[hotcross]

Results: Aug.2 = -1.85 (1-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: +0.05 units (2-1-0 W/L/D = 0.667 pct)


Philadelphia beat Boston easily, but the Colorado vs St.Louis game ended 2-1 score in regulation as Colorado squeezed in the winning goal as time expired. So my totals picks continue to fail.... there were plenty of penalty calls as I expected.... 6 on St.Louis and 3 on Colorado.... but the quality of the shots I thought were pretty bad, especially by the Avalanche players, which I failed to foresee.

The pending series and futures bets will be recorded when they are determined.




Tuesday August 4 - Opening Round GAME 2

FLORIDA +104 ML (vs NY Islanders) // 2.50 units to win 2.60

FLORIDA PANTHERS SERIES +225 (vs NY Islanders) // 1.00 unit to win 2.25

*this is in addition to the original 2.50 units Florida to win the series at +110


game start time at 12 noon Eastern which I might not be available to catch, so although the game odds for the Panthers might improve, gotta lock it in overnight.

My thinking for the series at this point, if the Panthers win this Game 2, then I can buy-back a hedge on the Islanders at lower odds on the series bets.

[hotcross]

Results: Aug.4 = -2.50 (0-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -2.45 units (2-2-0 W/L/D = 0.500 pct)


Panthers lost game 2 against the Islanders, but won the next game 3 - which I passed on.

The pending series and futures bets will be recorded when they are determined.



Thursday August 6 - Opening Round GAME 3

TORONTO -170 regulation only moneyline (vs Columbus) // 5.10 units to win 3.00
*push if game goes to Overtime


I'm going with this type of wager offered by the book I use for NHL. Although the favorite costs more juice this way, it takes any Overtime result out of the equation.

Reason for the play is Toronto cannot risk going down for a second time in this Opening Round series. Too much at stake, and they are the more talented team in my opinion. So I expect them to play like their life / career depends on it.

[hotcross]

adding ::

Thursday August 6 - Opening Round GAME 4

WINNIPEG +145 ML (vs Calgary) // 4.00 units to win 5.80

[hotcross]

0-1-1 last night for -4 units

Friday August 7 - Opening Round GAME 4

FLORIDA +110 ML (vs NY Islanders) // 2.50 units to win 2.75


See if I can get every pick wrong on this series

[hotcross]

adding ::
Friday August 7 - Opening Round GAME 4

MINNESOTA -118 ML (vs Vancouver) // 2.36 units to win 2.00


I see all the series ending 3-1 games today. Wild and Canucks are evenly matched, they deserve to force game 5

[hotcross]

blown lead by Minn / comeback by Vancouver in game 4 right after Overtime started

will tally up record after today


Sunday August 9 - Round Robin game

BOSTON -0.5 +110 regulation win (vs Washington) // 1.00 unit to win 1.10


tough game to call because both teams are winless in their two previous Round Robin games. This outcome makes the most sense to me, although its a guess as to who wants to win this game - the prize for winning today is getting the NY Islanders in the next series. I come to the conclusion Washington might be the side that doesn't try as hard, plus they have a couple players out today.

The winner will be the No. 3 seed and face the New York Islanders which holds the No. 6 seed, in a best-of-7 series in the Eastern Conference First Round.

As the No. 4 seed, the loser will play the Carolina Hurricanes, the No. 5 seed.

[hotcross]

Sunday August 9 - Opening Round GAME 5

TORONTO -165 ML (vs Columbus) // 8.25 units to win 5.00



just believing Toronto finds a way to advance, especially after matching the 3-goal comeback win (Columbus did it in Game 3, then Toronto did it in Game 4). It would not surprise me if this game goes to Overtime again which the previous two games already did.

The winner goes on to face Tampa Bay in the next round.

The loser will have a 12.5 percent chance of winning the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NHL Draft in the Second Phase of the NHL Draft Lottery on Monday.

[pimike]

Let’s get this turned around. Time to get hot.

