1. #71
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    As everyone knows, our "Ref Plays" only look at the assigned refs for that a particular game and determine if they, on average, call more penalties or less penalties. If more, we deem that an over play, and if less an under play. Yesterday, we start tracking which refs call significantly more penalties on the road team. Our thoughts are, if both refs call significantly more penalties on the vising team, the home team should have a greater chance of winning. For example, below are the ref stats on the Tor/Wash game which shows that the assigned refs call a combines 23% more penalties on the visiting team, and thus the home team, Washington, should have an additional advantage, and Washington did win. Yesterday, (and you can check these stats yourself if you don't believe me), but a total of five home teams fit into this stat and they ALL WON. They were: Wash, Colum, Edm, Ana and San Jose. The web site to check is "scouting the refs"

    Below is for the Toro/Wash game:

    More Penl on Rd % 13.0% (7) 10.0% (14)

    Of course one day does not guarantee success of this theory, but I felt I would share it with everyone and post these plays for the next couple of days for all to evaluate. Yesterday all the teams were favorite between -110 to -125 but keep in mind the odds may be significantly greater at times. We'll post and everyone can decide for themselves.

    DD

  2. #72
    doubledime
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    Good evening,

    No Regular Plays.

    The Ref Play is:

    TB/Bost under 6.5 -125

    As per the above thread, the Ref Side Plays are:

    Bost -115
    AZ even
    LAK -115


    Alert!!! We are just posting these to track. Please read the above thread.

    Good luck

  3. #73
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 10-6 +2.85 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 1-5 -4.60 units


    Ref Plays

    Yesterday: 0-1

    YTD: 10-8 +1.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday:

    1-2 -1.30 units

    YTD:

    1-2 -1.30 units

  4. #74
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    The Regular Total Play:

    Car/Ana under 5.5 +105 and under 6 -130 Split them

    The Regular Side Play:

    Edmon -1 -130

    Ref Total Plays:

    Dall/Pit under 5.5 +105 under 6 -130 Split this one also

    Ref Side Plays: (Tracking Purposes Only)

    Wash -215
    Edmon -190
    Ana +110

    FYI: On the Ref Side Plays, see Post #71 for the explanation. We normally would never play games with this high juice, but since they have the refs that match up with the system, we are posting them.

    Good luck

  5. #75
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0-1

    YTD: 10-7 +1.70 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 1-5 -4.60 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: push

    YTD: 10-8 +1.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 3-0

    YTD: 4-2 +1.70 units
    Last edited by doubledime; 10-19-19 at 11:06 PM.

  6. #76
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    No Regular Plays yet. Probably not until about 6:30 EST.

    Here are the Ref Plays:

    Ref Total Plays:

    Vegas/Pit under 6.5 -105
    NYI/Colum under 5.5 -120


    Ref Side Plays: (see post #71)

    AZ -215
    Colum -115
    Lak +125


    Good luck

  7. #77
    doubledime
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    The Regular Total Play:

    Col/TB over 6.6 -115

    Good luck

  8. #78
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 1-0

    YTD: 11-7 +2.70 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 1-5 -4.60 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: 2-0

    YTD: 12-8 +3.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 2-1

    YTD: 6-3 +2.80 units

  9. #79
    doubledime
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    Nothing on the first game.

  10. #80
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    So far the site that posts the stats on the refs has not updated today so no Ref Plays yet.

    For the 5:00 game:

    Regular Total Play:

    Mont/Min over 5.5 -125

    Regular Side Play:

    Minn -115

    Back later with the rest of the card.

    Good luck
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  11. #81
    doubledime
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    The site with the referree stats never got updated today so no Ref Plays.

