1. #1
    hultas
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    Oct 28 pick inside - Agree or not?

    Pretty tough schedule today to be honest but I think I've found one golden play.

    Caps are travelling to Minnesota to face Wilds. Neuvirth is playing great right now and Backstrom is a great goalie. The key to Wilds scoring is their PP. Caps has been great on the PK this season only allowing 4 out of 40 PP-goals. I think the PK and Neuvirth will shut down their PP and without it they shouldn't be able to score more than 1 or 2 goals on Caps solid defense. This and that Caps offense hasn't been smoking hot recently makes me think there is a tremendous value on the under tonight.

    The total is at 6 and the line at +100. I'm going to risk 4u to win 4u on this one.

    Best of luck today guys!

  2. #2
    ednyc7
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    wow that a really good info i like it. also to add to your notes both teams average goals against per game is 2 1/2 . and last year they played the score was 3- 1 and its under 6. the only bad thing i found about this play both teams are averaging almost 3 goals a game.. but that almost. i having it at 85% this game goes under and that really good odds

  3. #3
    dvw5bf
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    good info... something to think about... however, the 4 out of 40 PK stat of the caps may be a bit misleading. Overall that comes out to 90% however that number drops as they have allowed goals in 3 out of 18 on the road which drops the % down to 83.3. Which is still a respectable number but with the wild converting 43.5% of there chances at home, the numbers tell a little bit of a different story. All that being said, not sure where I am on this game. Just figured some more info for the thread wouldn't hurt.

  4. #4
    ednyc7
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    i took the under for 1 unit 83% is good odds to me goodluck sir

  5. #5
    steviec27
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    Caps are an under machine at the moment.
    This looks like a solid play, hope your right but I cant touch it, too worried they will come out firing lol.
    But your right stats point to the under, gl

  6. #6
    hultas
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    Quote Originally Posted by dvw5bf View Post
    good info... something to think about... however, the 4 out of 40 PK stat of the caps may be a bit misleading. Overall that comes out to 90% however that number drops as they have allowed goals in 3 out of 18 on the road which drops the % down to 83.3. Which is still a respectable number but with the wild converting 43.5% of there chances at home, the numbers tell a little bit of a different story. All that being said, not sure where I am on this game. Just figured some more info for the thread wouldn't hurt.
    Yeah, good point of view. But generally PP and PK's are about momentum and let's just say that Caps haven't had that momentum on the road so far this year except yesterday. I look for that attitude and momentum to hang on this game as well.
    Last edited by hultas; 10-28-10 at 03:22 PM.

  7. #7
    ednyc7
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    Dont you love it when you are right good call. keep it posting i also included you post in my post.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/hockey-han...-nhl-only.html

  8. #8
    dvw5bf
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    Good call on this one... I stayed away from this game but glad to see some people made $!

  9. #9
    hultas
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    Thank you guys! Hope some of you made some money on this one.

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