Originally Posted by
TimeTraveler75
It's simple, books say "they always want to balance the action" this isn't always the case, take notice, when the public is hitting a team hard and the books aren't adjusting the lines then it's a big flag, this is seen over and over again, they know the other team has the advantage and take in all the bets from the loaded side. In this case, it's Ottawa which should really be a -170 at home, books ARE adjusting to really balance out the action to not take a potentially major hit with the loaded side. Of course it doesn't mean it's a guaranteed winner, just know that they know where the true odds are and they only adjust when they feel that the odds go in a certain way. In this case, dropping it to attract more for the other side, we see this all the time, a line has a huge drop for the favorite and they end up winning easily. They know how to manage it.