[NHL Pro Capper]

Official NHL Pro Capper Hockey Picks Thread

Please read over my betting guide for NHL Hockey:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/hockey-han...e-tailing.html

I will do my best to post every game night. As I mentioned earlier I only bet 3 types of slips:

Correlated Parlay A: Favorite + Over
Correlated Parlay B: Underdog + Under
Single Puck line Favorite

Each pays out an average of 2.5-4x.


Good luck and enjoy the 2011-2012 Season!

-----------------------------------

RECORD KEEPING:

I will be keeping 2 separate records.

I) Because I bet correlated parlays and puck line, I will use units as a measurement of tracking. To make things easier, I will represent 1 Unit as $100.

II) Since some of you will just choose to bet the winner and not parlay the over/under, I will also keep a Win / Loss record to represent this. I will score 1W for picking the correct winner, 1W for picking the correct total, and 1W for picking the correct puck line.

Please keep in mind these two records are independent from one another because I don’t win any units even if get the winner correct but lose the totals in the parlay or vice versa. I choose to bet correlated parlays and puckline because in the long run, it makes me the most money. I have certain conditions for each bet and they will be explained in my game write-up summary.

Example: My first pick of the pre season was Toronto to win over Ottawa parlayed with the over 5.5. The total payout of the correlated parlay was 3:1, Therefor:

Units: +3.0 / +$300
Wins: 2 Losses: 0

So with that said, good luck everyone!





CURRENT RECORD:
Units: +3.0
Wins: 2 Losses: 0

Tonight’s Games to be Capped:

DALLAS@MONTREAL:

Tonight is the first game on both these teams’ season. With Dallas losing Richards, and with huge bankruptcy/ownership problems in the loom, they have plenty of distractions. Montreal however, is on the up and up, and is in good spirits.

Montreal will be starting with their top goalie Carrey Price, and field a solid massive defense consisting of:

Gill (6'7), Tinordi (6'6), Woywitka (6'3) and Yemelin (6'2 220lbs)

With Monteal starting Price, and big defense, coupled with the loss Brad Richards, Dallas will have a hard time scoring. Montreal on the other hand will be fielding most of their regulars.

The totals for this game will be too close to call at 5.5. Montreal should win by at least 2 goals. Even if Dallas is close towards the end of the game tying and down by 1 goal, the empty net factor definitely helps Montreal reach the puck line. The payout for Montreal -1.5 is 2.80. This is excellent value for a Montreal team, at home, fired up, with a much better lineup.

Pick: MONTREAL PUCK LINE @ 2.80




**I looked at the other games, and I will not be betting them. They are too close, and there is too many question marks. However, due to popular request, I will list money line picks, but these are NOT part of my record and I will not be betting on them:

NAS@WAS – I would pick WAS if I was forced, Nash played double header the night before, WAS well rested, but there is too much juice here and WAS has very lazy players so I rarely bet on them, especially in a meaningless game for most of these vets.

PHL@TOR – I would choose the Leafs, but barely. I would definitely not rule out overtime. A very evenly matched game. TOR gets the edge because of their top line starting and playing at home. PHI thou does have a stacked team with a lot to prove so it could go either way. You've been warned!

GOODLUCK!

[Blackroc78]

BOL for this year, hope you kill it!

[OnTheRise23]

How many units are you putting on this PL bet?

[tbot89]

GL tonight !

[NHL Pro Capper]

Thanks, I am personally betting 2.5% of my roll on puck line bets, 2.5% on favorite parlayed with over, and 1.5% on underdog parlayed with under bets. Each unit is represented differently with our different rolls

[OnTheRise23]

Sounds good. GL tonight!

[ColdBeerHere]

I like the pick...Hockey starting back up in Mun Ray All.....Crowd should be fired up, habs by 2.....Let's get this one !

[NHL Pro Capper]

Oh my....not looking good...

[Quickbuck?]

Oh my....not looking good...

Sure doesn't

[TomJSports]

Would've thought the same. Ribiero and Ryder love taking it to the Habs though.

[Blackroc78]

Though to do preseason

[NHL Pro Capper]

Yeah sorry guys. Not a good day. Really disappointing in the Habs.

[Blackroc78]

Hey man no need to apologize! shit happens

[sfi50]

look forward to following can t win them all GL feel free to pm with picks or will follow on forum utmost confidence in you

[NHL Pro Capper]

CURRENT RECORD:
Units: +2.0
Wins: 2 Losses: 1

Thanks for being positive. Ok, I looked at all the games tonight, lots of good matchups.