[hotcross]

Saturday August 1 - Opening Round

+3.42 Win >> MONTREAL SERIES +190 (vs Pittsburgh) // 1.80 units to win 3.42



Saturday August 1 - Opening Round

-2.50 Loss >> FLORIDA PANTHERS SERIES +110 (vs NY Islanders) // 2.50 units to win 2.75


Tuesday August 4 - Opening Round GAME 2

-1.00 Loss >> FLORIDA PANTHERS SERIES +225 (vs NY Islanders) // 1.00 unit to win 2.25



Thursday August 6 - Opening Round GAME 3

+0 push >> TORONTO -170 regulation only moneyline (vs Columbus) // 5.10 units to win 3.00
*push if game goes to Overtime



Thursday August 6 - Opening Round GAME 4

-4.00 Loss >> WINNIPEG +145 ML (vs Calgary) // 4.00 units to win 5.80



Friday August 7 - Opening Round GAME 4

-2.50 Loss >> FLORIDA +110 ML (vs NY Islanders) // 2.50 units to win 2.75



Friday August 7 - Opening Round GAME 4

-2.36 Loss >> MINNESOTA -118 ML (vs Vancouver) // 2.36 units to win 2.00


Sunday August 9 - Round Robin game

-1.00 Loss >> BOSTON -0.5 +110 regulation win (vs Washington) // 1.00 unit to win 1.10



Sunday August 9 - Opening Round GAME 5

-8.25 Loss >> TORONTO -165 ML (vs Columbus) // 8.25 units to win 5.00

Sunday August 2 -

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
2.50 units to win 32.50 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**still open / pending

Results: Aug.6-9 and Series bets = -18.19 (1-7-1 W/L/D)
PLAYOFFS: -20.64 units (3-9-1 W/L/D = 0.250 pct)


Terrible. Every assumption I make got proved wrong. Very first thing I posted for the playoffs was Montreal series win over Pittsburgh, then dropped off a cliff.

Toronto losing game 5 to Columbus was a big -8.25 units chunk.

The record keeping was current thru Aug.4 games, so now its all up-to-date including the Aug.6-9 game picks, and the Florida series losses (counts as 2 losses, bet at different odds).

I've got a great price on the Philadelphia futures bet to win it all, as they won all 3 of their Round Robin games and really got people's attention.

However, you will see I'm using some hedging strategy with the new bets, including a Montreal series bet (vs Philly), as I do think they are a live dog, just as I thought they were going against Pittsburgh.



I didn't love any spot in Tuesday's game schedule, nor the early day games today. Figured with my poor results, it would be better for me to observe the games. 5x Overtime game 1 saw Tampa outlasting Columbus!



I shopped for the best prices earlier today on these new wagers, so I don't know if the odds have moved with or against me, but these lines were available a couple hours earlier this afternoon. ...


Wednesday August 12 - Playoffs Round 1

MONTREAL CANADIENS SERIES +185 (vs Philadelphia) // 2.00 units to win 3.70
VANCOUVER CANUCKS SERIES +170 (vs St.Louis) // 5.00 units to win 8.50


VANCOUVER +136 ML (game 1 vs St.Louis) // 1.00 unit to win 1.36


As I stated above, as these series unfold I will likely be using hedging strategy at new odds as they become available after game results.

[hotcross]

won the Vancouver game 1 pick, will accumulate a few plays and then update my Playoff records

Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

UNDER 6 +100 CHI@VGS // 2.75 units to win 2.75

still studying the later games

[hotcross]

adding ::

Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

DALLAS +1.5 -280 puckline // 5.60 units to win 2.00

DALLAS STARS SERIES +170 (down 0-1 games) // 2.50 units to win 4.25

I don't think Dallas actually wins the series, but they could win tonight or make it very close. Doubt it will be another convincing Calgary win, not tonight. Will place money on the Flames to win the series at better odds after Dallas ties this up, hopefully.

[hotcross]

Friday August 14 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

OVERTIME +300 VANC@STL // 1.00 unit to win 3.00

NY ISLANDERS +110 (vs Washington) // 1.00 unit to win 1.10

still checking the late game, which is the Dallas vs Calgary back-to-back. Might just let the Dallas series bet ride at this point. Matthew Tkachuk is questionable for Calgary in the game, which would be a tough situation. Dallas doesn't seem to be playing on top of their game, but during the regular season they were pretty good in back-to-back games.

[hotcross]

adding ::

Friday August 14 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 3

UNDER 5.5 -146 DAL@CGY (*buy 0.5 goal) // 2.92 units to win 2.00


gonna just let the Dallas series bet ride, for now...

[hotcross]

went 3-0 Friday. No plays on Saturday. Will update records after today.


