[Pigpen]

I am going to throw a few in here when I see something I like. Oaklawn players join me is you have some winners!!!

[Pigpen]

I am looking close at one running Saturday in the 8th race. #2 Bougie Joe. In his debut he went a mile and had trouble almost all the way around the track. He got loose late and was full of run. I don't see any published works since that effort which I do not like but will play him if he looks good before the race.

Saturday Dec. 10 Race 8 #2 Bougie Joe

[ConleyPicks]

Oakaning Day at Oaklawn for the 2022-23 meet! Cannot wait to win with everyone and hope we can be profitable once again! Thank you!

Good luck Pigpen!!

Day #1 out of 68 2022-23 meeting

R1: 7 6 1 3

R2: 2 1 8 6

R3: 5 3 8 1

R4: 5 6 1 2

R5: 12 7 2 11

R6: 3 2 1 10

R7: 3 1 12 9

R8: 5 6 3 7

R9: 2 3 8 10

Best Bet: Race 9 #2 Pattern Bet 1-1
Longshot Play: Race 2 #2 Nostalgia 4-1
Value Play: Race 6 #3 Timbavati 9/2

[ConleyPicks]

Results from 9 races today R1: 3-6 Exacta $17.40 3-6-7 Trifecta $22.30 :3: $10.20R2: 6-1 Exacta $13.30 6-1-2 Trifecta $43.75 6-1-2-8 Superfecta $16.51 :6: $7.60 R3: 1-3 Exacta $14.40 1-3-5 Trifecta $16.30 :1: $6.40R4: 2-5 Exacta $19.30 2-5-6 Trifecta $34.10 :2: $14.60R5: no hits R6: no hits R7: 1-12 Exacta $14.20 1-12-3 Trifecta $25.45 1-12-3-9 Superfecta $24.36 :1: $8.00R8: no hits R9: :2: $3.20 6 winners listed 1 winner on top with 5 exactas 5 trifectas and 2 superfectas

[ConleyPicks]

Day #2 out of 68 2022-23 meeting
Last day's results:
6 winners listed 1 winner on top with 5 exactas 5 trifectas and 2 superfectas

R1: 8 1 5 9

R2: 3 6 12 11

R3: 4 6 3 7

R4: 8 6 7 4

R5: 8 5 7 12

R6: 1 4 6 9

R7: 1 6 5 2

R8: 8 5 12 2

R9: 6 1 3 4

R10: 12 5 3 10

Best Bet: Race 5 #8 Lark's mischief 5/2
Longshot Play: Race 8 #8 Rungius 3-1
Value Play: Race 9 #6 Le Da Vida (CHI) 8/5

[Easy-Rider 66]

Good luck Gentlemen. Good to see you back posting Conley.

[mrginandtonic]

Good luck guys; glad to people posting!!

[Jellymancan]

Good luck, guys. Hope this thread stays active.

[Pigpen]

My pick in the 8th did not even finish in the money. Will check back later and look at your results, and look at tomorrows card. GL Gang!!!!!

[ConleyPicks]

Results from 10 races todayR1: no hits R2: 12-3 Exacta $21.10 12-3-6 Trifecta $22.10:12: $10.40R3: 6-3 Exacta $23.70 :6: $9.60R4: no hits R5: no hits R6: 3rd pick won :6: $13.20 R7: 1-6 Exacta $9.20 :1: $5.00R8: 5-8 Exacta $15.50 :5: $8.80 R9: 3-1 Exacta $16.80 3-1-4 Trifecta $22.80 3-1-4-6 Superfecta $6.62:3: $11.40 R10: no hits 6 winners listed 1 on top with 5 Exactas 2 Trifectas and 1 Superfecta

Thanks Easy-Rider/mrginandtonic/Jellymancan/Pigpen! Glad to be back for my most favourite meet of the year (besides Toga)
Tough go at it right away only have 2 on top but 12/19 T4 not too bad I guess trying again tomorrow

[JBEX]

R1 #3 big on broadway (9-2)
R2 #2 cunning (9-5)
R4 #5 time and beyond (3-1)

R6 #6 talk to tokey (30-1)

R7 #11 army kitten (9-2)

fts starter by guess who lol..don't pick them automatically because of that..my reason is she cost a good amount relative to the dam info and stud fee..trainer is very capable with debuters

should also mention the ml favorite #2 klassy bridgette (5-2)
is also by army mule..making her 3rd start with 2nds in her 1st two ..obvious and no value there





.

