[Kook]

I have been tracking my season and watching all of you and think I am ready to give tracking my stuff here a try. Please give me your feedback. I am up for the season but it is really too late to put that stuff in. I'll just start at zero and see how I do the rest of the season.

[Kook]

seems like starts are the way to go with rating so I'll give it a try. 5 stars is best.

[Kook]

Friday 2/25
4* PHX/CJB: Over (-140)
3* PIT: ML (+130)
3* PIT/CAR: Under (-130)

Season total: +/- 0

[Kook]

Friday 2/25 review

win $100 - 4* PHX/CJB: Over 5 (-140)
lose $100 - 3* PIT: ML (+130)
push 3* PIT/CAR: Under 5 (-130)

Season total: +/- 0

Definitely not the impress-the-hell-out-of-you start I was hoping for.

[Kook]

I think it would best if I break out the wins/losses by my ratings as well as combine them. I'll give it a try

[Kook]

Saturday 2/26

4* Philadelphia -1.5 (+145)
4* PHI/OTT over 5.5 (-105)

3* Los Angeles -1.5 (+130)
3* COL/LA Over 5.5 (-110)
3* CAR/MON over 5.5 (+110)

2* Washington ML (-135)


*************************
Season total combined: +/- $0 (1-1-1)
Season total 5*: +/- $0 (0 plays)
Season total 4*: +$100 (1-0 play)
Season total 3*: -$100 (0-1-1 plays)
Season total 2*: +/- $0 (0 plays)
Season total 1*: +/- $0 (0 plays)

[Kook]

Saturday 2/26 review

lost $100 - 4* Philadelphia -1.5 (+145)
lost $105 - 4* PHI/OTT over 5.5 (-105)

lost $100 - 3* Los Angeles -1.5 (+130)
WIN $100 - 3* COL/LA Over 5.5 (-110)
WIN $110 - 3* CAR/MON over 5.5 (+110)

WIN $100 - 2* Washington ML (-135)

*************************
Season total combined: $5 (4-4-1)
Season total 5*: $0 (0 plays)
Season total 4*: -$105 (1-2 play)
Season total 3*: $10 (2-2-1 plays)
Season total 2*: $100 (1 plays)
Season total 1*: $0 (0 plays)

[Kook]

I am getting sophisticated with my tracking but don't want to over complicate. Now if I could just prove what I was doing prior to posting. Damn puck.

[Kook]

Sunday 2/27

4* TOR/ATL over 6 (+100)

3* Colubus ML (+125)
3* Boston -1.5 (+190)
3* STL/CAL over 5.5 (-110)

2* Calgary ML (-150)
2* COL/ANH over 5.5 (-130)


*************************
Season total combined: $5 (4-4-1)
Season total 5*: $0 (0 plays)
Season total 4*: -$105 (1-2 play)
Season total 3*: $10 (2-2-1 plays)
Season total 2*: $100 (1 plays)
Season total 1*: $0 (0 plays)

[Kook]

dropped the 1st 2 but have 4 more now to make it back

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Not off to the start you were hoping for I guess. Will keep an eye on this thread good luck

[Locke]

hey kook, sorry to hear about the rough start. we've all had a few of those. just wondering what criteria you use to determine what designation a play receives in terms of stars? in other words, why are some plays 2 stars, and others 4?

[Kook]

Sunday 2/27 review

lost $100 - 4* TOR/ATL over 6 (+100)

lost $100 - 3* Colubus ML (+125)
lost $100 - 3* Boston -1.5 (+190)
lost $110 - 3* STL/CAL over 5.5 (-110)

WIN $100 - 2* Calgary ML (-150)
lost $130 - 2* COL/ANH over 5.5 (-130)


*************************
Season total combined: -$435 (5-9-1)
Season total 5*: $0 (0 plays)
Season total 4*: -$205 (1-3 play)
Season total 3*: -$290 (2-5-1 plays)
Season total 2*: $70 (1 plays)
Season total 1*: $0 (0 plays)

[Kook]

I don't have any picks for tonight. Time to lick my wounds and respond to you guys. And thanks for your support. My season record is actually up but as it would figure when I start posting things go south quick.

[Kook]

Not off to the start you were hoping for I guess. Will keep an eye on this thread good luck

No, not at all. Not sure if it's the karma of posting it and getting a little bit of a big head or the change in teams mentalities with the playoffs on the horizon.

Hopefully we can get back on the horse and get back to winning. Based on $100 bets for each game, I am up over $1000 since December 29th. Even after the a-s kicking I took since posting.

Off to the Wild game......Not betting it, but they could use a win tonight.

