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08-29-20 11:18 AM #246
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08-29-20 08:38 PM #247
adding ::
VANCOUVER +170 ML (game 3) // 2.50 units to win 4.25
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08-30-20 04:52 PM #248
Originally Posted by hotcross
Results: Aug.29 = -4.50 units (0-2 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -11.38 units (16-26-1 W/L/D = 0.381 pct)
New picks:
Sunday August 30 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 4
COLORADO -127 ML// 2.00 units to win 1.57
DALLAS +1.5 -220 puckline // 2.20 units to win 1.00
OVERTIME +320 COL@DAL // 1.50 units to win 4.80
Trying to hit the bullseye on the early game.
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PHILADELPHIA +105 ML// 4.00 units to win 4.20
PHILADELPHIA FLYERS SERIES +230 (down 1-to-2 games) // 2.00 units to win 4.60
*this is in addition to the previous total risked 5.50 units Philly to win the series
Must-win game for Philly on a back-to-back today. Must-win doesn't always equate to a win....but going with my read on this series. I'm not surprised that Philly has put themselves in a situation needing a comeback.
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08-30-20 09:42 PM #249
added ::
VEGAS -190 ML // 5.70 units to win 3.00
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08-30-20 11:24 PM #250
Hope they come back. Originally Posted by hotcross
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08-31-20 12:31 AM #251
Originally Posted by hotcross
Results: Aug.30 = -3.50 units (2-3 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -14.88 units (18-29-1 W/L/D = 0.383 pct)
Record updated. Still have the pending Series and Futures, but looks like the Tampa series will washout with the Philadelphia series, while the Futures are dead without getting a good spot to hedge.
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08-31-20 02:05 AM #252
Monday August 31 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 5
BOSTON +100 ML// 2.50 units to win 2.50
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08-31-20 12:55 PM #253
adding ::
BOSTON +110 ML// 7.50 units to win 8.25
Thought it was possible the line would move towards Tampa when I bet the overnight line. So I've added a bunch more to make this a total of 10 units risked.
I am beyond confident on this pick. It looks like I'm chasing losses here going double on my 5-unit max normal.
I don't do this often... in fact I believe last time I did it was earlier in the regular season before the pandemic, on Boston but they were a huge favorite that game and lost.... I'm not going to dig it up now, but its in this thread and just came back to memory. Sounds kinda like the recipe for another disaster! Nah... this wins tonight and let's say pays me back the previous 10-unit loss on this same side.
GL if you tail and/or came to the same decision on this game!
FU if you fade it !!
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08-31-20 02:28 PM #254
Wow Originally Posted by hotcross
Lol
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08-31-20 03:57 PM #255
Good luck! I’m tailing. Eff it.
Last edited by mjsuax13; 08-31-20 at 04:01 PM.
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08-31-20 10:01 PM #256
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09-01-20 12:00 PM #257
Oh well they had many chances....
On to the next one.
Good luck.
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09-01-20 10:35 PM #258
That one hurt, went large on it.
I'm not gonna financially break myself but that game was supposed to be a sure thing.
I've sucked 2 years now on NHL. All documented here. Maybe I haven't adapted with the game.
Certainly not disciplined enough.
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09-02-20 04:05 AM #259
Hey I don't follow hockey much but I've read your posts over the years and always thought you were a sharp guy
I think you're just going through a bad run and maybe chasing a little. We just have to not try to predict when it ends and keep making good bets
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09-02-20 06:33 PM #260
Wed. Sept.2
DALLAS +104 ML // 3.75 units to win 3.90
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09-02-20 11:17 PM #261
Originally Posted by asiagambler
He has made money for me in the past.
Just need to make a few tweaks. Yea Bruins I tailed as well.
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09-03-20 01:34 PM #262
Well boys I think Flyers and Canucks win tonight.
More confident in Flyers.
Haven't booked either yet. May do a parlay.
Hope that helps.
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09-03-20 01:58 PM #263
Thursday Sept.3 - Game 6
PHILADELPHIA +113 ML // 2.00 units to win 2.26
also:
PARLAY 2-TEAMS @ +562
> PHILADELPHIA +113
> VANCOUVER +214
Risk 2.00 units to win 11.24
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09-03-20 10:24 PM #264
Good call in philly. But I never parlay two dogs. Bet both separate, one cashes you profit..both more money. Originally Posted by hotcross
Long term only way I bet.
