Fla -105
Florida is solid at home with a +0.45 differential. I think this line is low because of their recent play but they are being undervalued in this spot. SJ is solid but this line implies they are the better team, which is not the case. Getting -105 for the better team at home is value I cant pass up.
Ott -110
Ottawa edges Car in home/road differential at +0.18 vs -0.39. I think this is another situation of recent play affecting lines a bit too much. Ottawa will win this game better than 53% of the time.
Stl -107
Stl has allowed only 1.5 goals/game this month with a solid +0.83 differential. Kings are nearing the end of a long road trip and I think fatigue could hit them here. I dont see them scoring more than 2 in this game.
YTD: 53-44 (54.6%), +12.37 units