NHL "Let it Ride" system

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  • Slanina
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 3827

    #1
    NHL "Let it Ride" system
    I'm testing this idea for rest of 2014/15 season. And until I can fully backtest it, Im betting very small until I know for sure it showed success in prior years. Bets are displayed by bet amount instead of units. As it's how the system works. This is for tracking purposes only. This could get ugly for me.

    Pittsburgh ML -160

    30 to win 18.75
  • Slanina
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-09
    • 3827

    #2
    Double checking Pittsburgh was not a play. There was no play today. So I got $30 on them for no reason. Ahh, growing pains...
    Comment
    • Slanina
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-09
      • 3827

      #3
      Here we go.

      Carolina ML -195

      30 to win 15.38
      Comment
      • Slanina
        SBR MVP
        • 01-21-09
        • 3827

        #4
        Tampa Bay ML -370

        45.38 to win 12.26
        Comment
        • Slanina
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-09
          • 3827

          #5
          1/10

          Saint Louis ML -210

          50.73 to win 24.16


          YTD:

          #1 +6.91

          #2 0.00

          #3 0.00

          #4 0.00
          Comment
          • a4u2fear
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-29-10
            • 8147

            #6
            good luck slanina, what's your real name if you don't mind me asking? I will not have answers on back testing this weekend. It's a decent amount of code since I have to decipher between each day of games with your picks. So give me a little time.
            Comment
            • Slanina
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-09
              • 3827

              #7
              Originally posted by a4u2fear
              good luck slanina, what's your real name if you don't mind me asking? I will not have answers on back testing this weekend. It's a decent amount of code since I have to decipher between each day of games with your picks. So give me a little time.
              It's Brian. Yeah no rush on it. I tested all of 2013 and up until January this season and after the insane amount of math, my brain was fried. So I'm just looking to finish testing over next few months.
              Comment
              • Slanina
                SBR MVP
                • 01-21-09
                • 3827

                #8
                Nice comeback by Saint Louis to get the SO win.


                YTD:

                #1 +6.91

                #2 +13.75

                #3 0.00

                #4 0.00
                Comment
                • MickeyMan
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-20-09
                  • 5091

                  #9
                  Good luck Brian
                  Comment
                  • Slanina
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-09
                    • 3827

                    #10
                    1/11

                    Chicago ML -241. System will get two wins tonight (#1 and #3) if Chicago comes through.

                    61.07 to win 25.34.
                    Comment
                    • Slanina
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-21-09
                      • 3827

                      #11
                      Originally posted by MickeyMan
                      Good luck Brian
                      Thank you, sir.
                      Comment
                      • Slanina
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-09
                        • 3827

                        #12
                        Chicago gets the win convincingly.

                        YTD:

                        #1 +15.07

                        #2 +13.75

                        #3 +22.56

                        #4 +0.00
                        Comment
                        • Slanina
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-09
                          • 3827

                          #13
                          Washington ML -164

                          55.67 to win 33.95



                          Odd situation as Kings opened as favorites but Washington will close as favorites. Haven't factored this situation in as I'm still testing. But I'll run with the closing line for now. This will be a #4 system play. Which is as good as the system gets.
                          Comment
                          • Slanina
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-21-09
                            • 3827

                            #14
                            Washington takes it 2-1. Did not expect to get a #4 win this early. From what I've tested so far #4 wins on average only once per month. Could not ask for a better start. Tomorrow's play looks like it'll be Saint Louis. It'll be going for a #1 and #2 system win.

                            ***Each loss is the equivalent to a 4 unit loss despite the amount being bet on any particular game.

                            YTD:

                            #1 +15.07

                            #2 +13.75

                            #3 +22.56

                            #4 +40.88
                            Last edited by Slanina; 01-13-15, 01:34 AM.
                            Comment
                            • Slanina
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-21-09
                              • 3827

                              #15
                              1/13

                              Saint Louis ML -270

                              48.71 to win 18.04

                              System will get two wins tonight (#1 and #2) if the Blues win. Locking in bet tonight as I think this line will move against me considering they're at home against the dreadful Oilers and have been lighting up the scoreboard lately.

                              To give an idea how it's going to this point, YTD numbers are translated into units below. If you don't like daily math, this system will drive you insane.

                              Realized units +12.30

                              Unrealized units +2.49
                              Last edited by Slanina; 01-13-15, 03:16 AM.
                              Comment
                              • mickjam42
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-28-11
                                • 692

                                #16
                                Any chance you would pm me with details of how the system works? Or post on here, if that is easier? TIA
                                Comment
                                • Slanina
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-21-09
                                  • 3827

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by mickjam42
                                  Any chance you would pm me with details of how the system works? Or post on here, if that is easier? TIA
                                  I have no problem sharing it. I'll send you the details later today. A few people have already messaged about it. Off to work on 4 hours sleep so it'll be sometime late this evening. If you do decide to bet it, you'll have to wait for a loss so the system resets. So you couldn't bet tonight anyways.
                                  Comment
                                  • Slanina
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-21-09
                                    • 3827

                                    #18
                                    Saint Louis gets a 4-2 victory giving the system two more wins today (#1 and #2).


                                    YTD:

                                    #1 +24.11

                                    #2 +29.64

                                    #3 +22.56

                                    #4 +40.88

                                    Realized units +15.62
                                    Comment
                                    • Slanina
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-21-09
                                      • 3827

                                      #19
                                      Los Angeles Kings ML -225. No part of the system gets a win tonight.

