1. 10-05-12 07:57 AM #1
    mikemca
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    Keeneland Opening Day

    Hopefully the Keeneland meet isn't a chalkfest like it has been the majority of the last several meets.



    Race 1
    5-Otter Cove(15-1)

    Race 2
    4-Boozy Bird(10-1)

    Race 3
    5-Proud Jared(5-1)

    Race 4
    3-Hogue(10-1)

    Race 5
    6-Heavenly Landing(9-5)
    1-My Redbyrd(5-1)
    5-My Perfect Ten(8-1)

    Race 6
    2-Worthwhilepursuit(3-1)
    11-Miss Brown Sugar(10-1)
    10-Flashy Gray(15-1)

    Race 7
    3-Mr. Woodrow(20-1)
    8-Where's The Baby(10-1)
    1-Slow Pace

    Race 8
    6-Sum Of The Parts(4-1)
    1-Aikenite(4-1)
    8-Lonesome Street(5-1)

    Race 9
    1-Pure Indy(8-1)
    2-Kitten's Dumplings(8-1)
    9-Spring In The Air(12-1)

    Race 10
    7-Chocolat City(15-1)
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  2. 10-05-12 11:52 AM #2
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Playing both McPeek's horses in the first- The #5 and the #7. They both fit the profile of horses who have won this race before.
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  3. 10-05-12 12:00 PM #3
    mikemca
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    Think the 5 did some running at the end of his only race.What profile do they fit?
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  4. 10-05-12 12:01 PM #4
    harthebar
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    Mikemca.you feel good with your picks,are you using the form or replays or both...let me know,i have some follow ups .....check my thing..have a great day and when are you coming back to a.c. Anytime soon..
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  5. 10-05-12 12:10 PM #5
    mikemca
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    Meh 1 1/16 mile workout for the 5.
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  6. 10-05-12 12:18 PM #6
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by harthebar View Post
    Mikemca.you feel good with your picks,are you using the form or replays or both...let me know,i have some follow ups .....check my thing..have a great day and when are you coming back to a.c. Anytime soon..
    I always feel I landed on a horse for good reason but historically Keeneland is a bad track for me, especially the first couple days.I use pace figures combined with drf and go down to AC once or twice a month.

    Most of the time I look for longshots that have just short of competitive figures compared to the favorites but their pace figures show that they didn't empty the tank acquiring the competitive figs.
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  7. 10-05-12 12:37 PM #7
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
    Think the 5 did some running at the end of his only race.What profile do they fit?
    Used Jeremy Plonk's analysis on the Keeneland website. He gives historical reasons to back a horse. Did not work out this time.
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  8. 10-05-12 12:44 PM #8
    harthebar
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    what do you thing of rose to gold in the feature been watching replays over the last hour
    and grandstand in the 4th both at kneenland ,rose to gold has been a monster ...winning with ease,but yes a tougher field......like the 1 also in that race...let me know...and give a shout out next time you come to my home town,...ill handicapp with you.
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  9. 10-05-12 12:58 PM #9
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Used Jeremy Plonk's analysis on the Keeneland website. He gives historical reasons to back a horse. Did not work out this time.
    Yeah hard to bet a firster going 1 1/6 although Maker is the equal of a Pletcher/Baffert when his horses run in Kentucky and the winner of the 2nd didn't make a whole lot of sense beside taking money on the tote. Maybe trends are the way to go because using my normal routine doesn't seem to work at Keeneland or most synth tracks.Arlington is the only one that I do just as well at.
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  10. 10-05-12 01:08 PM #10
    mikemca
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    Quote Originally Posted by harthebar View Post
    what do you thing of rose to gold in the feature been watching replays over the last hour
    and grandstand in the 4th both at kneenland ,rose to gold has been a monster ...winning with ease,but yes a tougher field......like the 1 also in that race...let me know...and give a shout out next time you come to my home town,...ill handicapp with you.
    Grandstand looks playable but think 6-1 is a little short but may drift up because Breaking Ball's last race towers over the field.

    Rose to Gold would be a complete guess.You never know if dirt form will transfer over to the polytrack and the horses she was trouncing would be an underlay at 99-1 in this field.That said if she can run just as well on this surface and taking the huge jump in class then 6-1 is more than fair.
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  11. 10-05-12 01:11 PM #11
    mikemca
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    Will also try to get in touch next trip I go.You live in AC or outside of it.I grew up in Blackwood/Gloucester Township.
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  12. 10-05-12 01:25 PM #12
    GChild
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    Where can I get a feed for keeneland?

    Thanks
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  13. 10-05-12 01:28 PM #13
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Quote Originally Posted by GChild View Post
    Where can I get a feed for keeneland?

    Thanks
    Go the the Keeneland website. They stream the races for free.
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  14. 10-07-12 11:43 PM #14
    harthebar
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    Mikemca,i want to try a little test,pick me a race. 1 or 2 from
    parx
    delaware
    laurel
    belmont
    tomorrow but not to late,or it can be a race your really interested in....if you can
    thanks
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  15. 10-08-12 07:49 AM #15
    mikemca
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    Belmont Race 10 or if you want a turf race then Race 8.
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