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09-03-20 10:54 PM #265
Nice score when an all dog pawlay hits. Originally Posted by pimike
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09-03-20 11:13 PM #266
Huge score.. Originally Posted by icon
But long term it’s a losing proposition. Winning one and losing one is a flat out loss
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09-04-20 12:41 AM #267
Mike I know what you are saying, but I'm decent on 2-leg parlays, plus I don't do a lot of parlays.
Also, the line on any given game doesn't necessarily reflect probability of the team to win that game.
Some of my handicapping methods could be considered unorthodox. I used the same info for Thursday night as I did for the Monday and Wed losses. Only difference for Thursday - I faded that info for a change.... couldn't let them fool me a third time !!
Icon, just a shout out on your new avatar and thank you for changing it before posting in my thread !!
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09-04-20 01:16 AM #268
Originally Posted by hotcross
Results: Sept.2-3 and Tampa Series = +8.25 units (4-2 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -6.63 units (22-31-1 W/L/D = 0.415 pct)
Record updated. Here's what I still have pending:
Originally Posted by hotcross
We got not just a Game 7 series coming up.... but 3 of them !!
I will probably not wager on any of them, beyond the big pending action I already have on Philly for the series.... that could be hedged for a portion. That game is not until Saturday, so there is time to think. I feel like letting it ride.
If anyone cannot live without hearing my leans on the Western Conference games for Friday, ask nicely.
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09-04-20 07:46 PM #269
Friday Sept.4 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 7
VEGAS -220 ML// 8.80 units to win 4.00
Disclaimer: This is partially a hedge play on my Vancouver futures tickets AND I'm very torn on this game, making more than one case for each team. So default fallback on logic. Vegas is the better team with the stronger players. The back-to-back is harder on the Vancouver position players for the style of game they play.
If we look ahead to the Conference championships round, who will be the Final Four teams? We already know 2 of them: Dallas and Tampa Bay. Two of the best in the league. Vancouver doesn't fit in the same group, Vegas does.
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09-04-20 10:36 PM #270
Originally Posted by hotcross
Results: Sept.4 and Vancouver Futures = -1.00 units (1-2 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -7.63 units (23-33-1 W/L/D = 0.410 pct)
Record updated. What I still have pending is all Philadelphia at this point,
and I'm not hedging the Series bet for Game 7.... go FLYERS :
Originally Posted by hotcross
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09-04-20 11:37 PM #271
I’m on Islanders as stated before. However I’m not as confident now though.
Good luck either way buddy.
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09-04-20 11:45 PM #272
One thing evident by now = gonna be some high drama in Game 7
Two game 7 series so far the winning teams are the ones who went out to the 3-1 lead but then the opponent tied it
Trend either continues or gets bucked Saturday
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09-04-20 11:55 PM #273
Originally Posted by hotcross
Agree Flip a coin
Lol
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09-05-20 12:08 AM #274
I was thinking today, must be easier money to be made in MLB games right now
Unfortunately haven't been paying close attention to baseball yet
Too much of a puckhead
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09-05-20 10:19 PM #275
Originally Posted by hotcross
Results: Sept.5 / Philadelphia Series = -10.00 units (0-4 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -17.63 units (23-37-1 W/L/D = 0.383 pct)
Watching that effort in Game 7 was more disappointing than losing the bets.
Islanders played better for the whole series and deserve to advance. I believed the Flyers had the secret recipe, rather than believing my eyes.
I'm a hockey fan. It was a good series through 6 games. Game 7 was a dud, one team had no energy in a high-stakes playoff game on NBC national TV. The winning team did come to play, so props to them.
Probably could say the same about the Vegas/Vancouver game 7 but that was more acceptable in my eyes to see one team with a lack of effort as a back-to-back game due to poor scheduling.
I guess everyone can say the virus is their scapegoat this year for everything.
Anyway, even if I would've had winning tickets on the Islanders tonight, the game was still disgusting for a game 7
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09-06-20 05:21 PM #276
WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS
Sunday Sept.6 - Game 1
DALLAS +135 first period moneyline // 2.60 units to win 3.51
*push if tied end 1p
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09-06-20 05:36 PM #277
Wow Originally Posted by hotcross
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09-06-20 06:49 PM #278
adding ::
SERIES EXACT SERIES OUTCOME: DALLAS 4-2 games +650 // 1.50 units to win 9.75
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09-06-20 07:48 PM #279
Let’s cash this!!! Originally Posted by hotcross
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09-06-20 07:56 PM #280
Done.... what was the "wow" about? Had me wondering
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