1. #1
    ACoochy
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    Aussie Rules Bettors, check in:

    Who else seriously believes the 90.5 point start for the Swans is too much?? GWS will be pumped for their 1st game and showed pre-season that they arent too bad...

    Expect them to have a better season than Gold Coast last year, partially in part to their recruiting process and head coach, kevin sheedy...

    Definite lean here on GWS +90.5 and may play for half a unit...

    Thoughts and opinions would be well appreciative here, thanks...
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  2. #2
    raydog
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    gws lacking talent and leadership... banged up and so young... sure looks like a shitload of points, but losing by more than a 100 is a possibility for sure...might just have to wait till next week...gl with the pts boss

  3. #3
    ACoochy
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    RR this is true. Very young indeed. Swans didnt do anything preseason to get me excited here though and would be banking on the Sheedy Effect here and the ability to keep his players level headed and keep this within 80 points or so...

    Still not sure if this is a strong enough angle to pull the trigger on though...GL pal and appreciate the input.

  4. #4
    Bbr
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    90.5 is a shit load. worth a sprinkle but nothing big thats for sure. Whens the last time the swans won by 90? Anyone know?

  5. #5
    kingsr
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    GWS are without some of their most noteable players. Tough line to bet.

  6. #6
    kingsr
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    Pre season (NAB Cup) is never a good indication of form. It's a training run for match fitness. Don't be fooled by pre-season form. I wouldn't be surprised to see Sydney win by 100+ given the circumstances.
    Last edited by kingsr; 03-23-12 at 08:05 PM.

  7. #7
    brettels
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    Where is Taylor Adams?
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  8. #8
    brettels
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    Quote Originally Posted by kingsr View Post
    Pre season (NAB Cup) is never a good indication of form. It's a training run for match fitness. For example, Geelong, Hawks and Coll have never won a NAB cup. Don't be fooled by pre-season form. I wouldn't be surprised to see Sydney win by 100+ given the circumstances.
    ahhh really? collingwood won nab cup last year and geelong won it in 2009.

  9. #9
    kingsr
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    Fuk im delusional LOL

  10. #10
    brettels
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    LOL, don't worry about it as your still right that its not the best indicator for the real season.

  11. #11
    ACoochy
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    Bbr whats up buddy?? Yeah its worth a sprinkle. Not like both teams are going to be playing battle hardened and in-form football....

    Think this is a classic case of media hyping up one team and everyone (inc books) falls into the trap taking swans...

    At least that is the hope

    Kingsr, welcome aboard I think Cornesy as Captain will provide a solid leadership roll to the rest of the team. Bet the guy has a stellar season now that he''s out the power guernsey... looking forward to ur input and angles this season :

  12. #12
    kingsr
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    Goodluck bro...just food for thought, the line was 99.5 a couple weeks ago.

  13. #13
    garygroundwork
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    i would only touch that if it's wet. 100 points is on the card in perfect conditions

    anyone know about the weather up there tonight??

  14. #14
    ultrasouth
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    Fine and sunny no rain forcast for tonight

  15. #15
    Bbr
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    Whats the general consensus on demons -15 at the MCG vs Brisbane next week. Demons playing with heart for Jimbo. They should get up. Thinkning about pounding them next week unless somebody convinces me not too =D

  16. #16
    ACoochy
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    Quote Originally Posted by garygroundwork View Post
    i would only touch that if it's wet. 100 points is on the card in perfect conditions

    anyone know about the weather up there tonight??
    Ordinarily I'd agree but this is the 1st round and I'm gambling on Sydney swans to cough up the ball more than normal due to lack of real match play.
    Nearly as much as their opponents due to being a little rusty here.

    Couldn't help myself and went +90.5 for half a unit.

    Just a small wager to make the action a little more interesting..

  17. #17
    kingsr
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    Perfect weather here in Sydney...im only 10 kilometres from the stadium.

    Bbr, I've already booked the Demons a few days ago...