[ConleyPicks]

Good luck JBEX

Day #3 out of 68 2022-23 meeting
Last days results: 6 winners listed 1 on top with 5 Exactas 2 Trifectas and 1 Superfecta

R1: 9 8 3 4

R2: 2 1/1a 6 3

R3: 1 5 6 3

R4: 5 8 9 3

R5: 5 4 1 2

R6: 7 1 5 8

R7: 2 5 12 11

R8: 9 4 3 1

R9: 12 1 9 5

Best Bet: Race 4 #5 Time Andbeyond 3-1
Longshot Play: Race 1 #8 She's Hamazing 5-1
Value Play: Race 7 #2 Klassy Bridgette 5/2

[JBEX]

finished oaklawn


thanks conley


from now on I'll put oaklawn in my thread pigpen..don't want to clutter your thread when I have my own




.

[ConleyPicks]

Results from 9 races today R1: 9-4 Exacta $18.30:9: $3.20R2: no hits R3: 3-1 Exacta $19.90 3-1-5 Trifecta $31.30#3 $12.20R4: 9-5 Exacta $7.60 9-5-8 Trifecta $12.70 9-5-8-3 Superfecta $9.77 #9 $5.80 R5: 2-4 Exacta $41.20 #2 $10.60R6: 1-8 Exacta $18.20 1-8-7 Trifecta $30.65 #1 $5.20R7: Top choice won :2: $6.40R8: no hits R9: 2nd choice won#1 $11.207 winners listed 2 on top with 5 Exactas 3 Trifectas and 1 Superfecta

[Pigpen]

finished oaklawn


thanks conley


from now on I'll put oaklawn in my thread pigpen..don't want to clutter your thread when I have my own




.

You are more than welcome here J but understand either way. GL!!!!!!

[JBEX]

You are more than welcome here J but understand either way. GL!!!!!!

OK pigpen.. thanks

[Pigpen]

First week in the books and I did not play much. I hate off tracks and all three days were either sloppy or muddy. I like to chart each race by hand on paper the old school way. A couple things that I see and usually everyone else does too.


Trainers:
Robertino Diodoro recorded 4 wins from 10 starters so he may be one to watch
Ron Moquett had 4 winners from his 8 starters. Very nice
Steve Asmussen 0 wins from 20 starts. Ouch

Jocks:
Kylee Jordan booted home 2 long shot winners on opening day one @30-1 and the other @47-1
Cristian Torres won 7 with 20 mounts
Rafael Bejarano had 5 wins from 18 starts

Horses That Looked Good:
Flap Jack: winner of a 30K claimer on opening day in good time. Keep an eye on him
Albizu: winner of the last race Sunday looked like he is the real deal.

[JBEX]

friday


R5 #2 happy hollow (7-2) 3:22

trainer not a name (yet) on the national scene but sports excellent roi's and win %'s in applicable categories having to do with this race..only time this jock rode for him in the past 2 months brought home a big priced winner

this is a homebred fts but with her pedigree I don't think up for $30k is a really bad sign..workouts on the slow side but they are steady and the latter is always more important to me..inside posts ,like in routes, are also positive in sprints here



R6 #1 citizen (5-1)

expensive fts draws the rail which is excellent at this track going 2 turns.. sire , dam sire combo distance,class and above avg first out..trainer avg with debuters but his flat bet roi is solid with these types(lose around track take)..works solid and steady going back to mid september..as pigpen mentioned bejarano,early on, having a very solid meet and has had a lot of success with this trainer over the past 2 months



R9 #6 classy socks (9-2)


not a bad effort in debut at remington even though it was on the turf .. I think arky special weights is a good spot class-wise for his 2nd start.. trainer having an awful year but over the longer haul decent numbers (factoring roi) with shippers and off short layoffs..purse for statebreds here is close to triple purse at remington for open special weights so obviously they'd prefer to win here

[JBEX]

added R9..that'll do it

[ConleyPicks]

Good luck JBEX with your picks today and thanks Pigpen for the insight!

