Kelly Criterion & Simultaneous Event Betting

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Darkside Magick
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-28-10
    • 12638

    #1
    Kelly Criterion & Simultaneous Event Betting
    What if any is the optimal size should one use when simultaneous event betting using kelly.

    3? 5? 10?

    what i'm trying to get at is what is a good number of event which will not compromise growth
  • RickySteve
    Restricted User
    • 01-31-06
    • 3415

    #2
    wut?
    Comment
    • Pot luck
      SBR Rookie
      • 05-05-11
      • 40

      #3
      As many as possible (assuming your edge is the same for each event).
      Comment
      • Darkside Magick
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-28-10
        • 12638

        #4
        Originally posted by Pot luck
        As many as possible (assuming your edge is the same for each event).
        what if the edge is different for each event? should i just play the highest edges i have( ex. anything over 60% prob@ -110)?
        Comment
        • FourLengthsClear
          SBR MVP
          • 12-29-10
          • 3808

          #5
          Originally posted by Darkside Magick
          what if the edge is different for each event? should i just play the highest edges i have( ex. anything over 60% prob@ -110)?
          No. You should play as many as possible albeit the amount staked is reduced according to the proportion of your bankroll that is going to be risked at any given time.

          Ganchrow's calculator will help you.
          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
          Comment
          • Darkside Magick
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-28-10
            • 12638

            #6
            Originally posted by FourLengthsClear
            No. You should play as many as possible albeit the amount staked is reduced according to the proportion of your bankroll that is going to be risked at any given time.

            Ganchrow's calculator will help you.
            http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tools/kelly-calculator/
            thanks 4lengths!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

            i use the calculator all the time....just had some thoughts after reading fortune's formula last night!
            Comment
            • Darkside Magick
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-28-10
              • 12638

              #7
              after reading fortune's fornula , i wanted to bring this question to the think tank.....which is better....full kelly with the prob. @55% knowing i win 55% of my bets....or just continue to use half kelly to protect from over-betting.


              reason i am asking is i am leaving alot of money on the table by not going full kelly plus by having my prob. at 55% on all bets it protecting me from overbetting
              Comment
              • RickySteve
                Restricted User
                • 01-31-06
                • 3415

                #8
                I suggest betting full Kelly with an expected win rate of 50%.
                Comment
                • Darkside Magick
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-28-10
                  • 12638

                  #9
                  Originally posted by RickySteve
                  I suggest betting full Kelly with an expected win rate of 50%.
                  impossible!!
                  Comment
                  • Richkas
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-03-08
                    • 19396

                    #10
                    Youll never win
                    Comment
                    SBR Contests
                    Collapse
                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                    Collapse
                    Working...