1. 02-12-17 05:36 PM #1
    MickeyMan
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    NHL bye week

    So far teams are 3-8 in the first game following this week where teams aren't even allowed to practice. One of the games doesn't really count as the leafs and rangers played each other coming off their bye weeks.

    Coaches obviously hate this new addition this year and it makes sense that teams would come out flat. In all but one of the teams' games coming out of their bye weeks the game has been on home ice. This means you get even more value as you are generally betting the road team.

    Youd be making a killing so far auto fading these teams, going to track and blindly bet it going forward.

    Tomorrow the flames are a fade with zona being +163 right now.
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  2. 02-12-17 06:37 PM #2
    gunslinger572
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    Crunched the numbers for the teams so far and looked up the schedule for the remaining teams. Small sample size but looks like you could be on to something. Not only are the teams 3-8 overall, but 6/11 have lost by 2 goals or more

    1/6: New York Islanders (L 2-1 @ Colorado in OT)
    1/7: Ottawa Senators (L 1-0 vs. Washington)
    1/8: Pittsburgh Penguins (W 6-2 vs. Tampa Bay)
    1/12: Colorado Avalanche (L 4-1 vs. Anaheim)
    *1/13: New York Rangers (L 4-2 vs. Toronto)
    *1/13: Toronto Maple Leafs (W 4-2 @ NY Rangers)
    1/13: Arizona Coyotes (W 4-3 vs. Winnipeg)
    1/21: Philadelphia Flyers (L 4-1 vs. New Jersey)
    2/9: Florida Panthers (L 6-3 vs. Los Angeles)
    2/11: Edmonton Oilers (L 5-1 vs. Chicago)
    2/12: New Jersey Devils (L 4-1 vs. San Jose)

    2/13: Calgary Flames (vs. Arizona)
    2/16: Los Angeles Kings (vs. Arizona)
    2/17: Carolina Hurricanes (vs. Colorado)
    2/17: Washington Capitals (@ Detroit)
    2/17: Tampa Bay Lightning (@ Dallas)
    2/18: Chicago Blackhawks (vs. Edmonton)
    2/18: Nashville Predators (@ Minnesota)
    2/18: Montreal Canadiens (vs. Winnipeg)
    2/19: Boston Bruins (@ San Jose)
    2/24: Dallas Stars (vs. Arizona)
    2/25: Columbus Blue Jackets (vs. NY Islanders)
    *2/25: San Jose Sharks (@ Vancouver)
    *2/25: Vancouver Canucks (vs. San Jose)
    2/25: Buffalo Sabres (@ Colorado)
    2/26: Saint Louis Blues (@ Chicago)
    2/27: Minnesota Wild (vs. Los Angeles)
    2/28: Detroit Red Wings (@ Vancouver)
    2/28: Winnipeg Jets (vs. Minnesota)
    3/3: Anaheim Ducks (vs. Toronto)
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  3. 02-12-17 06:39 PM #3
    lakerboy
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    Terrible idea to have a whole week off.
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  4. 02-12-17 07:53 PM #4
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by gunslinger572 View Post
    Crunched the numbers for the teams so far and looked up the schedule for the remaining teams. Small sample size but looks like you could be on to something. Not only are the teams 3-8 overall, but 6/11 have lost by 2 goals or more

    1/6: New York Islanders (L 2-1 @ Colorado in OT)
    1/7: Ottawa Senators (L 1-0 vs. Washington)
    1/8: Pittsburgh Penguins (W 6-2 vs. Tampa Bay)
    1/12: Colorado Avalanche (L 4-1 vs. Anaheim)
    *1/13: New York Rangers (L 4-2 vs. Toronto)
    *1/13: Toronto Maple Leafs (W 4-2 @ NY Rangers)
    1/13: Arizona Coyotes (W 4-3 vs. Winnipeg)
    1/21: Philadelphia Flyers (L 4-1 vs. New Jersey)
    2/9: Florida Panthers (L 6-3 vs. Los Angeles)
    2/11: Edmonton Oilers (L 5-1 vs. Chicago)
    2/12: New Jersey Devils (L 4-1 vs. San Jose)

