1. #1
    tab
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    minnesota wild vs calgary flames

    In this Wednesday night hockey game, I am leaning towards the under. I have heard that Pavol Demitra probably will not play for the wild. Demitra has a bad back and his status for tommorrow is unknown. Calgary is -135 and with an over/under of 5. Without Demetra, this game may turn into a defensive struggle. Demitra is tied for the goals lead with 3 and has 5 assists.

    Mikkha kiprusoff of Calgary is 8-1-0, 2 shutouts and 1.48 GAA in 10 home starts vs Minnesota.

    Niklas Backstrom of Minnesota is 2-1-1 with a 1.76 GAA and a shutout against Calgary.

    For the season, Minnesota is 7-0-1 and leads Calgary by 5 points in the standings. Calgary is 4-3-2. Calgary is coming off a 4-1 home loss to San Jose on MOnday.

    For the season, Calgary has not scored more than 3 goals in any game and has an average scoring 2.5 goals per game. So far this season Calgary has given up only 11 goals in 8 games which translates to 1.37 goals allowed by their goalies.

    Without Pavol Demitra in the lineup, I am leaning towards the under in this hockey game. The Minnesota goalies have allowed 11 goals and 4 goals came against the Los Angeles last week. Minnesota has a good defense and a great goalie and will not give up many goals in this game. Meanwhile, Calgary will play a tight defensive game also. Kiprasoff of Calgary has played well against the Wild. He is coming off one of his worst outings of the year. Expect Calgary to play good defense and for Kiprasoff to shut down the low scoring wild. And I expect Backstrom to shut down Calgary in this low scoring hockey game.

    Prediction: best bet is on the under 5. I am also leaning towards Calgary. I do welcome feedback on this game. And good luck everyone.
    Tab

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by tab View Post
    Calgary has not scored more than 3 goals in any game and has an average scoring 2.5 goals per game. So far this season Calgary has given up only 11 goals in 8 games which translates to 1.37 goals allowed by their goalies.
    You mean Minnesota on both counts, and they have really given up only 10 goals in regulation and overtime. Their only loss came in a shootout 4-3 to the Kings, meaning that they actually allowed only three goals in that game, with the fourth goal awarded to LA for winning the shootout.

    That said, I actually like the Over here. The Flames have totally changed their personality this year, probably by necessity since their defense isn't as good as recent years. They have improved offensively averaging 3.30 goals per game, but their defense is a concern, surrendering 3.22 goals per. That's a combined total of 6.52 goals per contest, which is a full 1.50 goals above this total.

  3. #3
    tab
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    Are you sure

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    You mean Minnesota on both counts, and they have really given up only 10 goals in regulation and overtime. Their only loss came in a shootout 4-3 to the Kings, meaning that they actually allowed only three goals in that game, with the fourth goal awarded to LA for winning the shootout.

    That said, I actually like the Over here. The Flames have totally changed their personality this year, probably by necessity since their defense isn't as good as recent years. They have improved offensively averaging 3.30 goals per game, but their defense is a concern, surrendering 3.22 goals per. That's a combined total of 6.52 goals per contest, which is a full 1.50 goals above this total.
    That just sounds too good to be true. I am really glad that you think the over in this matchup because I have been following your picks and they are all losers for the last week or so. Might be that you just have bad luck in whatever you touch. In this matchup the MInnesota wild do not score many goals nor do they give up many. We shall see after the game who is right. You are caught on a losing streak and it will continue wednesday night.

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Um, maybe you should check the latest standings in Monday's HOCKEY BET BETS thread so that you know what the hell you are talking about.

    Quote Originally Posted by xxx View Post
    this week's top cappers:
    Code:
    betplom    	3	0	25.50	100%
    Sundram    	4	0	22.51	100%
    figjam    	7	3	15.45	70%
    LT Profits    	5	3 1	15.40	63%
    EaglesPhan36	6	2	6.43	75%
    sharktank1    	8	4	5.15	67%
    BossRoss    	2	3	5.04	40%
    Bshark    	11	6	4.19	65%
    WestsidePete	8	5 1	2.70	62%
    imgv94    	1	0	2.02	100%
    Checkerboard	2	0	1.87	100%
    bill2266    	1	1	1.11	50%
    top 10 cappers YTD:
    Code:
    figjam    	24	11	55.36	69%
    Sundram    	7	0	39.68	100%
    betplom    	6	4	11.55	60%
    AC1318    	12	5 1	8.13	71%
    LT Profits    	10	12 4	6.13	45%
    WestsidePete	26	18 1	5.88	59%
    sharktank1    	8	4	5.15	67%
    EaglesPhan36	7	5	4.33	58%
    imgv94    	1	0	2.02	100%
    Checkerboard	3	1	1.80	75%
    I have been in a dreadful slump in football the last two weeks, but hockey has been keeping me afloat.

  5. #5
    RattNRoll
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    tab,

    I am leaning towards Calgary ML and Calgary -1.5 in this contest as Calgary is 13-4 ATS since 1996 at home vs. Minn and is 7-1 ATS & SU vs MINN at home over the last 3 years. I am leaning towards the Over on the contest as well as LT states Calgary is better offensively this year but not as good this year on the defensive end so I look for the total to either push the 5 goals or go Over IMO. Good luck!!

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