1. #1
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    3 horse parlays

    -- max 1 play/day.. could pass entirely
    -- looking to hit 3 plays
    -- ideal odds range 3-2 to 5-2

    could play horses with higher ml odds if I think they'll be bet lower.. obviously once I pick not going to change higher or lower.. part of the handicapping process guessing at that.. not expecting this to be successful to be honest but be fun to try and chance to practice patience and spot play skills

    3 horse parlay payoffs at various odds (obviously never all be the same but to give some idea)
    rounded off.. shooting for lower odds

    3-2 (14-1)
    2-1 (26-1)
    5-2 (41-1)
    3-1 (63-1)

    *no monday's or tuesday's (no secondary tracks except tampa)
    *no off tracks
    *think an equal win place makes some sense for the final bet.. if we come in 2nd money goes in the bank and start with base bet again.. at 2-1 average odds the consolation prize is about 6-1
    which isn't half bad.. a win 3rd leg splitting WP worth about 20-1..so figure splitting and hitting the final leg knocks 30% off final payoff

    see how it goes

  2. #2
    Easy-Rider 66
    Easy-Rider 66's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-14-12
    Posts: 33,055
    Betpoints: 3177

    GL JBEX. Interesting Concept. 5 Dimes allows you to parlay win bets. $1 Max.

  3. #3
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    I think I understand what your doing..
    Are you going in with a max amount of plays per day or just going to play all of the choices that fall into your criteria?
    I hope you kill it!!
    I'll be watching and rooting for you..
    BOL


  4. #4
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    GL JBEX. Interesting Concept. 5 Dimes allows you to parlay win bets. $1 Max.

    thanks easy.. see what happens.. it's fun to hit one leg and have a little carryover juice on occasion

  5. #5
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    K
    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    I think I understand what your doing..
    Are you going in with a max amount of plays per day or just going to play all of the choices that fall into your criteria?


    I hope you kill it!!
    I'll be watching and rooting for you..
    BOL



    no.. one play/day no matter how many I see that I like.. has to meet low odds requirement also

    thanks


    usually a burnout scenario if you take it seriously.. lots of gray area decisions

  6. #6
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    gulfstream

    R3 #5 I'm thirsty (3-1)

    we'll make base bet a simple $2 and round closest to the nearest dollar if we advance

  7. #7
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    K



    no.. one play/day no matter how many I see that I like.. has to meet low odds requirement also

    thanks


    usually a burnout scenario if you take it seriously.. lots of gray area decisions
    Hope this process helps with the gray area decisions..
    Make it happen!!


  8. #8
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    gulfstream

    R3 #5 I'm thirsty (3-1)

    we'll make base bet a simple $2 and round closest to the nearest dollar if we advance
    Still some time, 17 mtp, but they've hammered it down to 4/5..


  9. #9
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    oops opened 4-5.. maybe he'll go up but no changing

  10. #10
    Easy-Rider 66
    Easy-Rider 66's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-14-12
    Posts: 33,055
    Betpoints: 3177

    Going with the #8 Here. 2/1. 3 Minutes till post. Your horse is even Money.

  11. #11
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    2nd at 3-5...figured he'd be lower but obviously not that low.. back tomorrow

  12. #12
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    base bet =2

    lost 1 (-2)

    1st leg.. series 2

    fairgrounds R11 risen star stakes

    #9 mo town (7-2) guessing he'll fall into my range and if not nbd

  13. #13
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    base bet =2

    lost 2 (-4)

    1st leg ...series 3

    gulfstream R13 #3 chasing the dream (3-1)

  14. #14
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    base bet =2

    lost 3

    1st leg ..series 4

    oaklawn R1 #2 florida bird (7-2)

    with average win odds of 2-1 and a W/W/WP split comes out to a 20-1+ return with 3 wins..a place in the 3rd leg about a 6-1 return which is not bad..of course have to factor in the prior losses..not gonna go beyond this month with this

  15. #15
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    base bet =2

    lost 3

    1st leg ..series 4

    oaklawn R1 #2 florida bird (7-2)

    with average win odds of 2-1 and a W/W/WP split comes out to a 20-1+ return with 3 wins..a place in the 3rd leg about a 6-1 return which is not bad..of course have to factor in the prior losses..not gonna go beyond this month with this
    This is the day!!


  16. #16
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    This is the day!!

