[Slipknot26]

Yea, yea ...You can't win playing chases but I'm going to test that theory .
We'll see , running a trial to see if it works , based on certain criteria to be a play .
Geared toward travel and on back to back road games
Play / Risk / Win
11/4
2 Game
1.) Philly $81/50 - Play against Colorado
This is one with Avs on back to back , play Isles following day
2.) Dallas $45/25 - Play against Buffalo
Caps up next for Sabres but at home , so playing smallest amount . Caps also have Pens up after the game vs. Sabres , so may not be focused vs. Buffalo, so going smaller due to it

11/6
3.) Caps $???/150 - Play against ArizonaAnother back to back , Pens on deck the next day . That's a tough ass B2B vs 2 of the best teams in the league on the road
4.) Toronto $???/100 - play against Vegas
Another back to back , Montreal up the next day

11/11
5.) Montreal $???/ $75 - play against Buffalo
Buffalo has Pitt the next game , both on the road
6.) San Jose $???/ 75 - Play against Vancouver
On the road , next game vs. LA Kings

Example of the plays I'm going to test . I'm not saying it's a sure thing , nothing is , it's gambling but always looking for ways to get ahead of the book . So I'm going to test the theory.
I've got 33 plays through December going through the schedule and what I'm looking for

[stevek173]

Best avatar on the site

bol man

[Slipknot26]

1.)Philly -$81 + $50 to win
Isles $288.20 / $131

2. ) Dallas W +$25

I'll update daily to line and plays daily but several this week coming up
Need Isles to step the fukk up tonight

[Slipknot26]

Isles up 4-1, hopefully they pull it out ..5-1 as I typed
I'm betting more units on some due to expectation on the matchups and criteria
$25 / unit used for tracking
Monday
3.) Caps $282 / $125
Arizona on game 1 of back to back vs. Caps then Pens Tuesday . Hell they have the Blues after that if that's not bad enough
I find it hard to believe Arizona will beat both back to back , hence the 5 unit bet

4.) Toronto $225/$100
Fading Vegas , they won vs. Ottawa but vs the Leafs then the Canadians back to back will be tough .
Again betting to win 4 units due to scheduling and back to back

[Slipknot26]

How do you find the spreadsheet ?
That would be easier to use and just post
Anyone know where to get it ?

[Mike Huntertz]

Keep it coming

[Slipknot26]

Fade Arizona is a 3 game chase , expect it to hit tonight or tomorrow but just in case , Blues would be game 3
Fade Vegas is a 2 game chase

5.) (11/7) Calgary $?? / $50... Game 1 of 4 game chase
Fading Vancouver , this is a 4 game chase but playing to win 2 units
At Calgary, Anaheim, San Jose then LA Kings. Ouch
I feel they lose 1 of the 4 being on the road , plus game 1 vs. Calgary is off back to back since they have the Red Wings tonight
I'll start noting how many games the Chase's are , big part of developing how many units to win
Best of luck to everyone

[jjgold]

chasing dangerous strategy

It will work for a while but then BAM blow everything and more...lets see how it plays out

good luck with it!

[Slipknot26]

I agree , that's why you modify unit size based on percentage of something occurring over a period of time .
It's not for the faint of heart , that's for damn sure .
Yea playing small , if it works will increase size to increase profit margin or lose a couple of grand , but I have it to lose , so no biggie .
If you don't have this money that if lost , won't be missed , don't follow . But that's for all gambling , this money will never be missed from my money needed outside of gambling .
This is fun money

[Slipknot26]

Nice night with Caps and Leafs
Record 4-0 / +12 units
Game 1 - 3W
Game 2 - 1W
Vancouver chase stars tomorrow

[nyplayer33]

The b2b angle doesn't work..they r professional teams in great shape. Arizona and Vegas went to.ot

[Slipknot26]

Ok , that's why it's a chase if they would've lost , it goes to the next game .
How many times in a row is Zona , Vancouver, Colorado going to win on the road vs top teams ? Not too many
It's not based solely on back to back , it just helps with the bad teams playing consecutive road games vs top teams .

