Realize this not going out on a limb but love Contested here. Just missed debut breaking from the rail on the synthetic.
Breaks from 11 post 2nd start and wins easily @ 6f by 6.5 lengths with a solid beyer. Has dominated in all 3 starts this year. Especially like the fact his last 2 were at 7f and 1 mile and of course the 8.5f @ Belmont is 1 turn. Has a 479 mud Tomlinson and I believe highest you can get is 480.If track stays wet this will be to her advantage. Believe You Can will obviously attract some money but I'll take 4/5 on Contested as my minimum odds for a play
Throwing out Believe you Can because according to Thorograph she is a major bounce candidate. She's had some time to recover from he last but will try to beat her. Contested has run 2 good figures in a row, with a month rest after last effort. Zo Impressive has run some races in the 2 range on the sheets and could improve. Have to see what the odds are, and if an overlay may go with her.