I am passing on todays card just busy with a lot of stuff today (day off from work) so trying to make the best of it today and then back to work on the weekend.

[Pigpen]

Thanks for sharing your picks and write ups JBX and looking forward to you plays this weekend Conley. I am going dab my toe into the water a bit today. back later with a few selections.

[JBEX]

Thanks for sharing your picks and write ups JBX and looking forward to you plays this weekend Conley. I am going dab my toe into the water a bit today. back later with a few selections.

no problem pigpen..gl today

[Pigpen]

Race 6) #12 Pappy Wolfe:


Justify colt gets Lasix and draws a bad post. I like his last and the 12 hole will help the odds. I hope his 2 turn experience will give him an edge @ a price.

[Pigpen]

Race 8) #8 Deus Ex Machina (20-1 ML)Gelding out of Quality Road and an Unridled's Song mare won his debut and got claimed. I like taking a position on a horse going up the class ladder. His maiden score looked nice visually. He carved out some legitimate fractions and keep going.Let's see if he fits. Price should be square.

That is it for me today. GL!!

[ConleyPicks]

Good luck to JBEX and Pigpen for their selections at Oaklawn today! LFG!!!

Day #5 out of 68 2022-23 meeting
Last days results: 7 winners listed 2 on top with 5 Exactas 3 Trifectas and 1 Superfecta
R1: :5::1::2::6:

R2: :10::2::8::6:

R3: :5::4::1::6:

R4: :8::4::6::5:

R5: :1::8::3::4:

R6: :3::8::6::2:

R7: :2::3::1::7:

R8: :9::1::8::10:

R9: :2::7::3::1:

R10: :12::3::7::6:

Best Bet: Race 4 #8 Ev's Sherman 7/2
Longshot Play: Race 5 #1 Cash Rocket 15-1
Value Play: Race 1 #5 Keen Contender 4-1

[Pigpen]

Nothing for me today. GL Gang!!!!!!

[ConleyPicks]

Results from 10 races today R1: no hits R2: 2-10 Exacta $17.10 2-10-6 Trifecta $89.45 :2: $8.80 R3: no hits (ran 2nd 3rd 4th lol) R4: 4-5 Exacta $16.60:4: $8.20R5: no hits R6: 8-2 Exacta $11.80 8-2-6 Trifecta $14.35 R7: 4th choice won :7: $10.60 R8: Top choice won:9: $8.00R9: no hits R10: Top choice won :12: $8.205 winners listed 2 on top with 3 Exactas 2 Trifectas and 0 Superfectas

[ConleyPicks]

Day #6 out of 68 2022-23 meeting Last days results: 5 winners listed 2 on top with 3 Exactas 2 Trifectas and 0 Superfectas

R1: :8::1::4::6:

R2: :6::2::7::8:

R3: :8::5::11::7:

R4: :9::2::8::1:

R5: :11::12::10::2:

R6: :6::2::9::3:

R7: :10::9::11::2:

R8: :4::7::12::1:

R9: :3::10::12::6:

Best Bet: Race 3 #8 Atta Party 5/2
Longshot Play: Race 1 #8 Bread Winner 12-1
Value Play: Race 6 #6 House Wrecker 5-1

[ConleyPicks]

Results from 9 races today (sorry bit late for these though) R1: 3rd pick won :4: $5.00R2: no hits (ran 2nd 3rd 4th) R3: no hits R4: no hits R5: 12-11 Exacta $9.90:12: $6.00 R6: no hits R7: 9-2 Exacta $32.80 9-2-10 Trifecta $53.15:9: $6.80 R8: no hits R9: no hits 3 winners listed 0 on top with 2 Exactas 1 Trifecta and 1 Superfecta I am also considering for the remainder of the 2022-23 meet at Oaklawn Park doing select races and not full card picks due to a lack of time with my work schedule that I cannot handicap all the races in little time. Update will be after this week.

