1. #1
    EdV38
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    System for after the second period, has worked well so far this year

    I know I am about to jinx this system as soon as I post it, but it's worked out great for me so far.

    If a team is up by a goal, you make three bets:

    1. 1U on the trailing team to win (usually 1 to 2U win)
    2. 1U on the winning team to win by 1.5 (usually 1 to 2U win)
    3. 1U on over 1.5 goals for the rest of the game (usually 0.5 to 1U win)

    Rationale: Even if there's no goals for most of the period, there will be an empty net where there's a very good chance at least one goal will be scored. The only way you can lose all three units is if the score remains unchanged. If the winning team scores one goal, you lose the other two bets but come close to breaking even. If the trailing team scores you clinch the over but also have a shot at a come from behind win.

    So far the above strategy has worked out (today with the Habs, yesterday with the Blues). But I can understand why people wouldn't care for that one. The next one is much, much stronger

    If a team is up by two goals, you make three bets:

    1. 1U on the trailing team to win (usually 5-10U win)
    2. 1U on the winning team to win by 2.5 (usually 1 to 2U win)
    3. 1U on over 1.5 goals for the rest of the game (usually 0.5 to 1U win)

    This one makes sense because if a team is down by two, they're going to play open and aggressive hockey for the full period. Even if the game's score is unchanged, the net will be empty at the first opportunity once the clock hits 18 minutes. There are two ways you can lose all three bets - no change in score or if the trailing team scores once. If each team scores once you lose two of the three. But the payoff if the trailing team comes from behind is huge, and if the winning team scores twice, you're also doing very well. The obvious big win for me on this one was the Avs last night.

    Putting it to practice tonight with the Ducks -1.5 to win 1.2 units and Dallas to win for 4U. Unfortunately my bookie only offered over 5.5 goals for a 2.1 unit win. I took it, but that leaves me open for losses on all three if Dallas come back to tie, only to lose in OT.

  2. #2
    EdV38
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    Naturally the Ducks/Stars game screws me over.

    Blues/Hawks game too since the Blues were the ones who had to come behind in the end after leading after 2.

    But I raked it in on the +480 for the Blue Jackets winning after 2 periods.

    Hoping the score stays 2-1 for the Avs going into the third to afford me another opportunity.

  3. #3
    EdV38
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    Made these three bets:

    Minnesota Live - moneyline (+1500)
    Minnesota Live/Colorado Live - total Over 5½ (-115)
    Colorado Live - spread -2½ (+135)

  4. #4
    NavsPicks
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    Lol Colorado wins 3-2 u lose all 3 jeeze

  5. #5
    NavsPicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by EdV38 View Post
    Made these three bets:

    Minnesota Live - moneyline (+1500)
    Minnesota Live/Colorado Live - total Over 5½ (-115)
    Colorado Live - spread -2½ (+135)



    Buried.

  6. #6
    EdV38
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    Quote Originally Posted by NavsPicks View Post
    Lol Colorado wins 3-2 u lose all 3 jeeze
    ??? They won 4-2 I pick up a win on the over. You can say that I got lucky with a last second empty net goal, but that's the nature of the bet, your chances of winning greatly increases because of the likelihood on a one or two goal game at the end of the third.

    The CBJ win more than makes up for the one unit loss on the night game. Yeah I know it's lame talking about a victory that I never posted beforehand, but it was a part of the system. I will be betting this way for every one or two goal game after 40 minutes and people can follow along if they choose.

  7. #7
    EdV38
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    FWIW, here is the log of the bets I made from this system thus far:

    APR 17 9:53 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - St Louis Live - moneyline (+305)
    for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 8:05pm [Winner]

    APR 17 11:25 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Colorado Live - moneyline (+1050)
    for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 9:35pm [Winner]

    APR 17 11:28 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Minnesota Live/Colorado Live - total Over 7½ (-120)
    for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 9:35pm [Winner]

    APR 17 11:31 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Minnesota Live - spread -2½ (+180)
    for the entire game held on Apr 17 at 9:35pm [Loss]

    APR 18 8:45 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Tampa Bay Live - moneyline (+1150)
    for the entire game held on Apr 18 at 7:05pm [Loss]

    APR 18 8:46 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Montreal Live - spread -2½ (+160)
    for the entire game held on Apr 18 at 7:05pm [Winner]

    APR 18 8:46 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Montreal Live/Tampa Bay Live - total Over 3½ (-120)
    for the entire game held on Apr 18 at 7:05pm [Winner]

    APR 18 11:51 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Dallas Live - moneyline (+410)
    for the entire game held on Apr 18 at 10:05pm [Loss]

    APR 18 11:51 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Anaheim Live - spread -1½ (+120)
    for the entire game held on Apr 18 at 10:05pm [Loss]

    APR 18 11:58 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Dallas Live/Anaheim Live - total Over 5½ (+205)
    for the entire game held on Apr 18 at 10:05pm [Loss]


    APR 19 5:11 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Chicago Live - moneyline (+240)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 3:05pm [Loss]

    APR 19 5:12 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Chicago Live/St Louis Live - total Over 4½ (-260)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 3:05pm [Winner]

    APR 19 5:12 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - St Louis Live - spread -1½ (+200)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 3:05pm [Loss]

    APR 19 8:50 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Columbus Live - moneyline (+480)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 7:05pm [Winner]

    APR 19 8:50 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Columbus Live/Pittsburgh Live - total Over 6½ (-295)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 7:05pm [Winner]

    APR 19 8:50 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Pittsburgh Live - spread -1½ (+105)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 7:05pm [Loss]



    APR 19 11:26 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Minnesota Live - moneyline (+1500)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 9:35pm [Loss]

    APR 19 11:26 PM Hockey - Winner
    1. Hockey - Minnesota Live/Colorado Live - total Over 5½ (-115)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 9:35pm [Winner]

    APR 19 11:26 PM Hockey - Loss
    1. Hockey - Colorado Live - spread -2½ (+135)
    for the entire game held on Apr 19 at 9:35pm [Loss]

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