Sunday August 16 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 3

MONTREAL +118 ML // 5.00 units to win 5.90

might add another game, but like this one best

[hotcross]

Wednesday August 12 - Playoffs Round 1

+1.36 Win >> VANCOUVER +136 ML (game 1 vs St.Louis) // 1.00 unit to win 1.36

Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

-2.75 Loss >> UNDER 6 +100 CHI@VGS // 2.75 units to win 2.75


Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

+2.00 Win >> DALLAS +1.5 -280 puckline // 5.60 units to win 2.00



Friday August 14 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

+3.00 Win >> OVERTIME +300 VANC@STL // 1.00 unit to win 3.00

+1.10 Win >> NY ISLANDERS +110 (vs Washington) // 1.00 unit to win 1.10


Friday August 14 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 3

+2.00 Win >> UNDER 5.5 -146 DAL@CGY (*buy 0.5 goal) // 2.92 units to win 2.00


Sunday August 16 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 3

-5.00 Loss >> MONTREAL +118 ML // 5.00 units to win 5.90

**still open / pending

Sunday August 2 -

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
2.50 units to win 32.50 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday August 12 - Playoffs Round 1

MONTREAL CANADIENS SERIES +185 (vs Philadelphia) // 2.00 units to win 3.70
VANCOUVER CANUCKS SERIES +170 (vs St.Louis) // 5.00 units to win 8.5


Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - before Game 2

DALLAS STARS SERIES +170 (down 0-1 games) // 2.50 units to win 4.25

Results: Aug.12-16 = +1.71 units (5-2 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -18.93 units (8-11-1 W/L/D = 0.421 pct)


Fired that 5 unit bomb on Montreal last night, lose 1-0 final score with 5 shots hitting the post by the Habs. Bit unlucky, but both teams were willing to just clog everything up.... if it wasn't for that early goal in the 1st period, they might sill be playing overtimes.

[hotcross]

Monday August 17 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 4

ST.LOUIS -128 ML // 3.20 units to win 2.50

Cappers might be thinking the back-to-back between these teams works in favor of the Canucks, but I say opposite, it actually takes away from the speed/skill advantage of the Canucks and benefits the Blues style. St.Louis is starting Jake Allen in net once again, which seems to be the right move, as Binnington was not performing well. St.Louis can tie the series 2-2 tonight, or go down 3-1.

[hotcross]

Results: Aug.17 = +2.50 units (1-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -16.43 units (9-11-1 W/L/D = 0.450 pct)


Thursday August 20 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 5

NY ISLANDERS -114 ML // 5.70 units to win 5.00

OVERTIME +285 NYI@WSH // 2.00 units to win 5.70


Appears to me this is setup for the 4-1 games "gentlemen's sweep" by the Islanders.

Overtime bet is perfect odds for insurance this game.

Could hit both!

[hotcross]

adding ::

Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

DALLAS +1.5 -280 puckline // 5.60 units to win 2.00

DALLAS STARS SERIES +170 (down 0-1 games) // 2.50 units to win 4.25

I don't think Dallas actually wins the series, but they could win tonight or make it very close. Doubt it will be another convincing Calgary win, not tonight. Will place money on the Flames to win the series at better odds after Dallas ties this up, hopefully.

OK, so now the situation presents itself to carry out my plan. Dallas has all the momentum now up 3-2 games in the best of 7 series. Matthew Tkachuk got a leg injury and has not played since game 2, could be back in tonight but its a gametime decision. That injury was impactful. I'm still going to follow-thru on a series bet now on Calgary which guarantees me some profit regardless of which team prevails.



Thursday August 20 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 6
CALGARY FLAMES SERIES +369 (down 2-to-3 games) // 1.71 units to win 6.31

[hotcross]

yesterday's hedge on the Calgary series was looking genius when they went ahead early 3-0..... until the Flames gave up 7 unanswered goals. I will tally up the results after the completion of all Round 1 series, that will happen either tonight, or Sunday if any game 7 are necessary.



Friday August 21 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 6

PARLAY 2-TEAMS @ +2.59
> PHILADELPHIA -140 ML
> VANCOUVER +112 ML

Risk 5.00 units to win 12.95

I'm convinced both these teams will advance to the next round. Do they both get it done today?

*NOTE: If the Flyers win the early game today, I will possibly hedge out with a moneyline bet on St.Louis in the later game tonight, to ensure a profit against this parlay. Part of the reason for this logic, I already have a separate 5.00 unit bet on Vancouver to win the series.