[Slipknot26]

5.) Calgary $88/$50 - Fade Vancouver
Game 1 of 4 game chase
6.) Pitt $120 /$50 - Fade Arizona
Game 1 of 2 game chase

[Slipknot26]

7.) Montreal $56 / $25
5 straight at home , Vegas , Sota , Buffalo and Columbus
They'll win one
4 game chase

[Slipknot26]

5.) Fade Vancouver -G1 Loss -$88 + G2 $50
11/9 - G2 - Anaheim $???/$138

6.) Pitt W +2 units

7.) Montreal W +1 unit

New chases
8.) Fade Tampa $30/$25 To win 1 unit
Game 1 of 4 game chase

9.) Fade Minnesota $72/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

Tracking
6-0 / +15 units
G1 -5W
G2 -1W
Pending -3 chases

[floridagolfer]

Having played many chases years ago, it's a lot of fun when you're winning and it's so easy. But inevitably there are going to be those six or eight or 10 times during the season that'll make you pull your hair out. Good luck.

[Slipknot26]

Yes , I've been playing for 4-5 years
Mainly football and College Basketball
NHL some but tracking to verify

[A4K]

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
Record 7-0
G1 - 6 wins
G2- 1 win

Pending :
5.) Anaheim - $206 /$138
Game 2 of 4 game chase

8.) Fade Tampa -$76/$55
Game 2 of 4 game chase

New :
10.) Montreal -$68/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

Update lines once they come out

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
Record 8-0 / +19 units
G1 - 6 wins
G2- 2 win

Pending :
8.) Fade Tampa $???/$141
Game 3 of 4 game chase
Bastards are unreal
11/12 @ Anaheim

10.) Montreal $???/$118
Game 2 of 4 game chase
11/11 @ home vs. Buffalo

[Nick_U]

Dude, you are doing so well. WHY would you start a Tampa bay fade though?

[Slipknot26]

Yea , 3 games out West but still going to win this chase
But it will be the last fade Tampa , that's for damn sure

[Slipknot26]

New
11.) Fade Colorado (Ottawa) $69/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

12.) Fade Buffalo ( Florida) $75/$75 to win 3 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units

11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units

12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
Record 10-0 / + 24 units
G1 - 8 wins
G2- 2 win

Pending :
8.) Fade Tampa $???/$141
Game 3 of 4 game chase
Bastards are unreal
11/12 @ Anaheim

10.) Montreal $???/$118
Game 2 of 4 game chase
11/11 @ home vs. Buffalo

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units

11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units

12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units

Record 10-0 / + 24 units
G1 - 8 wins
G2- 2 win

Pending :
8.) Fade Tampa $???/$141
Game 3 of 4 game chase
Bastards are unreal
11/12 @ Anaheim

10.) Montreal $213/$118
Game 2 of 4 game chase
11/11 @ home vs. Buffalo

New
13.) Fade Colorado $68/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 3 game chase

14.) Fade Buffalo $90/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 3 game chase

15.) Fade Vancouver $/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 2 game chase

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units

11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units

12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units

Record 10-0 / + 24 units
G1 - 8 wins
G2- 2 win

Today :

10.) Montreal $213/$118
Game 2 of 4 game chase

13.) Fade Colorado $68/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 3 game chase

14.) Fade Buffalo $90/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 3 game chase

15.) Fade Vancouver $86/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 2 game chase

Pending :
8.) Fade Tampa $???/$141
Game 3 of 4 game chase
11/12 @ Anaheim

[Snowball]

chasing dangerous strategy

It will work for a while but then BAM blow everything and more...lets see how it plays out

good luck with it!

One year I limited the chase/fade to 3 games each.
Limiting to only 2 can work also.
The trick is to avoid the truly elite and the truly terrible teams.
Stay in the midrange. Think about it, slipknot.
you have a good idea here also. I see you are limiting them.

