1. #1
    warriorfan707
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    A hedging question for people who know EV and such

    Ok so I threw down 200 to win 772 on this bet


    Jan 12 07:35 PM
    Jan 12 07:35 PM
    Jan 12 06:20 PM
    INTERNET / -1 Jan 12 06:19 PM
    NBA
    NBA
    NBA
    PARLAY
    PARLAY (3 TEAMS)
    [721] MIA HEAT -325
    [723] LAKERS o206½-110
    [2711] 2H SA SPURS -4-105

    200 / 774


    The first leg went through and won. I am almost certain the Heat dont lose to the Clips.

    So my question is... would it be +EV to bet 220 to win 200 on the Lakers under in this case???

  2. #2
    warriorfan707
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    wheres Sharpcat?

  3. #3
    FourLengthsClear
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    The line has not moved and betting opposing sides at -110 will never be +EV

    Hedging in this situation is never the correct thing to do unless something has fundamentally changed that would change your opinion about the initial bet.

  4. #4
    RickySteve
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    Hedging in this situation is never the correct thing to do unless something has fundamentally changed that would change your opinion about the initial bet.
    Not true.

  5. #5
    DevilCheese
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    looks like you got burned pretty badly if you tried to hedge. why make 3-team parlays if you're not gonna ride them out? hedging a 3-teamer just turns it into a 2-teamer with worse odds, unless you're gonna try to middle it or something.

  6. #6
    subs
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    Quote Originally Posted by RickySteve View Post
    Not true.
    could u please elaborate - is it because the line has changed and now u are overbetting? or want to middle?

    could u please share? i'll tell u a joke...

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