Originally Posted by
mikemca
Ness is a cancer to the sport.Especially for the horse player because in the end you are purely guessing with his horses.If you try to regularly handicap his horses then you are going to be on a lot of 3-5 shots that run up the track.Its not just at TB/LRL/DEL anymore but he has started to spread into the major tracks on NYRA and GP.He gets all his horses by claiming them, then laying them off while he works his magical powers.That's why it seems a lot of his runners are coming in off some kind of lay off.
Centeno,Serpa, and Cibelli all solid at Tampa.With the exception of Cibelli there is a reason they are at Tampa.The surprise imo has been Curatolo as he has been pretty bad ever since he lost his bug until this meet.Every handicapper has their own way of going about it but I feel sometimes that it is best to ignore the human connections.You can find a good horse that is overlooked only because he/she isn't in a top barn with a top rider.
Espinosa is a solid jock, he is just buried in the pecking order in NY where he mostly shines on the turf with speed horses.Surprised he hasn't gone elsewhere until now where he can be live on any type.
With all the private farms now it is easy to hide workouts.When they do show slow works though its not an automatic toss.A lot of trainers will only let their horses run the last furlong so while they might show a slow :50 4f work it would look a lot better if you knew that they galloped 3f in 38 and 1 but came home in :11.3 and galloped out 5 in 1:02 flat.Sometimes they will even be given credit for the 5f in 1:02 and think how bad that would look on the face but in reality it was a very strong move.