    We do have a Regular Side Play:

    Ana -125

    Good luck

  12. #82
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 1-0

    YTD: 12-7 +3.70 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 1-1

    YTD: 2-6 -4.85 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 12-8 +3.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 6-3 +2.80 units

  13. #83
    doubledime
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    thanks dino

  14. #84
    doubledime
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    Good evening,

    The Regular Total Play:

    Col/St. Louis over 6 -105

    The Regular Side Play:

    Columbus +1 +110 (for 1/2 unit)

    No Ref Total Plays

    Ref Side Play: (still just tracking)

    Dallas -1 -135 (just don't want to lay that -210 juice)

    Good luck

  15. #85
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0-1

    YTD: 12-8 +2.65 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 1-0

    YTD: 3-6 -4.30 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 12-8 +3.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 6-3 +2.80 units
    Last edited by doubledime; 10-22-19 at 04:24 PM.

  16. #86
    LucaC
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    St. Louis won 3-1 yesterday?

  17. #87
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by LucaC View Post
    St. Louis won 3-1 yesterday?
    Thanks Luca Trying to juggle too many things at once. It's corrected

  18. #88
    doubledime
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    Good evening,

    The regular Total Plays:

    Pit/FL over 6 -115
    LAK/Winn over 6 -115


    No Ref Totals:

    Ref Sides (tracking) (see post #71 for explanation)

    FL -130
    NYR +105
    Det +105
    BH +110


    Good luck

  19. #89
    LucaC
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Thanks Luca Trying to juggle too many things at once. It's corrected
    LOL honestly I just confused myself and figured i missed something lol

  20. #90
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by LucaC View Post
    LOL honestly I just confused myself and figured i missed something lol

  21. #91
    matt711
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    Who is BH?

  22. #92
    consensusontap
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    Blackhawks
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  23. #93
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by consensusontap View Post
    Blackhawks
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  24. #94
    owl
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    Good Luck.

  25. #95
    Noles1992
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    Thanks DD for the picks so far! Always enjoyed your CFB totals also in the past

  26. #96
    doubledime
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    Points Awarded:
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    Noles1992 gave doubledime 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.


    Thank you matt and Noles for your generosity.

  27. #97
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0-1-1

    YTD: 12-9 +1.50 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 3-6 -4.30 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 12-8 +3.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 1-3

    YTD: 7-6 +.80 units

  28. #98
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    No Regular Plays (short card)

    The Ref Total Play:

    Det/Ott over 6 -105

    FYI: My Guy was going to play the under in this game until he saw the crew that was reffing this game, so he passed. Personally, I too am passing this total. We're posting it because it is what it is.

    The Ref Side Plays:

    Ott -125
    TB -230


    Good luck
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  29. #99
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 12-9 +1.50 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 3-6 -4.30 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: 1-0

    YTD: 13-8 +4.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 2-0

    YTD: 9-6 +2.80 units

  30. #100
    doubledime
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    Points Awarded:
    dino0224 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Thank you dino

  31. #101
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    I have all the Ref Plays now, but I may be tied up when my guy gets me his plays so I may not be able to post them. I'll try my best to post them but cannot say for I will be able to.

    Ref Total Plays:

    Buff/NYR under 6.5 -115
    Philly/BH under 6.5 -115


    Ref Side Plays: (still tracking)

    Mont -125
    Dallas -145
    BH -105
    Calg -125


    Good luck
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  32. #102
    doubledime
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    Nothing more tonight

  33. #103
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    We will update our record later.

    The Regular Total Play:

    Col/Vegas over 6 -120 Early Game

    The Regular Side Plays:

    Vegas -1-120
    NJ -120


    Good luck

  34. #104
    doubledime
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    Regular Total Plays

    Yesterday: 1- 0

    YTD: 13-9 +2.50 units


    Regular Side Plays:

    Yesterday: 0-2

    YTD: 3-8 -6.65 units


    Ref Total Plays

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 13-8 +4.25 units


    Ref Side Plays (Tracking Only):

    Yesterday: 0

    YTD: 9-6 +2.80 units

  35. #105
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    My Guy is "out of pocket" tonight so no plays as of now. He may be back to me for the three late games.

    The Ref Total Plays:

    St. Louis/Bost over 5.5 even
    Col/Phil under 6.5 -125
    LAK/Min under 6.5 -125


    The Ref Side Plays: (tracking see post #71)

    Min -130
    Col -150


    Good luck

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