I've decided to post my picks for the rest of the season in one spot. I'll give you a rundown of the symbology I'll be using, which will pretty much be unchanged from what I've used so far:
=Low Confidence: I'll lean with these close calls, but there's a few factors I don't like (ie backup goaltender) =Medium Confidence: These shouldn't be close at all, but again a factor may be against it (ie high ML) =High Confidence: These are what I see as the no-brainers, having nothing counting against them (or such high value it outweighs any negatives)
I will actually wager on all three types, and you'll see why when you see my records below. I'll be placing asterisks (*) next to the picks I play, one for each base unit. However, I'll be using different base units for each confidence level. In real-world terms, for example: *=$5; *=$10; *=$20 **=$10; **=$20; **=$40
And so on. The * amount (how many-- how much per is all about bankroll management) has nothing to do with confidence. I base it on the unit distribution of past similar circumstances/numbers. Sounds convoluted, but it's worked so far.
A few more symbols:
(1)=1st Period
(r) or (R)=Regulation
u=Units (NOT monetary)
I'll keep posting daily and cumulative results, probably the same way I have been:
2/14 (-.01u) 1-0 1-1 0-1
YTD 153-106-12 105-57-1 114-111-5
Sorry for no YTD u total; I didn't start keeping track until January. From Jan 1 I am +27.96u; from Jan 17 (changed my criteria a bit) I am +44.17u.
Speaking of changing criteria, that's something I do somewhat frequently. If things aren't going well and haven't been, why keep doing it? I'll always say when I'm trying something new, so anyone who tails (or fades ) will be "warned". I am currently in the process of tracking how each type of wager fares, unit-wise, broken down into the following categories: ML, PL, O/U, ML(R), PL(R), ML(1), PL(1), O/U(1), and betting Draws (which has been profitable for me so far).
Well, I think that's enough info (or way too much ) for now. Busy the next few days so figured I'd get this in while I had the time. Good luck to all, and I hope everyone has a profitable rest-of-the season. See you in March!
Yesterday (-10.87u-- had some other opinions I didn't have time/forgot to put in, so that's why the numbers are a little off-- went 1-3 in them but want to keep them so the data is complete. Bad u total but most were opinions [no *] which I don't wager on, so I actually won $ on the day): 3-4 1-5 2-0
YTD (including 3/5 which I didn't have time to update yesterday, but went 4-0 on): 168-122-13 108-66-1 124-111-5
Don't you love it when you type out a nice long post and click 'submit' only to have it get lost? Short and sweet version: my opinions lately have sucked, but it's the 4th straight day of +$ on * plays.
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=Low Confidence: I'll lean with these close calls, but there's a few factors I don't like (ie backup goaltender)
=Medium Confidence: These shouldn't be close at all, but again a factor may be against it (ie high ML)
=High Confidence: These are what I see as the no-brainers, having nothing counting against them (or such high value it outweighs any negatives)
) will be "warned". I am currently in the process of tracking how each type of wager fares, unit-wise, broken down into the following categories: ML, PL, O/U, ML(R), PL(R), ML(1), PL(1), O/U(1), and betting Draws (which has been profitable for me so far).
) for now. Busy the next few days so figured I'd get this in while I had the time. Good luck to all, and I hope everyone has a profitable rest-of-the season.
See you in March!
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3-2 Picks
3/3 Picks
Short and sweet version: my opinions lately have sucked, but it's the 4th straight day of +$ on * plays.