[In my big shot's voice with undertones of sarcasm]
I rarely release my Water Polo plays ....
USA-Italy Over 16.5 [-110]
USA has whipped the Italians twice this year in other matches with combined scores of 32-12. You could try the -2.5, but a lot of these Water Polo matches wind up very tight with two goals or less being the deciding margin and this is the KO stages where anything can happen. USA struggled against China with just seven goals, but tallied 23 in their previous two matches. Italians gave up 17 goals in their two legit matches in their group, keeping Great Britan at just five in the other. But GB had the worst scoring rate of any of the women's teams with just 14 goals. Instead, we go for goals. 2pm ET start. For the first and last time, go Water Polo!
The preceeding message is a service of STAT-holes, based on nothing but stats and no knowledge of Water Polo except that it looks like it would be tiring as fukk to tread water and swim that long.