Thursday 09Jul20
R1 3579
R2 8512
R3 26110
R4 3542
R5 2953
R6 2751
R7 6478
R8 3628
R9 5938
R10 5239
R11 2435
I got a little bit of time to kill and will do an analysis.
Yesterday, no Mohawk or Woodbine, so I decided to stay in and enjoy my subscription of TVG on my brand new 4K 65 inch, and bet a bunch of thoroughbreds.
Turns out, I suck at it, and I don't like it.
Made another thread about it, and its full of embarrassing losers.
As a result, I lose several hundred dollars, and I need to just gtfo of the house when Mohawk isn't running, plain and simple.
Race 1
#3 to get the edge over the #5. All i could say is, I watched the videos of them racing in different races last week, and based on what I saw, I like #3
#7 was not too far behind #5 last week in that race, and the rest of the field doesn't look to impressive.
#9 best pp#'s of the rest.
Should be a two horse race. I recommend an exacta box. No one is gonna touch these two and it's gonna be a two horse race.
Race #2
Rookie horses
#8 is the favorite with the best pp#s. Good driver, old driver.
#5 next best pp#'s
#1 inside with a good driver
#2 lousy horse, good driver, good price
Race #3
#2 has just got to stay on the track. Last week on the opening turn, it wanted to turn right into the Canadian forest, and not left on to the track, but the driver was jerking the heck out of his head just to get it to not wander off. It picked off the horse I bet to win on the stretch. The game plan with this one is to keep it straight, and it should dominate
#6 is a really tough racer. I think we can get a price. It has hit the board in 5 of 6, top 2 last 3. In 14 2020 starts, 8 are in second.
#1 has the best pp#'s. Could out right win. PP#'s are the best, but it finishes 6th or worse in its last 3 in Mohawk.
#10 good pp#'s
Overall, a trifecta box 126 wouldn't be a bad idea
Race #4
A bunch of rookies
#3 might get a good price. Watched its qualifier and the driver spared the whip on the stretch, with a good time.
#5 has the fastest time of the field and the driver turned down another.
#4 is the favorite
#2 has a decent driver on the inside
Overall, I'm not too excited about this race
Race #5
#2 should dominate. Last week, it finished 5th, while within a half length of three other horses that aren't in this race. I see it taking the lead on the back stretch, and dominating the race after that.
#9 is a horse I really like, and it got picked off last week by the winner I got in race two(above). It's just not gonna have enough to catch the winner
#5 is here because the rest of the field sucks. Should be a good price
#3 The driver did well with this horse at another track, so I'll give him tail end of the superfecta here.
Overall, 2with 9 should be an easy exacta
Race #6
More rookies
#2 is a 12-1 morning line. But, old driver, young horse seems to the angle. Even the writers for Mohawk are catching on to that. Maybe they're reading my analysis (j/k)
#7 should win. But, I would hate myself if I didn't take the 12-1 longshot.
#5 is the favorite and he trained his own horse. That's all I got to say about that(in my Forrest Gump voice)
#1 Good driver, good horse, but this horse broke stride its last time out so I will put him fourth
Overall, if #2 gets his odds to get higher than 10-1. Go cross the board with it(bet WPS Win Place Show).
#7
This will be fun
#6 is gonna kick everybody's ass, and you're gonna laugh your ass off because you bet it. Easy money!!!$$$
#4 is the tough call here. Plenty of good horses. Driver turned down another horse with a better time for this one. So, I had to watch the video, and just what I suspected, other drivers boxed him in and he couldn't get out. If he gets a good trip, should be a nice paying exacta.
#7 was a few lengths back from this winner last week, and I don't think their will be too many horses that will get into striking distance of the winner.
#8 is a bit of an unknown. He's had a nifty qualifier at another track, and maybe that translates to something. Maybe worth an across the board bet(WPS)
Overall, if you play a pick 3,4,5, #6 is a good single
Race #8
More rookies
#3 old driver young horse. Not too much brain power used here on this selection
#6 the favorite with the best pp#s
#2 is 12-1 morning line. Driver picked this over the horse I am picking to win which makes me think its worth an across the board bet.
#8 Old driver on the outside and I will put him in the fourth spot
Overall, if you see #2 or #3 get their numbers jacked up, an across the board bet might be a good idea.
Race #9
#5 can be aggravating to watch. Starts off shitty, and will probably look a little rough when the gates close in. It should win, but you'll probably scream at the T.V. to get him to move his ass on the final stretch. It will get there though.
#9 was second tier last week and got behind the #5 at the start(somebody didn't do their homework). As a result, it got stuck behind a bunch of slower horses, turned wide on the final stretch, had accelerated, but not enough track to catch the rest. Should be corrected by being in the front, this time, even though it's far outside
#3 has a tradition of hitting the board. It won't catch #5, but last week, it finished second to it in the same race.
#8 kicked some ass in a race, a couple of weeks ago. It beat the #2 horse of this race, and somehow the #2 gets better odds? I don't think so.
Overall key 5 w 3,9 exacta. My concern is #9 has the speed, but the post might have him fall short of #3 taking place
Race #10
upset alert
#5 last week was bunched up and behind a bunch of horses and couldn't get loose. It also had a lousy start off the gate. But, it showed incredible speed on the stretch, and if the race was any longer, it would have caught them all.
#2 is the favorite and should dominate and win the race-and then it will watch #5 fly right by it.
#3 has good pp#'s
#9 tends to finish in this spot. Not that good, not that bad, just average. the rest of the field just doesn't look that good though.
Overall, #235 should be keyed in any multi-leg races with
Race 11
#2 in my opinion, last week, got the second tier and it killed him. He was behind some very slow horses and the outside horses sprinted out and took the early lead, Then they leaped frog each other on the back stretch, and couldn't get any momentum going. The post relief, I believe will correct that, this time.
#4 had a bad race last week. It's getting 10-1 morning line, which should go down. Maybe it bounces back this week.
#3 will compete and if it doesn't win, it will be within a length or two of the winner.
#5 didn't get along with it's driver last week, and just quit. Well, the good doctor will give it a 'good talking to', a different driver, and maybe it will get back on the board.
Good luck on your plays today