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jbex live (big and small tracks) and small advanced plays
I know there's been a lot of threads started and stopped by me of late..the ones above are categories I'd like to separate from big tracks advanced plays even though
i'm not keeping score..big track advanced plays will be in the other old thread from now on..for now within 2 hours of post time will be considered a live (or early) play for big tracks
GL JBEX. I assume you got some plays today?
thanks easy..think I'll be playing a little later but haven't looked yet..most or all will be in this thread if I doOriginally Posted by Easy-Rider 66
belmont
R4 #8 teryn it up (9-2)
never seen a fairer racing surface than a mile at belmont on the turf..post position,running style they're all about equal numbers wise
R5 #7 go big or go home (5-2)
R7 #1 summersault (4-1)
extending 1-2 furlongs has resulted in a win and a close 2nd..caught behind tortoise pace last out...johnny v back aboard who won with her 2 back
R8 #1 dezzer
out of a stakes winning "lord at war" mare ..don't hear that name much anymore and he was a top flight turf stallion in his day..besides being a stakes winner dam has produced 7 winners from 10 starters 4 of which won on the turf..sire above average turf also..form speaks for itself..trainer good at everything and only time jose ortiz rode for him past 60 days was the win aboard this guy
R9 #3 separation of powers (4-1)
take a stab..future winner of the test stakes at the spa
R10 #2 accolade (7-2)
woodbine
R10 #3 brasstown (8-1)
R11 #2 bourbon neat (15-1)
gulfstream
R11 #3 alperes (15-1)
finally a good post in his 4th career start.. drops 2 notches and the trainer excellent with these types as well as being solid overall.. 2 favorites breaking from posts 9 and 10 which is a disadvantage at this track and distance
Last edited by JBEX; 07-08-18 at 03:31 PM.
parx
R1 #6 no time to play (5-1)
R9 #3 the silent one (20-1)
R9 double 3 11 (R9 and 10) about a half of win bet
delaware
R5 #4 don't charge it (12-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 07-09-18 at 01:32 PM.
Think you have the wrong race here Jbex.
Just pulled up Parx and that is where the horse is running.
corrected thanx
mountaineer
R1 #7 yenom neve (7-2)
R2 #9 moon in my shine (10-1)
R3 #5 majestic spring (6-1)
R4 #6 runaway posse (3-1)
R5 #3 beautiful storm (8-1)
R5 #6 wise surprise (12-1)>>> 2 horses
R6 #6 don't cry barbi (3-1)
R7 #3 pomeroy's package (2-1)
R9 #2 space angel (10-1)
Last edited by JBEX; 07-09-18 at 07:00 PM.
post time R5 @ 8:28
... have more up by 8pm
parx
R2 #1a sweet turn (20-1)
must go.. not interested in the other
R3 #7 barley jack (10-1)
R8 #4 jw'strickymischief (10-1)
R9 #9 charming morty (7-2)
indiana grand
R1 #2 inspeightof (9-2)
that's it
Last edited by JBEX; 07-10-18 at 11:12 AM.
posted indiana 1..that's it for today
going to be looking at indiana grand and maybe some belmont also..the former has nice big fields today..will have picks up well before post
belmont
R6 #3 puffery (15-1)
R6 #8 rachel's blue moon (8-1)
R9 #2 leap to glory (3-1)
indiana grand
R1 #2 express charge (6-1)
R3 #4 sonoma crush (6-1)
R4 #9 instant conquest (6-1)
*R5 #2 delta levy (15-1)
*R5 #4 acrobat (10-1)
R7 exacta 15
Last edited by JBEX; 07-11-18 at 02:00 PM.
belmont
R4 #2 lutsky (7-2)
all the things I like In a 2yo firster.. sprint pedigree top and bottom.. dam was a winner whose produced 2 winners from as many starters.. but the dpi was very low so neither was anything special.. $135K (two months ago at auction) a lot to pay for a horse by a $10k stallion with that production on the bottom which to me means he must be physically very impressive.. servis/ortiz a blessing and a curse with the latter being because they are becoming to obvious ..at least pletcher around to absorb some money with a firster of his own #9
R8 #2 double cast (8-1)
R9 #3 freeload (9-2)
Last edited by JBEX; 07-12-18 at 02:05 PM.
belmont
R4 #3 silveratta road (5-1)
12 post last out in her 2nd career start last out vs msw..drops to maiden claimers today which linda rice is terrific with in addition to 2nd start off a short layoff..john velazquez rides again and could see abetter effort vs much easier company
R5 #6 tiz a chance (6-1)
been up close to some blazing fast paces in allowance routes 2 and 3 back and close up a notch below last out vs claimers..now cuts back to a sprint vs same level claimers as last race..could be the right spot for him
R6 #9 bootlegger (10-1)
another who's been up close to a couple of you've gotta be f***king kidding me paces 1 and 4 back..has been routing in all his last 10 races and the cutback to 7f along with the drop to claimers could be a wakeup call..2nd time and 2nd off layoff for rudy rodriguez positive moves and junior alvarado 4/15 riding for him past 60 days
R7 #9 orchid party (12-1)
been a solid claim for rudy taken in his debut race.. off the turf 2 back in what would've been his initial try at it.. last out on it broke slow from the rail and ran dead even back of the pack all the way around.. could see a better effort today
R9 #3 rough justice (5-1)
good post, right level for 3rd career start.. i'm a little suspicious of the favorite #6 dropping down off what he's shown especially factoring in the pedigree.. linda rice is great with this move but hopefully it doesn't work for her here
Last edited by JBEX; 07-13-18 at 04:22 PM.
indiana grand
R5 #8 aaron's joy (30-1)
did nothing in his debut going wide all the way around but that was as a 2yo in september ...homebred is by paynter out of a chester house mare which is nice bloodlines in an indiana bred race..dam has produced 2 winners from 3 starters and was a winner herself.... the new trainer is solid and very profitable off a long layoff (roi +89%)and is 8/32 with msw with a +200% roi !!. jockey is 4/9 with trainer last 60 days (+178% roi).. horse is also a first time gelding
parx
R5 #6 missin the big dog (3-1)
9 starts 1-4-4 all on the dirt and tries turf for the first time which he's bred to like ..dam has 9 winners from as many starters including 6 turf winners. trainer nice numbers roi and win % in multiple categories
R10 #6 smooth don (5-1)
think his run prior vs allowance makes him tough here.. broke maiden vs claimers and now drops in to clm 20kn2l which is where he belongs.. jockey castillo 12/40 in sprint races
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