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units

11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units

12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units

10.) Montreal W / +2 units

13.) Fade Colorado W/ +2 units

14.) Fade Buffalo W / +2 units

15.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units


Record 14-0 / + 32 units
G1 - 11 wins
G2- 3 win

Pending :

8.) Fade Tampa - $108/ $141
Game 3 of 4 game chase

New :
16.) Fade Jersey $95/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

17.) LA Kings $72/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
10.) Montreal W / +2 units
11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
13.) Fade Colorado W / + 2 units
14.) Fade Buffalo W / +2 units
15.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units

Record 14-0 / + 32 units
G1 - 11 wins
G2- 3 win

Pending :

8.) Fade Tampa - $???/$239
Game 4 of 4 game chase
11/16 vs. Dallas

16.) Fade Jersey $???/$145 to win 2 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase..Jesus Crawford give up a 4-1 lead in the 1st
11/16 @ Toronto

17.) LA Kings $???/$122 to win 2 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase
11/14 vs. Vancouver

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
10.) Montreal W / +2 units
11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
13.) Fade Colorado W / + 2 units
14.) Fade Buffalo W / +2 units
15.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units

Record 14-0 / + 32 units
G1 - 11 wins
G2- 3 win

Today

17.) LA Kings $204 / $122 to win 2 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase

New :

18.) Fade Buffalo $173/$75 to win 3 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

19.) Fade Arizona $195/$100 to win 4 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

Pending :

8.) Fade Tampa - $???/$239
Game 4 of 4 game chase
11/16 vs. Dallas

16.) Fade Jersey $???/$145 to win 2 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase..Jesus Crawford give up a 4-1 lead in the 1st
11/16 @ Toronto

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
10.) Montreal W / +2 units
11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
13.) Fade Colorado W / + 2 units
14.) Fade Buffalo W / +2 units
15.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units

18.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units

19.) Fade Arizona W / +4 units

Record 16-0 / + 39 units
G1 - 13 wins
G2- 3 win

Today

20.) Fade Boston $60/$50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

Pending :

17.) LA Kings $???/$ 229 to win 2 units
Game 3 of 4 game chase

8.) Fade Tampa - $???/$239
Game 4 of 4 game chase

16.) Fade Jersey $???/$145 to win 2 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
10.) Montreal W / +2 units
11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
13.) Fade Colorado W / + 2 units
14.) Fade Buffalo W / +2 units
15.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
18.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
19.) Fade Arizona W / +4 units
20.) Fade Boston W / +2 units

Record 17-0 / + 41 units
G1 - 14 wins
G2- 3 win

Today
8.) Fade Tampa - $161/$239
Game 4 of 4 game chase

16.) Fade Jersey $225/ $145 to win 2 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase

17.) LA Kings $548 / $326 to win 2 units
Game 3 of 4 game chase

21.) Fade Arizona $138 / $75 to win 3 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

I'll update Fade Jersey and Kings once the line opens but they're plays today
I updated Kings chase , had incorrectly listed to win $229, it's to win $326
Big day , hopefully it turns out to the good

[Slipknot26]

Added Play :
22.) Fade Colorado $65 / $50 to win 2 units
Game 1 of 4 game chase

[Slipknot26]

Closed :
1.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
2.) Fade Buffalo W / +1 unit
3.) Fade Arizona W /+5 units
4.) Fade Vegas W /+4 units
5.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
6.) Fade Arizona W / +2 units
7.) Montreal W / + 1 unit
9.) Fade Minnesota W / +2 units
10.) Montreal W / +2 units
11.) Fade Colorado W / +2 units
12.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
13.) Fade Colorado W / + 2 units
14.) Fade Buffalo W / +2 units
15.) Fade Vancouver W / +2 units
16.) Fade Jersey W +2 units
18.) Fade Buffalo W / +3 units
19.) Fade Arizona W / +4 units
20.) Fade Boston W / +2 units
8.) Fade Tampa - Loss -15 units
G1(-30 )+G2 (-76)+G3 (-108) +G4 (-161) = -$375
Record 18-1 / +28 units
G1 - 14 wins
G2- 4 win
Losses - 1



17.) LA Kings $ / $573 to win 2 units
Game 4 of 4 game chase

21.) Fade Arizona $/ $163 to win 3 units
Game 2 of 4 game chase

22.) Fade Colorado $/$115
Game 2 of 4 game chase

[jonny2k4]

Just found this thread. Like it. Isn't Arizona game 2?