TORONTO@PHILLY

I am choosing the Leafs parlayed with the under. The Leafs are big dogs, 2.65:1, and the under 5.5 is 1.83. Parlay them together and it pays out an excellent 4.85. Remember it's not about picking favorites every night, when you get excellent value like this you have to play it.

With such a large training camp roster fatigue is not a problem for the Leafs, and they always seem to play well in Philly. The Leafs tinkered too much with their lineup last night when they lost fielding 2 defense men that never even played an NHL game. Tonight they will have a solid lineup and will be sure to focus more on defense. Philly will also have Bryzgalov playing so with these two factors the game should be under but be prepared to sweat because 4/5 goals is very possible.

*Not just taking Toronto will pay 2.65 to 1, which is really good so if you don't want to add the under that's fine. Good luck.

[biggy]

Sounds good this pick. GL
I have one question: using this betting system you play only one game /day?

[NHL Pro Capper]

In the pre season, i don't bet much. Just too many variables you can't see. Example, a player over playing a position to earn a roster spot, etc.. and causing a turnover = goal, so things like that. I usually bet 2-3 games a night during the regular season when the lineups are set.

[biggy]

thx for the answer.I want to apply to this system when the regular season get start.

[pagodo]

Hi Pro, read carefully through your betting guide, very impressed.

Great stuff, good luck, bro and thanks for sharing, looks like it might be a profitable hockey season

During the first month I'll go a bit lighter (I've never bet on hockey before), so I'll go with 1.75% roll on puck line favs and favs+over; 0.8% roll on dogs+under.

Tailing

[Redscot]

thx for the answer.I want to apply to this system when the regular season get start.

Yes, I too am looking forward to the regular season, mostly because my local doesn't do preseason, but also because preseason in all sports is so volatile.

Keep up the good work NHLProCap

[Galego]

Good luck!!

I like to bet on the dogs.

We always get some good prices!!

[NHL Pro Capper]

Thanks guys. I agree with dogs. I do well in MLB too with the dog + under vs public teams. I never expect a daily profit, just long term positive results. Correlated 2 game parlays do very well in mlb and NHL. Looking forward to a great season!

[a4u2fear]

Leafs lineup looks brutal tonight while Philly is adding some key players. Hence the line.

[tbot89]

I had to take Philly in this one, but good luck on your pick !

[TomJSports]

From what I see, Philly's lineup is:

Forwards:
Andreas Nodl - Danny Briere - Jakub Voracek
Scott Hartnell - Claude Giroux - Tomas Hyka
Max Talbot - Brayden Schenn - Matt Read
Ben Holmstrom - Blair Betts - Jody Shelley

Defense:
Kimmo Timonen - Erik Gustafsson
Oskars Bartulis - Braydon Coburn
Kevin Marshall - Andrej Meszaros

Goalies:
Starter: Ilya Bryzgalov
Backup: Jason Bacashihua

That lineup beats anyone the Leafs throw out, in my opinion. Good luck, bud!

[NHL Pro Capper]

True but you under estimate the drive the young potential leaf rookies have. They are all aiming for spots. They will play hard. Right now it's 1-0 Leafs in the 2nd, we will see if the young Leafs will hang on. Ben Scrivens is also a very solid goalie. You don't here much of him because he plays in the AHL but he is definitely NHL capable.

[TomJSports]

Scrivens is a decent keeper, for sure. I'd argue he'll be better than Reimer.

One thing's for sure, that under will hit. The ice is garbage.

[NHL Pro Capper]

Great fight!

[gti175]

Wow, poor boyce got nailed from behind..

[gti175]

leafs have some jump 2-0 ,

[Galego]

Leafs 2-0





I went on The Leafs ML, Under 5.5 and Parlay (Leafs + Under 5.5)

[NHL Pro Capper]

So far so good, really sloppy letting in that goal, lets just hope they maintain composure. I expect them to sit on the lead and do a standard 2-2-1 passive box. Wilson is notorious for not pushing for goals during 1 goal leads.

[Galego]

Let's hope for that!!

[Galego]

Leafs 3-1. Ok, stop scoring!!

[NHL Pro Capper]

lol damn rookies, I think we are good, 10 min to go, no need for pushing rushes, all i am worried about is a late Philly goal and a empty netter, lets hope this score stays this way