Originally Posted by
Miz
To those that bet seriously...
I have finished 5 years of backtesting a MLB model I have been working on for decent piece of time. Like most working models it does much better versus openers and the line movement agrees w my model much more than it doesn't. While checking the time stamps on line movements on prior plays that my model identified as bettable, many lines had the value removed within the first 15 minutes they were on the board. Unless you are chained to your computer you will likely miss out on the best lines and your profit will not be optimized. Some services have a board that indicates when lines are posted at various books, but you would still have to be in front of the computer all day to be aware of it, right?
How have others dealt with this obstacle? Some people have told me that they simply stay chained the computer; however, betting is their sole source of income. That isn't the case for me. I work a full time job, and have a family etc. and it just isn't feasible for me. I will likely not bother betting my model if I can't reliably bet into the opening lines. The ROI on closers, just isn't worth the time right now.
Thanks.