[Kook]

hey kook, sorry to hear about the rough start. we've all had a few of those. just wondering what criteria you use to determine what designation a play receives in terms of stars? in other words, why are some plays 2 stars, and others 4?

Thanks! Hockey is different than other sports in the fact that if you go strictly by "research" you will get crushed. You have to know how teams are playing and how teams match up against each other. I watch as many games a night as I can and watch the recaps of games I missed and go off of how they have been playing.
I also do the research side of it as well and when both side match up heavily, then it would be a 4*. The 2* picks are usually ones that I feel good about, but because of the juice, it is a little more of a risky bet. Like the Calgary one the other night at -150. Not your best option to risk 100 to win 65 or so.

Being that I am doing this for fun or to prove myself right now, I don't put in nearly the amount of time I would like to. But, I have been successful so far and hopefully I can free up a little more time and become a top NHL handicapper.

[Locke]

I also do the research side of it as well and when both side match up heavily, then it would be a 4*. The 2* picks are usually ones that I feel good about, but because of the juice, it is a little more of a risky bet. Like the Calgary one the other night at -150. Not your best option to risk 100 to win 65 or so

Okay so do you bet the same amount regardless of the star, or does the star determine your wager? From your records shown it appears that you are only winning on 2* plays. Here is something to think about; how exactly does this gut feeling play into your picks? Try testing yourself for a week. See what your success rate would be doing one thing and then another. 5-7 picks a night is tough if you do not have the time to do your homework.

[Kook]

Tuesday 3/1

4* NHL GOALS under 57 (-115)

3* NYI/WAS under 5.5 (-110)
3* CAL/STL under 5.5 (-125)
3* COL/SJ over 5.5 (-120)
3* Calgary ML (+110)
3* Pheonix ML (-140)
3* San Jose -1.5 (-105)

*************************
Season total combined: -$435 (5-9-1)
Season total 5*: $0 (0 plays)
Season total 4*: -$205 (1-3 play)
Season total 3*: -$290 (2-5-1 plays)
Season total 2*: $70 (1 plays)
Season total 1*: $0 (0 plays)

[Kook]

3/2 Picks

3* Minnesota ML -130
3* Detroit ML -145
3* Det/Anh Over 5.5 -120

[Kook]

Okay so do you bet the same amount regardless of the star, or does the star determine your wager? From your records shown it appears that you are only winning on 2* plays. Here is something to think about; how exactly does this gut feeling play into your picks? Try testing yourself for a week. See what your success rate would be doing one thing and then another. 5-7 picks a night is tough if you do not have the time to do your homework.

No I bet higher with 4* and lower with 2*. Yea, from the short list I have on here that's the way it looks. The first 4* pick I lost was once I started posting on here, otherwise I have been money. The 2* picks usually go my way as well, but the juice is a little lobsided on those.
My reasoning behind the # of picks per nights is that it is easier to make money when you have a cushion for games that don't go your way. Hockey is such a difficult one to bet and if I do as well as I think I can I have a little more margin for error. If I just pick 2 games, I could lose both. But, if I pick 5-7 and hit 3-4, I have made money.

I have been making money all season and don't want to change anything up because I hit a little bump in the road. I will continue to take the same approach and hope the tide swings back around to my side. If not, then I may look into making some adjustments.

[Kook]

A little late but oh well. Just got home. You probably don't want to listen to me right now, not until I get the posting on SBR jinx away. I have some inscents lit and an excorcist over to help get rid of the curse.

3/3

Boston -1.5 +180
Philly -1.5 +130
Columbus ML -135
TB/BOS OVER -105
OTT/ATL OVER -110
MON/FLA UNDER +105
CJB/EDM OVER -105
NASH/VAN UNDER -140
DET/STL OVER -115
NHL GOALS OVER 61 -115

[Kook]

Alrighty, let's try this again. Hoping the SBR jinx is gone. Here are my plays for the day.
Based on a 5* system.

3/29 Picks

4* PHI/PIT Under 5.5 -140
3* CAR/WAS Under 5.5 -130
3* Phoenix ML -155
2* VAN/NAS Under 5 +105

[Kook]

I wish I could get on here everyday and post my picks, but I tend to stay busy and this isn't priority #1 in my life, but I do enjoy it and will try to do a better job of getting on here and posting my picks daily.

4/5 Picks

3* Pittsburgh ML -145
3* Pit/NJ Under -130
3* Col/Stl Over -125

3/29 Results

4* PHI/PIT Under 5.5 -140..........LOSS
3* CAR/WAS Under 5.5 -130.......WIN
3* Phoenix ML -155 ..................WIN
2* VAN/NAS Under 5 +105 .........WIN