1. #1
    vicwootn
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    NBA prop adjustment?

    We all know the larger the spread the more likely a game is to be blown out. This means starters will play less minutes while bench players will play more.

    What would be a good way to factor this into a simple NBA points prop model? Does anyone have historical data that may support adjusting X percent of minutes based on every point in the spread?
    Last edited by vicwootn; 01-23-11 at 01:56 PM.

  2. #2
    bookie
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    It's not clear to me if by "points prop" you mean totals, or player performance props.

  3. #3
    vicwootn
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    sorry. an nba player's expected points for a game.

  4. #4
    vicwootn
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    bump.

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