1. #1
    subs
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    factoring in past ATS for teasers?

    hi

    what u guys think?

    say historically a subset ( say line =-1) was 45% ATS would u factor this in to your break even calculations?

    100 - ATS + cumulative push% - break even = edge doesn't look right in some spots
    so something like (100 - 45 + 20 - 72 = 3)

    or 50% + cumulative push% - break even = edge doesn't look right in some spots
    or something like (50 + 20 - 72 = -2)

    or something very clever in between?

    much appreciated indeed
    Last edited by subs; 01-16-11 at 10:17 AM.

  2. #2
    subs
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    did i ask a stupid question? or just a boring 1?

  3. #3
    bztips
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    In this forum it's uninteresting because it's just a mechanical system that probably relies on a mined subset of data.

  4. #4
    subs
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    Quote Originally Posted by bztips View Post
    In this forum it's uninteresting because it's just a mechanical system that probably relies on a mined subset of data.
    my bad should have explained much better. there r no mines bro - just straight lines (eg line = -1) that is it. not even home away split. the numbers r hypothetical. just trying to estimate my edge as tightly as possible...

    as u know the margins r tight. kelly kelly kelly needs an accurate edge.
    if u were me would u trust the answers in PT?

    ps edited 1st post to make it clear.
    Last edited by subs; 01-16-11 at 10:17 AM.

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