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11-04-11 11:32 AM #141
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11-04-11 11:41 AM #142
Wallco NHL GOLD
2011-12 System to date: 18-4 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -46.03 units(finished series)
Current open series: 0
(11/3/11):
#17 L.A. Kings (M/L) (C) - Loss
#18 Detroit (M/L) v2 (C) - Loss
#21 New Jersey (+1½) v2 (A) - Win
#22 Nashville (+1½) (A) - Win
v1 Plays
(A) 8-6
(B) 4-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: Ottawa (-10.96 u), Edmonton (-14.96 u)
v2 Plays
(A) 5-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: Montreal (-18.60 u), Detroit (-19.51 u)
Games for (11/4/11):
#23 Montreal @ Ottawa (+1½) (A) (7:35 pm EDT)
#24 Chicago @ Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) (7:35 pm EDT)
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.Points Awarded:
Maxi_EV gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.bauerranch gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-04-11 11:51 AM #143
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11-04-11 11:56 AM #144
wallco, just looking to have some conversation about what we are seeing here. when doing the backtests, did the losses occur in the beginning of the season as we are seeing here or did they occur towards the end? if this is consistent with the backtests, then it is no time to panic, but if your backtests show that we can expect another 6-10 losses towards the 2nd half of the season then it might be time to cut and run.
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11-04-11 12:19 PM #145
That above post wasn't about you, I guess you knew that. I don't get the cartoon, but I guess it has some relevance or you probably wouldn't have posted it. Please explain. The losses are usually spread out. However, there were a couple seasons with multiple losses in November, not 4 losses, but still, more than one. 2005-06 had several more early losses than the other seasons. It did lose that year, but not much by the end. That season just continued to lose the whole way through, have to hope it won't happen that way again.
Originally Posted by on3
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11-04-11 05:00 PM #146
Ott is -340 on the PL. I can't do that.
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11-04-11 07:18 PM #147
Some of these are pretty expensive for the early going. Fortunately, they have mostly been on (A) bets. I will die with the ship!!!!!!
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11-04-11 09:20 PM #148
off topic but will you be doing a similar thread when/if NBA starts? I'll probably tail you on that if you do it.
I'll just watch this NHL one to see how it turns out though.
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11-04-11 11:54 PM #149
If I don't do my own, It will probably be in the JM NBA thread again. Originally Posted by Riceboi
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11-05-11 05:45 AM #150
Nice 2-0 night, Will we continue with Fade Oilers since they have won 3 new games?
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11-05-11 09:33 AM #151
Wallco NHL GOLD
2011-12 System to date: 20-4 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -44.03 units (finished series)
Current open series: 0
(11/4/11):
#23 Ottawa (+1½) (A) - Win
#24 Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) - Win
v1 Plays
(A) 10-6
(B) 4-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: OTT (-10.96 u), EDM (-14.96 u)
v2 Plays
(A) 5-3
(B) 1-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: MON (-18.60 u), DET (-19.51 u)
Games for (11/5/11):
#25 Edmonton @ Phoenix (M/L) (A) (10:05 pm EDT)
#26 St. Louis (+1½) @ Minnesota (A) (8:05 pm EDT)
#27 Anaheim @ Detroit (M/L) v2 (A) (7:05 pm EDT)
#28 Pittsburgh @ L.A. Kings (M/L) v2 (A) (10:35 pm EDT)
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.Last edited by Wallco99; 11-05-11 at 09:37 AM.
Points Awarded:Maxi_EV gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.Ryencee gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-06-11 09:12 AM #152
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11-06-11 10:20 AM #153
Wallco NHL GOLD
2011-12 System to date: 23-4 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -41.03 units(finished series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.25 units)
(11/5/11):
#25 Phoenix (M/L) (A) - Win
#26 St. Louis (+1½) (A) - Win
#27 Detroit (M/L) v2 (A) - Win
#28 L.A. Kings (M/L) v2 (A) - Loss
v1 Plays
(A) 12-6
(B) 4-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: OTT (-10.96 u), EDM (-14.96 u)
v2 Plays
(A) 6-4
(B) 1-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: MON (-18.60 u), DET (-19.51 u)
Games for (11/6/11):
#28 Resumes (B) on 11/7/11
#29 Winnipeg (+1½) @ N.Y. Rangers (A) (7:05 pm EST)
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.Last edited by Wallco99; 11-06-11 at 10:53 AM.
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11-06-11 10:59 AM #154
Nice call on the RedWings last night buddy...made all my money back and then some from that RedWings meltdown last week...Keep up your winning ways.
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11-06-11 03:17 PM #155
Test
Last edited by Wallco99; 11-07-11 at 08:26 AM.
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11-07-11 08:24 AM #156
Time to get it back
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11-07-11 10:37 AM #157
Los +1.5 is a B bet today, right?