    2/13: Calgary Flames (vs. Arizona)
    2/16: Los Angeles Kings (vs. Arizona)
    2/17: Carolina Hurricanes (vs. Colorado)
    2/17: Washington Capitals (@ Detroit)
    2/17: Tampa Bay Lightning (@ Dallas)
    2/18: Chicago Blackhawks (vs. Edmonton)
    2/18: Nashville Predators (@ Minnesota)
    2/18: Montreal Canadiens (vs. Winnipeg)
    2/19: Boston Bruins (@ San Jose)
    2/24: Dallas Stars (vs. Arizona)
    2/25: Columbus Blue Jackets (vs. NY Islanders)
    *2/25: San Jose Sharks (@ Vancouver)
    *2/25: Vancouver Canucks (vs. San Jose)
    2/25: Buffalo Sabres (@ Colorado)
    2/26: Saint Louis Blues (@ Chicago)
    2/27: Minnesota Wild (vs. Los Angeles)
    2/28: Detroit Red Wings (@ Vancouver)
    2/28: Winnipeg Jets (vs. Minnesota)
    3/3: Anaheim Ducks (vs. Toronto)


    Thanks.

    Should be some nice doggies to bet upcoming, hopefully this trend continues.
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  5. 02-12-17 09:02 PM #5
    Philmill
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    Great info
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  6. 02-12-17 11:58 PM #6
    cashmoneyholla
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    Just pick some ducking winners pal. No need for stats

    avs beat islanders 5-1

    Book it

    holla
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  7. 02-13-17 07:21 AM #7
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by cashmoneyholla View Post
    Just pick some ducking winners pal. No need for stats

    avs beat islanders 5-1

    Book it

    holla
    Thanks for the insight cash.

    holla
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  8. 02-13-17 08:52 AM #8
    agendaman
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    tx for the fade holla
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  9. 02-13-17 05:44 PM #9
    afgballer56
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    so we on the cayotes night
    Last edited by afgballer56; 02-13-17 at 05:47 PM.
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  10. 02-13-17 09:47 PM #10
    swordsandtequila
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    Flames keeping the trend alive
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  11. 02-13-17 09:56 PM #11
    cankid
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    crappy coyotes team up 4-0 and the line went up towards Calg
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  12. 02-13-17 10:00 PM #12
    vividjohn45
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    Thanks bro. I took rangers ml. Rangers ov5.5 and ariz ml tonite becuz of this awesome thread. Good shit.
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  13. 02-13-17 10:12 PM #13
    AskJonny4Notes
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    Great analysis Mikey, keep up the good work. I parlayed Coyotes/Rangers ML thanks to you.
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  14. 02-14-17 12:30 AM #14
    gunslinger572
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    Teams are now 3-9 with a -18 GD in 12 games. Appreciate the points but I suggest heading them Mickey's way next time. Really think he stumbled upon something great here.

    Got the coyotes next up on the 16th lets do this!
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  15. 02-14-17 04:40 AM #15
    agendaman
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    system says zona again on thurs.
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  16. 02-14-17 05:33 AM #16
    MickeyMan
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    Nice to have a +180 no sweat win
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  17. 02-14-17 03:43 PM #17
    cashmoneyholla
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    This system has ran its course . Congrats to anyone who made a tiny bit of money on it . I was talking to my friend who works at a book here in Brooks . They have caught on and will react accordingly.

    Holla
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  18. 02-14-17 04:51 PM #18
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by cashmoneyholla View Post
    This system has ran its course . Congrats to anyone who made a tiny bit of money on it . I was talking to my friend who works at a book here in Brooks . They have caught on and will react accordingly.

    Holla
    Cash if you are ever looking for a new bookie, I'll gladly take your action.

