1. #1
    xxzzfile
    xxzzfile's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-12-08
    Posts: 61
    Betpoints: 168

    UPDATE MAY 4 - 2011 Kentucky Derby Projected Morning Line Odds

    UPDATE MAY 4 - Full Card Reports 2011 Kentucky Derby Projected Morning Line Odds

    Please Note: These Are NOT Our True Odds.

    Updated MAY 04 @ 5:21 a.m. (ET)

    The morning line for a horse race represents how the Oddsmaker expects the public to
    wager, NOT how he thinks the race will be run.

    Oddsmakers say a standard rule of thumb in setting a morning line is that the point
    values of all the horses in a race should total between 123 and 129 points. That
    allows for the approximately 17 percent takeout that goes toward purses, state taxes
    and the track's share and for a margin of error.

    Dialed In (4-1)
    Uncle Mo (5-1)
    Mucho Macho Man (6-1)
    Nehro (8-1)
    Archarcharch (10-1)
    Midnight Interlude(12-1)
    Shackleford (15-1)
    Pants On Fire (15-1)
    Soldat (15-1)
    Santiva (15-1)
    Animal Kingdom (20-1)
    Comma on the Top (20-1)
    Master of Hounds (20-1)
    Stay Thirsty (30-1)
    Brilliant Speed (30-1)
    Twinspired (30-1)
    Derby Kitten (30-1)
    Decisive Moment (50-1)
    Watch Me Go (50-1)
    Twice The Appeal (50-1)
    -----------------------------
    TOTAL 124 POINTS

  2. #2
    Thunder Gulch
    Thunder Gulch's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-30-10
    Posts: 996
    Betpoints: 204

    I'm telling you there is no way Twice the Appeal is 50-1. Maybe half that.

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