The fact that the Wallabies lost against Scotland last week makes me like this play even more. The Wales do have a strong squad, with just one change to the backline that took Wales through an undefeated campaign to take the 2012 Six Nations. Recent form points to a Wales victory, but being at home and with a new-look bolstered Wallabies line-up I'm expecting a hard fought close win for the home side. Not real strong analysis but the gut tells me that the Wallabies bounce back!
happy to get one back, though am really kicking myself for falling into the trap of australia +14.5. I thought the addition of Quade cooper would spark something, apparently not. The UNDER was the play in that game. too.
The last time these two played, Auckland beat Wellington but in all honesty Wellington looked disinterested. This time around, it's playoffs and playing in their home ground, I think they'll have too much for this Auckland side in what should be a win around the 10-pt mark.
2* Australia vs New Zealand OVER 46.5LOSS
New Zealand have been scoring machines in their past 2 games against Argentina and South Africa and they will be putting on points no doubt. I think Australia playing at home in front on their fans and media will step up to the occasion and respond to this all blacks attack. The last time these two played, Australia were held scoreless in New Zealand but I think Australia look to rectify that, especially on their home turf. Furthermore, this is a one-off test with no implications whatsoever on rankings etc so I see a bit of an open attacking game here. I'm not saying the wallabies will win this contest by any means, but I think they will at least challenge the all blacks this time for most of the game. My model has this game in the 50's, which is why I'm playing the OVER 46.5 for 2 units.
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dRavidC's Rugby 2012
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