[hotcross]

added ::


Friday August 21 - Playoffs Round 1 - before Game 6

MONTREAL CANADIENS SERIES +360 (down 2-to-3 games) // 1.00 unit to win 3.60

*this is in addition to the original 2.00 units Montreal to win the series at +185


added on this 1-unit layer for today's hedge

[hotcross]

adding - hedge bet against the 2-team parlay ::


Friday August 21 - Playoffs Round 1 - before Game 6

ST.LOUIS -130 ML // 10 units to win 7.69


with Philly winning their game, I'm following thru on my plan here with a necessary large hedge bet to lock in a profit today. I don't care if it ends up being a bad hedge. Still think Vancouver is advancing from this series. Game 7 would be Sunday. For tonight, the Blues have decided to start Jordan Binnington in net, which I think is actually a bad decision for them.

[hotcross]

Wednesday August 12 - Playoffs Round 1

-2.00 Loss >> MONTREAL CANADIENS SERIES +185 (vs Philadelphia) // 2.00 units to win 3.70

+8.50 Win >> VANCOUVER CANUCKS SERIES +170 (vs St.Louis) // 5.00 units to win 8.50


Thursday August 13 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 2

+4.25 Win >> DALLAS STARS SERIES +170 (down 0-1 games) // 2.50 units to win 4.25



Thursday August 20 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 5

+5.00 Win >> NY ISLANDERS -114 ML // 5.70 units to win 5.00

-2.00 Loss >> OVERTIME +285 NYI@WSH // 2.00 units to win 5.70




Thursday August 20 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 6

-1.71 Loss >> CALGARY FLAMES SERIES +369 (down 2-to-3 games) // 1.71 units to win 6.31



Friday August 21 - Playoffs Round 1 - Game 6

PARLAY 2-TEAMS @ +2.59
> PHILADELPHIA -140 ML
> VANCOUVER +112 ML

+12.95 Win >> Risk 5.00 units to win 12.95



Friday August 21 - Playoffs Round 1 - before Game 6

-1.00 Loss >> MONTREAL CANADIENS SERIES +360 (down 2-to-3 games) // 1.00 unit to win 3.60


Friday August 21 - Playoffs Round 1 - before Game 6

hedge bet against the 2-team parlay ::
-10.00 Loss >> ST.LOUIS -130 ML // 10 units to win 7.69

Results: Aug.20-21 and Series bets = +13.99 units (4-5 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -2.44 units (13-16-1 W/L/D = 0.448 pct)


end of Round 1, seeded 16 playoff teams now down to 8 teams remaining

[hotcross]

Saturday August 22 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 1

WINNING MARGIN / FINAL SCORE GAME PROP (game 1):

DALLAS +350 WIN BY 1 // 1.00 unit to win 3.50

COLORADO +280 WIN BY 1 // 1.00 unit to win 2.80


I like this game 1 to be decided by one goal, think it could go either way.
Playing it this way, both could lose and put me down -2 units.
But if one of them wins, I'm up net on the game either +1.80 units or +2.50 units.

Whereas the Dallas +1.5 puckline is showing around -180 odds, a loss would result in -1.80 units vs only +1.00 units for a win. That's the reason I'm playing it this way.

I might come back with a standard side or total for this game before it starts.

[hotcross]

Results: Aug.22 = -2.00 units (0-2 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -4.44 units (13-18-1 W/L/D = 0.419 pct)

Dallas whooped that azz in Game 1, by final score 5-3. Colorado went about 3 minutes with an empty net, no goals were scored, when Dallas got the puck during that sequence they just iced it.

Sunday August 2 -

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
2.50 units to win 32.50 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**still open / pending

Saturday August 22 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 1

BOSTON -105 ML // 3.15 units to win 3.00

[hotcross]

adding ::

Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 1

WINNING MARGIN / FINAL SCORE GAME PROP (game 1):
TAMPA BAY +240 WIN BY 1 // 1.00 unit to win 2.40


SERIES (TB vs BOS):

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES -115 // 5.75 units to win 5.00


I changed my mind on this game, which starts about 90 minutes from the time of this post. My original moneyline bet on Boston was placed this morning, so I've placed these two new bets with another book. I did not just bet the straight moneyline on Tampa for game 1, just in case I am wrong now, that would feel terrible!

The series bet I will probably hedge later in the progress of the series, as I have done before.