[Pigpen]

Results from 9 races today (sorry bit late for these though) R1: 3rd pick won :4: $5.00R2: no hits (ran 2nd 3rd 4th) R3: no hits R4: no hits R5: 12-11 Exacta $9.90:12: $6.00 R6: no hits R7: 9-2 Exacta $32.80 9-2-10 Trifecta $53.15:9: $6.80 R8: no hits R9: no hits 3 winners listed 0 on top with 2 Exactas 1 Trifecta and 1 Superfecta I am also considering for the remainder of the 2022-23 meet at Oaklawn Park doing select races and not full card picks due to a lack of time with my work schedule that I cannot handicap all the races in little time. Update will be after this week.

We get a week off and fire again after Christmas!!! Gl Conley

[ConleyPicks]

Starting today I have made the decision to only do select races vs full cards for Oaklawn

The reason why is that I don't have the time to sit down and cap a full one instead I'll focus on 3-4 races from Oaklawn in hopes of profiting and boosting the win%! Thank you

Day 7 out of 68 2022-23 meet

R2: 5 3 7 2 #5 Full Impact 7/2 could take this one gate-to-wire as the one to beat in this contest plus loving that bullet work on Dec 17 ranked 1st/79 horses going 4f in 47:2!

R3: 2 6 7 8 #2 Adaline Julia 1-1 ran a sharp 2nd over at Keeneland but that was in October; Diodoro does well with horses off 61-180 days hitting at 24% win%

R5: 8 2 4 3 #8 Huge Bigly 9/5 cuts back in distance today and just needs to forget about the last time here at OP in order to win now

R9: 2 4 7 1 #2 Valentine Angel 5/2 Hot jockey Torres looks to get this one back on track after 2 poor starts here at OP; Can provide some value if overlooked by the betting public

[ConleyPicks]

Results from 4 races today

R2: #5 3rd

R3: :2: $3.00 + EXA $5.90

R5: #8 2nd

R9: #2 7th #4 1st

4 races
1 winner $3.00 (25% -$5.00)
3 Itm finishes (75%)
1 Exacta $5.90 (25%)
0 Trifecta (0%)
0 Superfecta (0%)

Season Totals
4 races
1 winner $3.00 (25% -$5.00)
3 Itm finishes (75%)
1 Exacta $5.90 (25%)
0 Trifecta (0%)
0 Superfecta (0%)

[ConleyPicks]

Oaklawn 12/31

Season Totals
4 races
1 winner $3.00 (25% -$5.00)
3 Itm finishes (75%)
1 Exacta $5.90 (25%)
0 Trifecta (0%)
0 Superfecta (0%)

Day 8 out of 68 2022-23 meet

R6 The Renaissance: 4 6 2 1
#4 Two Eagles River 6/5 is in very sharp form right now with just getting necked out for staying undefeated in the last start; Adds Lasix for the 1st time today and could be the extra bonus booster to win this stakes event! The value may not be there but 'River definitely the one to take the cake here

R9 (F) The Year's End: 4 9 1 7
#4 Midnight Heiress 8-1 the one to upset the apple cart as a live longshot; Form is so good right now but has only managed to win 1 and have 5 place finishes from 6 starts in her career; Still nothing to be worried about with jockey Rodriguez aboard and trainer Hollendorfer teaming up where they are hitting 25% here at Oaklawn and 30% at all tracks combined!

Thanks to everyone for an amazing 2022! From the Triple Crown to my handicapper career Kickstarter at Grand River to Saratoga summer wins to the Breeders Cup and now Oaklawn it has been quite a year to remember! I hope everyone has a Happy New Year in 2023 with more winners luck and success! See you on the other side!

[Pigpen]

Good luck today Conley!!!!!! I cannot get any confidence in these babies hope you have a big day!!!!!! Happy New Year!!!!

[Jellymancan]

Good luck, guys. Happy New Year!