Originally Posted by
Jellymancan
Good luck JBEX. You can break down races really well compared to me. Do you go back and watch replays? I just have no time. Anyway, since I have time, my thoughts on your picks.
R1- Seems to point to the #1 with pedigree, Todd's stats etc. as many of the other first timers seem mediocre at best. The #2 has some solid works. Your pick of the #7 is sensible, has the experience, cutting back, dropping in class, easier field, Stephens doesn't run many but decent results and I think he won one at the SPA this summer.
R2- Fastelle- Dropping, faced some toughies last summer on dirt, trainer has good turf to dirt sprint stats in NY (but she's been cold aas well as jockey) For a price pick, I get it. Englehart does well in these types of races, has the #1 and #2.
R7- I agree with this pick and will be playing this myself. Agree with everything you said (Kantharos 17% first time, trainer has hit some bombs) Ward's horse and others will be heavily bet. Just noticed 3,6,7 are scratched. He'll still be a decent price, so why not.
Good luck today with all your picks and any others.