1. 06-12-12 02:30 AM #1
    hawley
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    State of Origin 2

    No discussion on this yet?


    What is everyone leaning? Is either team 1-12 a foregone conclusion?

    Total is at 34.5 at Pinnacle but I haven't look at what the weather will be doing tomorrow.
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  2. 06-12-12 02:38 AM #2
    easysaid
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    Hardest game to bet on of the series, lay off this guys.
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  3. 06-12-12 02:40 AM #3
    That Guy
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    weather - scattered showers 20km/h winds

    I'm leaning Blues + UNDER 34.5. Have a feeling Blues need a tight game to win - can't try and outscore QLD, need to kill them in defence.
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  4. 06-12-12 02:56 AM #4
    That Guy
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    Interesting stat that NSW has won 5 out of 6 Origin matches in Sydney where crowd is in excess of 80k
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  5. 06-12-12 03:03 AM #5
    Coopertrooper
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    Might consider a low-scoring result too, not sure whether that will be a 1-12 or the under though.
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  6. 06-12-12 03:56 PM #6
    hawley
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    Leaning NSW 1 - 12 here.
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  7. 06-12-12 06:26 PM #7
    quarterback
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    Queensland over 6.5pts

    Slater to score a few after a game 1 to remember
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  8. 06-12-12 07:41 PM #8
    Gee
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    NSW were really good in G1.

    Back at home, I don't think its a good wager to fade them.

    Anyone know what this one opened at?
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  9. 06-12-12 08:33 PM #9
    quarterback
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gee View Post
    NSW were really good in G1.

    Back at home, I don't think its a good wager to fade them.

    Anyone know what this one opened at?
    Hey gee what sports book do you use mate ??
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  10. 06-12-12 09:51 PM #10
    Gee
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    Quote Originally Posted by quarterback View Post
    Hey gee what sports book do you use mate ??
    Mainly Pinnacle, but I have about 20 outs.

    They aren't all necessarily funded now, but moneybookers is a great thing, so they don't need to be.
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  11. 06-13-12 12:38 AM #11
    ACoochy
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    2 unit play here on Blues -1.5 (-110)...

    Weather will be Blues friend here and as Gee said G1 really was a close affair. NSW wants this more imo..

    Thurston also feeling 'under the weather' reportedly and might not be 100%. Big blow for the marones if true..

    Smokey, u wanted a winner? Well enjoy pal...Don't say I don't after my VIP clients... GL here fellas...
    Last edited by ACoochy; 06-13-12 at 06:36 AM.
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  12. 06-13-12 01:19 AM #12
    Coopertrooper
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    Have gone a bit of value on the half time/regular time double with QLD/NSW @6.5 x2, normally wouldn't play that market but I feel QLD will be ready for a fight early. Have had it with sportsbet, so have an out if it goes the opposite way.

    Have also jumped on under 34.5/NSW -1.5 double x1.

    GL tonight everyone!
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  13. 06-13-12 01:58 AM #13
    quarterback
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    queeenslander
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  14. 06-13-12 02:27 AM #14
    hawley
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    Looking at NSW still.

    Need to check weather. Thinking this one plays out just like game 2 last year. Carney can't be any worse than last week.
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  15. 06-13-12 02:34 AM #15
    GAMBLOR777
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    scares me that all the 'sharps' are on NSW
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  16. 06-13-12 02:39 AM #16
    hawley
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    Quote Originally Posted by GAMBLOR777 View Post
    scares me that all the 'sharps' are on NSW

    It seems the majority of the money, sharp or not has been on NSW
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  17. 06-13-12 02:42 AM #17
    quarterback
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    Looking at NSW still.

    Need to check weather. Thinking this one plays out just like game 2 last year. Carney can't be any worse than last week.
    weather is fine mate shouldn't see any rain. i can see how everyone is talking about new south whales really..

    lets have a look at game one

    yes Greg Inglis try probably was not a try but QLD would have still won. billy slater dropped 2 maybe 3 bombs he would have caught any other game. LATE MONEY IS COMING FOR QLD
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  18. 06-13-12 02:43 AM #18
    quarterback
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    It seems the majority of the money, sharp or not has been on NSW
    QLD opened @ $2.20 and are now $2 @ most books
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  19. 06-13-12 02:45 AM #19
    hawley
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    Quote Originally Posted by quarterback View Post
    QLD opened @ $2.20 and are now $2 @ most books

    QLD didn't open at $2.20.

    I saw even lines to open, QLD got hit early then NSW moved in when Thaiday was injured. What book did you see QLD at $2.20 at?

    I am going by what I have read from the books, not by the line movement.
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  20. 06-13-12 02:46 AM #20
    quarterback
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  21. 06-13-12 02:47 AM #21
    quarterback
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    QLD didn't open at $2.20.

    I saw even lines to open, QLD got hit early then NSW moved in when Thaiday was injured. What book did you see QLD at $2.20 at?

    I am going by what I have read from the books, not by the line movement.
    sportstab.com.au @ about 3pm today
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  22. 06-13-12 02:48 AM #22
    quarterback
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  23. 06-13-12 02:50 AM #23
    hawley
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    Quote Originally Posted by quarterback View Post
    sportstab.com.au @ about 3pm today

    huh? So QLD were $2.20 today?
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  24. 06-13-12 02:52 AM #24
    quarterback
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    huh? So QLD were $2.20 today?
    yes mate
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  25. 06-13-12 03:00 AM #25
    hawley
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    Why such an off line?

    I have no idea about the book
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  26. 06-13-12 03:01 AM #26
    quarterback
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    Why such an off line?

    I have no idea about the book
    dont know mate but the have been bet in to $2.00

    i will be on queensland 1-12 or over 6.5
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  27. 06-13-12 03:02 AM #27
    quarterback
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    i wouldn't bet a Ricky Stuart coached team with your money
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  28. 06-13-12 03:11 AM #28
    MatI
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    http://www.sportal.com.au/bz-opinion...-minute-181580

    Going by this article, majority of money, 75% is coming in on NSW. So why are most books having them as only slight favourites or even pick 'em. The article also says QLD opened as favs but have drifted out.

    It seems the books have chosen a side and I think I would rather be with them...
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  29. 06-13-12 03:18 AM #29
    hawley
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    Am I the only one a little surprised at the love for NSW?

    Although the were good in game 1 I would have thought QLD would still get hammered by most, with all the super stars and the recent domination.
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  30. 06-13-12 03:26 AM #30
    brettels
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    The love for NSW is coming from two things, home ground/crowd...and Sam Thaiday is out for QLD.
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  31. 06-13-12 03:26 AM #31
    MatI
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    I'm surprised too. Surely the stronger side is still QLD. Home ground advantage or not.

    NSW played well in game 1, and still lost. QLD should play better second time.

    Are people just going by the fact the Blues are at home and won Game 2 @ ANZ last year and will do so again to keep the series alive?
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  32. 06-13-12 03:27 AM #32
    hawley
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    Quote Originally Posted by brettels View Post
    The love for NSW is coming from two things, home ground/crowd...and Sam Thaiday is out for QLD.

    Thaiday is a punter.
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  33. 06-13-12 03:29 AM #33
    brettels
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    Thaiday is a punter.
    What???
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  34. 06-13-12 03:31 AM #34
    hawley
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    Quote Originally Posted by brettels View Post
    What???

    I think the loss of Thaiday was made a bigger deal than it is.

    Taylor getting more minutes is a good thing!
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  35. 06-13-12 03:33 AM #35
    brettels
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    there's also been some questioning on thurston, i dont know what for
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