                                      41.81 to win 18.58



                                      Finished up testing 2009/2010 season last night. Results were +40.98 units. I've completed two seasons of testing. Other was 2013/2014 (+82 units). Great early numbers but still 3 full seasons of testing before I can truly believe this will work. So still betting small and mainly for tracking purposes.
                                      Comment
                                      • Slanina
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-21-09
                                        • 3827

                                        #20
                                        I noticed an interesting pattern on the years I already tested. I haven't crunched the numbers but looks promising. It's the same system but with an extra filter, which resulted in only 80-100 plays over a full season. I'm going to track this as well. But it's in the middle of an 8 game win streak so I have to wait for a loss and I'll start tracking.
                                        Comment
                                        • a4u2fear
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-29-10
                                          • 8147

                                          #21
                                          Brian, what am I missing? Four plays and up 12 units? 3u a play? What about prior years? Are those all betting 3u or?
                                          Comment
                                          • a4u2fear
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-29-10
                                            • 8147

                                            #22
                                            I meant the realized units +15 not 12
                                            Comment
                                            • Slanina
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-21-09
                                              • 3827

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                              Brian, what am I missing? Four plays and up 12 units? 3u a play? What about prior years? Are those all betting 3u or?
                                              There were 6 plays starting with Carolina on the 8th and its had a play everyday so far. Getting to game #4 system play and winning it is rare. Which is why it's already up 15 units in less than a week. Going 6-0 gives the system 7 wins. #1 gets 3 wins. #2 gets 2 wins. #3 and #4 get 1 win each. Im risking 4 units total on each game. 1 unit for each #. Even though I'm actually betting more than 4 units on a game, anything over the 4 units is house money and it's not factored into YTD until system says it's a win. That's where the unrealized gains come from.
                                              Last edited by Slanina; 01-14-15, 07:18 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Slanina
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-21-09
                                                • 3827

                                                #24
                                                Kings get embarrassed at home for the system's first loss. Didnt expect to run 6 off in a row before a loss though. System resets with a juicy line tomorrow.

                                                Tampa Bay ML -279

                                                30 to win 10.75


                                                YTD:

                                                #1 +16.11

                                                #2 +22.14

                                                #3 +15.06

                                                #4 +33.38
                                                Last edited by Slanina; 01-15-15, 03:55 AM. Reason: Updated YTD
                                                Comment
                                                • Slanina
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-21-09
                                                  • 3827

                                                  #25
                                                  Let it Ride *V2

                                                  Tracking this one here on out. Betting small as well.


                                                  Tampa Bay ML -231

                                                  30 to win 12.99
                                                  Comment
                                                  • a4u2fear
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 8147

                                                    #26
                                                    What's going on here with V2, esp betting. A line much different than opening?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Slanina
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-21-09
                                                      • 3827

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                                      What's going on here with V2, esp betting. A line much different than opening?
                                                      Check your inbox.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bigbill365
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-22-12
                                                        • 4572

                                                        #28
                                                        cool ill follow with betpoints ill start with 20 points
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Slanina
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-21-09
                                                          • 3827

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Bigbill365
                                                          cool ill follow with betpoints ill start with 20 points
                                                          Dont try it yet. You have to wait for a loss to happen and system resets. I know it's only bet points but starting this late in the season is risky as a bad run could happen and possibly not enough time left in the season.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Slanina
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-21-09
                                                            • 3827

                                                            #30
                                                            Close win by Tampa Bay tonight. Stopped joking around in the 3rd period and squeezed out a 3-2 win. Tomorrow's play will be determined close to start. It will be either Chicago or Anaheim for both systems. Also both will be going for a system win (#1). May not post as i'll be on the road.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Slanina
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-21-09
                                                              • 3827

                                                              #31
                                                              Was hoping the play would be Anaheim but Chicago ran away with the line. Little nervous about this play but here we go. Both systems are going for a #1 system win tonight.


                                                              Let it Ride:

                                                              Chicago ML -235

                                                              40.75 to win 17.34


                                                              Let it Ride V2

                                                              Chicago ML -235


                                                              42.99 to win 18.29
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bigbill365
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-22-12
                                                                • 4572

                                                                #32
                                                                ill lay off im on pitts with +EV Ill wait for the restart
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Slanina
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-21-09
                                                                  • 3827

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Chicago loses at home yet again to the Jets. Better hope they don't have to face them in playoffs at home. And of course Anaheim wins easily. Both systems get a loss. Will update YTD after next system win or loss.

                                                                  Let it Ride:

                                                                  Blues ML -225

                                                                  30 to win 13.33




                                                                  Let it Ride V2

                                                                  Blues ML -225

                                                                  30 to win 13.33
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Slanina
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-21-09
                                                                    • 3827

                                                                    #34
                                                                    1/18

                                                                    Nice win by The Blues. Individual game record is 7-2. Blues are 3-0. Both systems are going for a #1 win tonight with Detroit. You gotta think this is as safe play as it gets. But who knows.

                                                                    Let it Ride:

                                                                    Detroit ML -316

                                                                    43.33 to win 13.71



                                                                    Let it Ride V2:

                                                                    Detroit ML -316

                                                                    43.33 to win 13.71
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • a4u2fear
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-29-10
                                                                      • 8147

                                                                      #35
                                                                      "Safe", were fukked
                                                                      Comment
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