So here's my idea. I'm not asking anyone to do any backtesting (unless they want to). I was just wondering if anyone's tried this before, what their experience is, opinions are, etc.

In any game that has an underdog who's +111 or greater you bet 1 unit the underdog to win the game and 1 unit on the favorite to cover the spread. So the only way you lose is if the favorite wins by one. Going into Monday nights, if a team wins or loses 60% or more of their games by one goal, they're omitted for that week. Currently I'm omitting Chicago, Calgary, Ottawa and the Islanders.

If you lose. Use St. Louis for an example. Their game against Montreal a few nights ago was a loss. So last night when they played the Pens, I bet 2 units each on the underdog ML and the favorite spread. That also lost. So now St. Louis is -3, Pittsburgh is -2, and Montreal is -1. I'll keep doubling down on their games until one wins.

I use betpoints for the experiment btw.

The upside is that if you properly filter, you'll be in the black about 75% of the time...based on the limited back testing that I've down and the experiment I'm currently running. The bad news is that you're sometimes risking 2 units to win .2.

So that's why I'm trying to figure out an effective way to manage the bets and neutralize the losses.

Anyone have any experience with something like this?




Tonight's ticket looks like this:

Ticket#:2277412
Nov 10 07:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[3] FLORIDA +200		 10.00 / 20.00
Ticket#:2277413
Nov 10 07:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[4] NY RANGERS -1½+120		 10.00 / 12.00
Ticket#:2277414
Nov 10 08:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[9] WASHINGTON +150 		20.00 / 30.00
Ticket#:2277415
Nov 10 08:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[10] COLORADO -1½+182		 20.00 / 36.40
Ticket#:2277416
Nov 10 08:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[11] SAN JOSE -1½+170		 10.00 / 17.00
Ticket#:2277417
Nov 10 08:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[12] WINNIPEG +150		 10.00 / 15.00
Ticket#:2277418
Nov 10 08:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[13] VANCOUVER +150		 20.00 / 30.00
Ticket#:2277419
Nov 10 08:00 PM 		Nov 10 04:47 PM NHL STRAIGHT BET
[14] ANAHEIM -1½+170		 20.00 / 34.00