[Rich Boy]

Tor vs Phi UNDER 5 +105
4.64 goals per game average (home road) for these teams. And 4.64 average in January. I will start capping totals based on recent gameplay as I feel scoring is on the decline. League average for this month is 4.9 per game.


Nash +101
Chicago is hot right now but they are not that good on the road with a -0.41 goal differential while Nash is +0.86 at home. Only reason why Nashville is a dog is because of the long winning steak. These are great opportunities to get value on a home dog that really should be favored.


Edm vs TB UNDER 5 +114
Edmonton has the 2nd worst road offense in the league at 1.87 goals, coming of a back to back vs Fla I cant see them scoring much here. Edm has also averaged 3.71 goals per game this month.





YTD: 39-24 (61.9%), +17.43 units

[funnyb25]

You posted a couple days ago you dont like playing the under 5's. Since the juice is + you think its worth buying the 5.5, or is this an exception?

[mrginandtonic]

Appreciate your analysis on games. Just want to see what your take is on VAN/NYR game. Miller was solid in the last game and Lindqvist hasn't been and Rangers haven't been consistently lately either. I think +165 on the Canuck is a great price.

[RollinDo]

My leans today are:

TB (ML)...but now see Bishop sitting
Dallas +1
Van TT (U 2.5)
Calg-NJ (U 5)
Boston/Philly

[Rich Boy]

You posted a couple days ago you dont like playing the under 5's. Since the juice is + you think its worth buying the 5.5, or is this an exception?

At the time my book didnt have 5.5 options and I would rather get my action in before the lines possibly move. Lately have gotten burned on some 1st period unders with heavy juice.

[Rich Boy]

Appreciate your analysis on games. Just want to see what your take is on VAN/NYR game. Miller was solid in the last game and Lindqvist hasn't been and Rangers haven't been consistently lately either. I think +165 on the Canuck is a great price.

Could be but you know AV will have his team ready for this game, would not want to back the canucks in this spot.

[Rich Boy]

Wash vs CBJ OVER 5.5 +137

Line movement on this game has been pretty volatile. This price is too high for a couple of teams averaging 5.53 goals per game and 5.98 goals this month.

[Rich Boy]

And now down to +127 as I post this...

[RollinDo]

Going to lay biggest juice so far this year on a total for Wash - CLBS (U 6) -170...very confident in this play...each time I went to put in at -150/-160 line went up...gotta settle for this...one of those days where I just miss the best lines.