-------------------------
-------------------------

Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1


FUTURE: VANCOUVER WESTERN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONS +700 (via Pinnacle)
2.00 units to win 14.00 units


FUTURE: VANCOUVER STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1400 (via Pinnacle)
3.00 units to win 42.00 units


I went ahead and booked the longshot to win their Conference and then the Cup.
My thinking is Vegas or Vancouver will be the team going to the Finals from the West.
I'm not betting these Vancouver futures as any type of certainty.
These are to possibly make a large score and for hedging opportunity later.
Having said that, there is a lot to like about how this team is playing right now.
Jacob Markstrom is playing out of his mind.

Right now, Vegas is +130 to win the West, and +330 to win the Cup. Those odds are not enticing.

[hotcross]

Saturday August 22 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 1

BOSTON -105 ML // 3.15 units to win 3.00

Typo obviously in the date when I wrote it earlier today. This bet still stands for TODAY, Sunday Aug.23

[hotcross]

Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 1

+3.00 Win >> BOSTON -105 ML // 3.15 units to win 3.00

WINNING MARGIN / FINAL SCORE GAME PROP (game 1):
-1.00 Loss >> TAMPA BAY +240 WIN BY 1 // 1.00 unit to win 2.40

Results: Aug.23 = +2.00 units (1-1 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -2.44 units (14-19-1 W/L/D = 0.424 pct)

Record updated. Here's what I still have pending:

**still open / pending


Sunday August 2 -

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
2.50 units to win 32.50 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1


TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES -115 // 5.75 units to win 5.00
-------------------------
-------------------------

Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1


FUTURE: VANCOUVER WESTERN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONS +700 (via Pinnacle)
2.00 units to win 14.00 units


FUTURE: VANCOUVER STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1400 (via Pinnacle)
3.00 units to win 42.00 units

**still open / pending

New picks:


Monday August 24 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS SERIES -125 // 2.50 units to win 2.00

PHILADELPHIA -110 ML (game 1 vs NY Islanders) // 2.20 units to win 2.00



Monday August 24 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 2

UNDER 5.5 -110 DAL@COL // 2.20 units to win 2.00

[hotcross]

Tuesday August 25 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 2

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES +175 (down 0-to-1 games) // 2.00 units to win 3.50

*this is in addition to the original 5.75 units Tampa to win the series at -115

UNDER 5.5 -125 BOS@TB (game 2) // 5.00 units to win 4.00

First Period UNDER 1.5 -127 BOS@TB (game 2) // 2.54 units to win 2.00
---------------------
---------------------

OVERTIME +360 VANC@VGS (game 2) // 1.50 units to win 5.40


sorry for the last minute post before the Tampa game

[hotcross]

Monday August 24 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1

-2.20 Loss >> PHILADELPHIA -110 ML (game 1 vs NY Islanders) // 2.20 units to win 2.00



Monday August 24 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 2

-2.20 Loss >> UNDER 5.5 -110 DAL@COL // 2.20 units to win 2.00



Tuesday August 25 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 2

-5.00 Loss >> UNDER 5.5 -125 BOS@TB (game 2) // 5.00 units to win 4.00

-2.54 Loss >> First Period UNDER 1.5 -127 BOS@TB (game 2) // 2.54 units to win 2.00

---------------------
---------------------

-1.50 Loss >> OVERTIME +360 VANC@VGS (game 2) // 1.50 units to win 5.40

Results: Aug.24-25 = -13.44 units (0-5 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -15.88 units (14-24-1 W/L/D = 0.368 pct)

Record updated. Here's what I still have pending:

**still open / pending


Sunday August 2 -

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
2.50 units to win 32.50 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1


TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES -115 // 5.75 units to win 5.00

-------------------------
-------------------------


Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1


FUTURE: VANCOUVER WESTERN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONS +700 (via Pinnacle)
2.00 units to win 14.00 units


FUTURE: VANCOUVER STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1400 (via Pinnacle)
3.00 units to win 42.00 units

-------------------------
-------------------------


Monday August 24 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS SERIES -125 // 2.50 units to win 2.00

-------------------------
-------------------------



Tuesday August 25 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 2

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES +175 (down 0-to-1 games) // 2.00 units to win 3.50



**still open / pending

New picks:


Wednesday August 26 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 2

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS SERIES +170 (down 0-to-1 games) // 3.00 units to win 5.10
*this is in addition to the original 2.50 units Philly to win the series at -125


Wednesday August 26 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 3

COLORADO -140 ML// 5.60 units to win 4.00



Went ice cold, and now chasing mode. One last swing of the big stick for Wednesday's games. If these go bad, I'll probably be resigned to working with the pending Series bets and Futures.


