1. #1
    blackberry_juice
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    How much does home ice advantage swing a moneyline?

    Hey guys, is there a ballpark range of how many points on the moneyline home ice typically swings? I know in football people typically use a 3-4 point range on the spread, but I was curious if there was a similar rule of thumb for hockey. I understand that a team playing across the country will be at a bigger disadvantage then a team playing a short flight away from home.

    Yesterday the Leafs were a slight favorite over the Red Wings at home and today they're in the +115 range at Detroit so I'm gonna guess the difference between the same two teams playing at home and on the road is worth about 20-30 points.

    What do you guys think?

  2. #2
    DocterDrew
    @FanalystDrew
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    I'd agree with this, hard to really pick a range because hockey is such has a 0,1,2 score differential where NFL is 3,6,7,10
    I think it's more reliable to rank teams with power rankings and have a range where teams home ice advantage ranges from 0 to -.5 -1

    id say Bruins hawks sharks blues to name a few usually have -1 home advantage over buffalo Florida Edmonton on any given night and then Id cut that in half vs a Columbus NY islanders Minnesota.

    Hope oe I make sense here, but definitely a home advantage isn't as clear cut as in NBA NFL

  3. #3
    blackberry_juice
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    That's an interesting approach. I like that. I think it's a lot more difficult to do that though then account for the value in the moneyline but if you are good at it, it's probably very beneficial

  4. #4
    cobra_king
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    20 cents

  5. #5
    blackberry_juice
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    Quote Originally Posted by cobra_king View Post
    20 cents
    thanks!

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