  18. #18
    benrama
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    Swans don't blow teams out, and Sheedy is a stud coach who gets the most out of the players he has around him, kind of like a Bellamy in the NRL - only play tonight can be on GWS.

  19. #19
    shari91
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    Yeah Coochy, I'm on it too. Too many points for a team like Sydney.

  20. #20
    garygroundwork
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    demons is certainly a good bet. if they don't win this they will never win. they will be pumped for Jimmy and we all know how well Brisbane go a) in melbourne and b) without jonathon brown. ive penciled in melbourne to win. as for margins its too hard to say round 1/weather permitting.

  21. #21
    rohan22no
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    I've got a small bet on GWS at 90.5+, I think historically alot of these big games that are sposed to be blowouts end up being a lot closer than predicted.

    If theres one game GWS will turn up for this year, it will be this one. At least to the extent of not losing by 90...

  22. #22
    ACoochy
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    GL shari and benny. No way Swans give 4 full quarters effort this early in season. Let's do this guys. . .

  23. #23
    brettels
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    Have you ever thought that now the real season is starting, that percentages (ladder) are now important and sydney will take advantage of this, like every other team will and beat them by 100 points or more!?

  24. #24
    ACoochy
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    Yeah for sure brettels. But I also realise its round 1 and no way they will be playing super sharp football.

    Just the little things like when a player is trying to take a running mark but the kick is just off target, if only by a foot or so. Good play but not polished.

    These kind of errors are what I'm expecting tonight from both sides. GL champ

  25. #25
    brettels
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    Good luck, i think the line is set accurately by the books. As i've said no bet for me but I lean to the swans covering the line.

  26. #26
    brettels
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    have to add one more thing, million dollar boy tom scully is not playing which is a huge loss as GWS would have built alot of the structure and game plan around him.

  27. #27
    texhooper
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    down to 88.5 i see. you might be on to something.

    one of these years, and it might be this year, i don't know, but i will try my damnedest to get into this sport. i looked at some of the lines last year and read about some of the teams but only watched one match. it was geelong vs someone shitty, i can't remember, but geelong was down big and came back, of course. but this sport is really entertaining. i learned a lot about the rules by watching and looking some shit up online during the game. i've probably forgot it all by now but i really enjoyed the match and didn't have anything on it.

    the match times are just not conducive to a westerner's hours. maybe i need a lifestyle change to really get into aussie rules.

    with that said i'm going to bed. enjoy your near blowout. hopefully it's not too bad!

  28. #28
    ACoochy
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    Gday Tex. Good to see another taking interest in this. Had similar experience with NFL. My 3rd fav sport now behind aussie rules and cricket.

    As for lines, I dont really look much into them on most occasions as a result will very seldomly hit on the number.

    GL champ and enjoy the upcoming season. Any questions u know where to hit me..

  29. #29
    Gee
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    i think the line is quite sharp tbh.

    i'm leaning sydney and over here... square s fuk. still checking a few things before making any plays though.

  30. #30
    ACoochy
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    Heya Gee. Got the whole gang here now. .

    Just can't see GWS losing to Swans by more than what they did to the Hawks.

    Maybe I am wrong, maybe I am right. GL to us both though..

  31. #31
    Gee
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    Yeah but Hawks was a shortened game in Aurora which is always low scoring...

    Who knows pal. First game of the season. Betting for the sake of betting here. Pumped.

  32. #32
    Guinser
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    Will give my points for a few days to anyone who can keep me updated on the pace of the
    Match and how gws is looking in relation to +88.5

  33. #33
    ACoochy
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    Lol gee I hear ya. Normally wouldn't be so impulsive but just want to get things underway with a small wagerz. Let's do this

  34. #34
    brettels
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    sydney leading 19-1 10 minutes remaining 1st quarter

  35. #35
    ACoochy
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    Guinser, go to afl.com.au and click on the game to follow it with a slight delay. Its quite good imo. GL

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