Still think Philadelphia will win the series to get past the Islanders. But I think its possible they might drop game 2.

I will also have a play for the Boston vs Tampa Bay game, but the game is not yet on the board because its a back-to-back.

[hotcross]

adding ::

TAMPA BAY -102 ML (game 3) // 5.10 units to win 5.00

[asiagambler]

Good work today

[pimike]

Liking Islanders tomorrow. My buddy from Canada 🇨🇦 s pretty solid in Hockey and he has them.

Good luck Bud

[hotcross]

Wednesday August 26 - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 3

+4.00 Win >> COLORADO -140 ML // 5.60 units to win 4.00

+5.00 Win >> TAMPA BAY -102 ML // 5.10 units to win 5.00

Results: Aug.26 = +9.00 units (2-0 W/L)
PLAYOFFS: -6.88 units (16-24-1 W/L/D = 0.400 pct)

Record updated. Here's what I still have pending:

**still open / pending


Sunday August 2 -
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FUTURE: PHILADELPHIA STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1300 (via Pinnacle)
2.50 units to win 32.50 units
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES -115 // 5.75 units to win 5.00

-------------------------
-------------------------


Sunday August 23 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1

FUTURE: VANCOUVER WESTERN CONFERENCE CHAMPIONS +700 (via Pinnacle)
2.00 units to win 14.00 units

FUTURE: VANCOUVER STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS +1400 (via Pinnacle)
3.00 units to win 42.00 units

-------------------------
-------------------------


Monday August 24 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 1

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS SERIES -125 // 2.50 units to win 2.00

-------------------------
-------------------------

Tuesday August 25 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 2

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING SERIES +175 (down 0-to-1 games) // 2.00 units to win 3.50
-------------------------
-------------------------

Wednesday August 26 - Playoffs Round 2 - before Game 2

PHILADELPHIA FLYERS SERIES +170 (down 0-to-1 games) // 3.00 units to win 5.10


**still open / pending

What we know as of Thursday afternoon, all schedule games are postponed due to Social Justice protest, and are presumed to be rescheduled for Saturday, Aug.29

[hotcross]

Looking at my pending Series bets, if I consolidate just the Round 2 Series bets, more simply:



TAMPA BAY: SERIES = total of 7.75 units risked // To Win 8.50 units ----> +109 odds average


PHILADELPHIA: SERIES = total of 5.50 units risked // To Win 7.10 units ----> +129 odds average


I expect both of those to win. Unfortunately, by betting both of these teams prior to BOTH their Game 1 losses, it cost me on getting the best odds (meaning it would have been great to wait on both teams until they were down 0-1 in the series to get the better odds, but I would have run the risk of missing had they won game 1 instead).



Regarding the Flyers vs Islanders series - I'm not in denial of the appearance of the games, and the perception that the Islanders are the better team (to say it simply).... Plus the idea that the Flyers are not getting the most from key players, until game 2 from the start they went out to an early 3 goal lead, but then backed off and allowed the Islanders to comeback with 3 unanswered to force overtime, making for a very scary situation until the Flyers got a fluke goal from a deflected shot off an Islander early in the overtime of game 2.

Rather than debate the merits and deficiencies of these teams, I see them as even in many categories but not all, and the big one for me = the Goalies. Flyers have the Canadian youngster Carter Hart, and his countryman backup veteran Brian Elliott. Meantime the Islanders have the Russian-born Semyon Varlamov.... who although has looked good/great en route to setting the Islanders franchise record for most scoreless minutes played... he is not a goalie I trust, based on his career up until now. The backup is German-born Thomas Greiss.

I don't need to go into the goalie stats, I'm simply saying I trust Carter Hart way more than Varlamov for the series. The remaining games are gonna be hard to call game-to-game, but I'm happy to have the Flyers now at +129 to win the series.




As for my pending Futures,
ok so I got a total of 5 units risked on the longshot Vancouver,
plus 2.50 units risked on the Flyers to win the Cup.
These can be hedged if they make it that far, or how about I stumble into a great situation where they face each other in the Finals!

[hotcross]

Saturday August 29 - EARLY GAME - Playoffs Round 2 - Game 4

BOSTON -108 first period moneyline // 2.00 units to win 1.85
*push if tied at end of 1p


I seem to get these exotics wrong a lot, but going with Boston to come out hungrier to start the game.

I think Tampa will win today's game. So if the bet goes right, look for a live bet spot later in the game on Tampa.