    I hope buckandadime..love to nail at least one series this month

  17. #17
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    geez 3/5 with 20 mtp..hopefully he'll drift up but a play regardless..maybe if he does we can hit a nice juicy 5/2 tomorrow to even things out

    7/5..12 mtp
    Last edited by JBEX; 03-02-17 at 01:18 PM.

  18. #18
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    3.60 winner..beats losing but nothing to get excited about ..2 base bet makes no sensewith the loose change..I bet 10 so that's what i'll use as a base bet ..18 bet tomorrow

  19. #19
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    Its a hit JBEX!! Someone told me long ago, don't be greedy just take what's given to you.. Good job!


  20. #20
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    Its a hit JBEX!! Someone told me long ago, don't be greedy just take what's given to you.. Good job!

    thanks buckandadime.. at even money it's about a 6-1 return including the WP bet 3rd leg.. consolation about 2-1..other extreme, higher end of 5-2 with WP final leg is about a 50-1 return with a consolation about 15-1..whatever happens nice to hit and then have something to look forward to the following day

  21. #21
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    If there is nothing up by noon means I'm passing the day.. so if you're playing you'll have time to get your bet in.. if it's the 1st or 2nd race probably be up by 11:30

  22. #22
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    going to pass today..was thinking about R5 #5 giant ending (2-1) but he's gonna be too short

  23. #23
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    What track JBEX? Nothing wrong with patiently waiting


  24. #24
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    What track JBEX? Nothing wrong with patiently waiting

    yeah could have mentioned that. .aqueduct

  25. #25
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    Ty! Yesterday we agreed just seeing if I'm missing something with your choices.. GL today


  26. #26
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    Ty! Yesterday we agreed just seeing if I'm missing something with your choices.. GL today

    everybody has their leans for different reasons.I'm usually looking for similar stuff ..not trying to reinvent the wheel every time

  27. #27
    harthebar
    harthebar's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-09-11
    Posts: 15,531
    Betpoints: 9580

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    Ty! Yesterday we agreed just seeing if I'm missing something with your choices.. GL today

    Buckandadime and a dime you new to racing


  28. #28
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    No Sir.. Wouldn't know it by some of my bonehead wagers though.. Seems my handicapping is always evolving.. Not sure if that's a good or bad thing.. Just trying to find one little gold nugget that will stand the test of time..


  29. #29
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    No Sir.. Wouldn't know it by some of my bonehead wagers though.. Seems my handicapping is always evolving.. Not sure if that's a good or bad thing.. Just trying to find one little gold nugget that will stand the test of time..



    no matter how long you do this you can always make an adjustment and learn something new..i think once you develop good skills (not saying that's me) including betting strategy and money mgmt a lot of it's a head game.. staying on an even keel good times and bad and realizing no matter how good a horseplayer you are there are weakness in everybody's game.. I think sometimes being accepting of that is better than constantly trying to improve.. that can drive you nuts doing that.. of course I'm talking more an intermediate to above average player to give it a rest and accept where you are.. early on you've got to study and put in the time

  30. #30
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    going to pass today..was thinking about R5 #5 giant ending (2-1) but he's gonna be too short

    boy my odds forecasting skills not so hot 2-1.. 12 mtp... still think he's going off 6-5.. just commenting not a play

  31. #31
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    boy my odds forecasting skills not so hot 2-1.. 12 mtp... still think he's going off 6-5.. just commenting not a play
    wound up 2nd by quite a bit..off at 9-5 so would have split the uprights of the odds range..wiped out at the beginning by the winner #6 and jockey claimed foul
    but to no avail..really unbiased opinion 6 should have come down..not sure why I'm spending the time on this as he was not a play anyway..from now on only picks and no I was thinking of doing this one

  32. #32
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    this may take some time.. have to start looking early and of course see something.. may miss days as I have already.. when I do post something it'll be up before noon.. not gonna press on this

  33. #33
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365


    JBEX, why aren't you playing the SA/Keeneland contest?


  34. #34
    JBEX
    JBEX's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 20,266
    Betpoints: 9162

    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post

    JBEX, why aren't you playing the SA/Keeneland contest?


    just enjoy picking the way I do it..don't feel the need to compete..I usually only have a good opinion on about 2 SA races on average daily so rather not have to bother capping the others

  35. #35
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 2365

    Quote Originally Posted by JBEX View Post
    just enjoy picking the way I do it..don't feel the need to compete..I usually only have a good opinion on about 2 SA races on average daily so rather not have to bother capping the others
    Cool.. I respect that.


12 Last
Top