Going for her 19th win in a row before going over to europe to look for a worthy challenge. She in all probability will win but there are alot of factors weighing against her come saturday. If your ever gonna lay this horse then here's the reasons why:
1. Yet to be raced 2 weeks in a row. This will be her 1st 7 day backup
2. Change of distance (from 1400m to 1000m) off short delay between races generally unsettles horses
3. Hay List is the only horse to run black caviar to within a length
4. Hay List is a specialist 1000 metre bolter
5. Racing against a fresher field of horses
Dont get me wrong, this horse is a freak and will in all probability win by a number of lengths but a set of circumstances exist here that justify -800 ($1.14) lay bet imo. Discussion and comments welcome...GL