[QUOTE=Dark Horse;15799348]Do you really think I'm going to cheat here to make myself like good? If you're going to distrust this, fine by me, but my pre-race method shows Willy Beamin to run a very strong race. I would have given him a Beyer projection of 97 or 98. I don't know what he won the race with.
Also, it would seem he didn't spend a whole lot of energy in the previous race, which he easily won by 6 lengths, running just a 84 Beyer (11 below the 95 he had run back in June).
Willy Beamin got a 97 beyer. Looks like your method was spot on. But it does seem strange that he could jump 13 points on 2 days rest.