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11-07-11 10:50 AM #158
Wallco NHL GOLD
2011-12 System to date: 23-4 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -41.03 units(finished series)
Current open series: 2 (-3.25 units)
(11/6/11):
#29 Winnipeg (+1½) (A) - Loss
v1 Plays
(A) 12-7
(B) 4-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: OTT (-10.96 u), EDM (-14.96 u)
v2 Plays
(A) 6-4
(B) 1-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: MON (-18.60 u), DET (-19.51 u)
Games for (11/7/11):
#28 L.A. Kings (+1½) @ San Jose v2 (B) (10:35 pm EDT)
#29 Resumes (B) on 11/9/11
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.Points Awarded:Maxi_EV gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-07-11 04:16 PM #159
Let's cash this!
With that kind of juice, I don't want to see a C bet.
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11-08-11 06:35 AM #160
Originally Posted by Maxi_EV
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11-08-11 07:00 AM #161
Wallco NHL GOLD
2011-12 System to date: 23-4 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -41.03 units(finished series)
Current open series: 2 (-8.88 units)
(11/7/11):
#28 L.A. Kings (+1½) v2 (B) - Loss
v1 Plays
(A) 12-7
(B) 4-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: OTT (-10.96 u), EDM (-14.96 u)
v2 Plays
(A) 6-4
(B) 1-3
(C) 0-2
Losses: MON (-18.60 u), DET (-19.51 u)
Games for (11/8/11):
#28 Nashville @ L.A. Kings (M/L) v2 (C) (10:35 pm EST)
#29 Resumes (B) on 11/9/11
#30 Dallas @ Washington (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EST)
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.Last edited by Wallco99; 11-08-11 at 04:07 PM.
Points Awarded:Maxi_EV gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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11-08-11 09:38 AM #162
Hello! Just came back from a HUGE vacation. Just checking in and saying thanks Wallco for all your work!
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11-08-11 02:18 PM #163
Washington should be #30 , right?
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11-08-11 03:08 PM #164
Let's go Kings!
BOL tonight
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11-08-11 04:08 PM #165
Correct, sorry about that. Originally Posted by Maxi_EV
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11-08-11 05:56 PM #166
Originally Posted by Mr. Green
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11-08-11 11:14 PM #167
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11-09-11 09:15 AM #168
Wallco NHL GOLD
2011-12 System to date: 24-4 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: -40.03 units(finished series)
Current open series: 2 (-3.55 units)
(11/8/11):
#28 L.A. Kings (M/L) v2 (C) - Win
v1 Plays
(A) 12-8
(B) 4-2
(C) 0-2
Losses: OTT (-10.96 u), EDM (-14.96 u)
v2 Plays
(A) 6-4
(B) 1-3
(C) 1-2
Losses: MON (-18.60 u), DET (-19.51 u)
Games for (11/9/11):
#29 N.Y. Rangers @ Ottawa (+1½) (B) (7:35 pm EST)
#30 Resumes (B) on 11/11/11
** Do not place any wagers on teams unless you are sure your team is the dog or favorite. You may be overpaying for a loss if you play the P/L and should have been on the M/L, or lose a game that you would have won had you been on the (+1½) instead of the M/L. We will always play the M/L on favorites and (-110) games, and always play the (+1½) if the team we are betting on is a dog. ALL results will be based on this principle. If it is a close line game, you may want to wait til closer to game time to place your wager so you know whether or not we are on the (+1½) or the (M/L). All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, or vice versa, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines.
System rules & backtest can be found in posts #1 and #2.
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11-09-11 11:03 AM #169
-40 units....
unless there's a major winning streak coming in...this system is doomed this year!
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11-09-11 12:12 PM #170
Originally Posted by EasyPicks
-40 units....
unless there's a major winning streak coming in...this system is doomed this year!
The system has around 200 plays and were about 30 plays in, plenty of time to get to the positive. At least that C bet hit last night lol
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11-09-11 12:57 PM #171
Mm, really nice juice tonight if it stays at +1,5 game...
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11-09-11 01:08 PM #172
Past seasons shown that it can handle an average of 9 losses per year and still show an average profit of 70 units per year. Originally Posted by EasyPicks
-40 units....
unless there's a major winning streak coming in...this system is doomed this year!
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11-09-11 02:30 PM #173
But that must also depend on how the losses were, i mean, 9 losses is 27 games, if all this 27 games were +1,5 games, its really tough to save that season, i don know how many of this losses that can be PL games and still be a plus season with 9 losses.. Im i right?
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11-09-11 02:49 PM #174
Yeah, I understand. Maybe Wallco has this info. What % of losses are on favs and what % on dogs. Originally Posted by knugen
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11-09-11 02:54 PM #175
It is far from over. Each losses has cost us 16 units on average. If we add 5 more series losses to reach 9 (average per season), we add a 80 units loss to our -40 record. That brings us to -120 units in losses. Can we WIN more than 120 series until the end of the season. My answer is YES....
...with good banktoll management of course!
We average 235 wins per season. We have already won 24.Last edited by Maxi_EV; 11-09-11 at 03:00 PM.
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