    Holla
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  19. 02-14-17 05:02 PM #19
    gunslinger572
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    Pretty sure we'll be able to get at least +200 on Arizona Thursday but time will tell. As of Monday they hadn't adjusted, since line for Calgary vs Arizona was about same as it was when they faced off in December
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  20. 02-14-17 05:13 PM #20
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by gunslinger572 View Post
    Pretty sure we'll be able to get at least +200 on Arizona Thursday but time will tell. As of Monday they hadn't adjusted, since line for Calgary vs Arizona was about same as it was when they faced off in December
    Yeah if they were +180 to the flamers, should be close to 200 in LA
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  21. 02-14-17 05:16 PM #21
    El Nino
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    Good stuff
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  22. 02-14-17 05:19 PM #22
    MickeyMan
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    I really like the look of fading the hawks at home vs the oilers. Should be around +145 and oilers looking for revenge after getting spanked by the hawks a couple days ago.
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  23. 02-14-17 07:38 PM #23
    cashmoneyholla
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    I see that oilers game as a typical trap game for rookie cappers . Looks like a great spot for oil? WRONG. We need to take hawks that night . Probably my best bet of the week. Will talk about it the night before guys.

    Holla
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  24. 02-14-17 11:35 PM #24
    vividjohn45
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    Quote Originally Posted by cashmoneyholla View Post
    This system has ran its course . Congrats to anyone who made a tiny bit of money on it . I was talking to my friend who works at a book here in Brooks . They have caught on and will react accordingly.

    Holla
    What does 'holla' mean? is it street slang? Like ghetto?
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  25. 02-15-17 05:25 AM #25
    MickeyMan
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    Disregard cashmoneyholla guys, he dropped out of school in grade 8 to work on the oil rigs which is clearly reflected by his spelling and grammar on here.

    He's had a lot of spare time on his hands since the price of oil went in the shitter but I don't think he used that time to learn to read or write.
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  26. 02-15-17 08:58 AM #26
    Scrivero
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    Sounds awesome for winning money! Though even the media is catching up to it, so yea, the odds could be affected: http://www.nj.com/devils/index.ssf/2...hl_bye_we.html Theres many more as well, which were posted ca 20 hours ago. Sounds like they were inspired by MickeyMan.

    EDIT: Do tell if I one is not allowed to post links to articles and I will delete it.
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  27. 02-15-17 10:07 AM #27
    agendaman
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    i love detroit vs. caps on friday
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  28. 02-15-17 11:32 PM #28
    gunslinger572
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    Coyotes +185 is the system play tomorrow
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  29. 02-16-17 02:14 AM #29
    vividjohn45
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    Quote Originally Posted by gunslinger572 View Post
    Coyotes +185 is the system play tomorrow
    I haves coyotes +197. I.d shop around a bit find best price.
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  30. 02-16-17 03:06 AM #30
    cankid
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    got +203
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  31. 02-16-17 07:58 AM #31
    MickeyMan
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    +203 for me as well. Not really liking this strategy as much now that the media is talking about it and teams will definitely be aware of the struggles other teams have had.

    Hopefully it continues
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  32. 02-16-17 08:53 AM #32
    agendaman
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    i got zona -1 at plus 312
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  33. 02-16-17 10:56 AM #33
    TheCaliforniaKid
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    I think we can toss the theory that "word is out" on this pattern. Yotes opened at plus 185 and now stand at plus 225 with my book. I think these $100 bettors on this site are giving themselves too much credit...
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  34. 02-16-17 11:53 AM #34
    Scrivero
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    Yea its +218 on Pinnacle. I took it at +195 yesterday thinking that it will go down. The word is certainly not out to the masses.
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  35. 02-16-17 12:25 PM #35
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheCaliforniaKid View Post
    I think we can toss the theory that "word is out" on this pattern. Yotes opened at plus 185 and now stand at plus 225 with my book. I think these $100 bettors on this site are giving themselves too much credit...
    What? I thought pinny line moves were mostly driven by betpoints bettors.
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