished. Usually their main weakness is the lineouts and they're dominating those as well, it's going to take a lot of French grit and a break out try or two to cover this. Think the HT -19.5 on NZ looks very likely to come in.
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